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Rockies vs Cardinals Odds & Picks (Aug 18)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 17, 2022 · 8:37 PM PDT

Rockies vs Cardinals odds
Aug 16, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals left fielder Tyler O'Neill (27) is congratulated by second baseman Tommy Edman (19) and designated hitter Albert Pujols (5) after a walk-off hit by pitch with the bases loaded against the Colorado Rockies during the ninth inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
  • The St Louis Cardinals are -225 home favorites over the Colorado Rockies in an afternoon game slated for August 18
  • St Louis has won 10 in a row straight up at home against Colorado
  • Below, find the Rockies vs Cardinals odds and picks for Thursday

When it comes to games between the St Louis Cardinals (64-51, 38-21 home) and Colorado Rockies (51-67, 18-37 away), it truly is a tale of two cities.

On home turf, the Rockies, basement dwellers in the NL West, have beaten the Cardinals in five of the past six games and seven out of the last 10. Change the locale to St Louis, however, and things get really rocky for the Rockies.

St Louis entered played Wednesday leading the NL Central and riding a 10-game home diamond winning streak over the Rockies.

Oddsmakers are liking the Cardinals again in the final game of this three-game series. St Louis is set at -225 home favorites. The Cardinals are 27-11 SU as the home chalk this season.

Rockies vs Cardinals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Colorado Rockies +185 +1.5 (-115) O 8 (-110)
St Louis Cardinals -225 -1.5 (-105) U 8 (-110)

Odds as of August 17 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code

 

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The Cardinals were 14-1 straight up in their last 15 home games against the Rockies. On the other hand, St Louis was just 8-7 against the run line over the same stretch of games. So while they beat Colorado, the Cardinals don’t generally put a beatdown on the Rockies.

First pitch at Busch Stadium is set for 1:15pm ET on Thursday, August 18. Cloudy skies with 5 mph wind and a temperature of 84 degrees are in the weather forecast.

At odds of -225, the Cardinals have an implied probability of victory of 69.23% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on St Louis would create a payout of $14.40.

In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Cardinals as the +280 second betting option to win the NL Central. Colorado is the fourth betting choice at +25000 in the NL West. The MLB pennant odds show St Louis at +1700 and the Rockies at +100000. In the World Series odds, St Louis is +4000 and Colorado is +200000.

Colorado vs St Louis Probable Pitchers

Thursday’s MLB lineups won’t give Rockies fans much confidence. It’s one day shy of two months since Rockies right-hander Antonio Senzatela posted his most recent victory of the season. And that’s his only win since the end of April.

Senzatela is 1-5 since May 1. He’s allowed at least three earned runs in six of his past seven starts.  Senzatela rates among the bottom 1% of MLB pitchers in xBA (.310). He’s in the bottom 3% for wOBA (.382) and the bottom 4% for strikeout percentage (12.9).

Senzatela is 0-4 with a 5.50 ERA in seven road starts this season. He’s 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA in seven career starts against St Louis.

Senzatela vs Wainwright Stats

Antonio Senzatela
VS
Adam Wainwright
3-6 Record 8-8
4.67 ERA 3.27
5.22 xERA 4.30
1.65 WHIP 1.19
2.26 SO/W Ratio 2.97

Veteran Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright has led the NL in complete games in each of the past two seasons. He’s already spun one of those in 2022. In his last start, Wainwright allowed three hits and one earned run over nine innings against Milwaukee, but the Cardinals lost in extra innings.

Wainwright is bringing a two-game win streak to the hill with him. He’s posted a pair of multi-game win streaks this season and endured a trio of multi-game losing skids.

At home this season he’s 4-3 with a 2.30 ERA in 12 starts. Facing the Rockies, Wainwright is an amazing 11-1 in 17 career appearances with a sparkling 1.48 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cardinals Batters Batting Average vs Senzatela Rockies Batters Batting Average vs Wainwright
Nolan Arenado .000 Wynton Bernard .000
Dylan Carson .000 Charlie Blackmon .381
Paul DeJong .417 CJ Cron .400
Corey Dickenson .333 Randal Grichuk .000
Brendan Donovan .000 Garrett Hampson .250
Tommy Edman .286 Sam Hilliard .000
Paul Goldschmidt .350 Jose Iglesias .286
Nolan Gorman .000 Connor Joe .000
Andrew Knizner .000 Ryan McMahon .286
Yadier Molina .167 Elehuris Montero .000
Lars Nootbaar .000 Dom Nunez .000
Tyler O’Neill .714 Brendan Rodgers .667
Albert Pujols .000 Brian Serven .167

Tyler O’Neill of the Cardinals absolutely tears the cover off the ball when digging in at the plate against Senzatela. He’s 5-for-7 (.714) with a homer and three RBI. Paul DeJong is 5-for-123 (.417) with two RBI. Paul Goldschmidt is 7-for-20 (.350) with two homers and eight RBI. Corey Dickerson is 1-for-3 (.333) and has driven in two runs.

Colorado’s Brendan Rodgers is 2-for-3 (.667) facing Wainwright with a homer and two RBI. CJ Cron is 2-for-5 (.400) with an RBI. Charlie Blackmon is 8-for-21 (.381) with a homer and two RBI.

Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction

Coming off a sensational start, Wainwright’s utter dominance of the Rockies, coupled with his solid home data, make it difficult to bet against the Cardinals.

While they haven’t been great against the run line when facing the Rockies at home, St Louis is 3-1 on the run line over Wainwright’s last four starts.

Pick: St Louis Cardinals RL -1.5 (-105)

 

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