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Twins vs Orioles Odds, Spread & Picks (July 2)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 1, 2023 · 7:04 PM PDT

Minnesota Twins celebrate against Baltimore Orioles
Jul 1, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Minnesota Twins first baseman Joey Gallo (13), center fielder Michael A. Taylor (2) and right fielder Max Kepler (26) celebrate after the game against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Twins are -120 road favorites over the Orioles on Sunday
  • Sonny Gray (4-2, 2.67) is expected to pitch for the Twins against the Orioles lefty Cole Irvin (1-3, 7.18)
  • A look at the Twins vs Orioles odds and matchups can be found below with a prediction

The Minnesota Twins will try to sweep the three-game series when they visit the Baltimore Orioles at 12:05 p.m. ET Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Twins (42-42, 19-23 road) made it two straight over the Orioles with a 1-0 victory on Saturday. The Orioles (48-33, 25-18 home) had their losing streak reach a season-high four games.

Peacock will stream the game.

Twins vs Orioles Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Minnesota Twins -120 -1.5 (+140) Over 8.5 (-120)
Baltimore Orioles +100 +1.5 (-165) Under 8.5 (+100)

The Twins are -120 moneyline favorites over the Orioles on Sunday in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 54.55%. Both teams have +2500 World Series championship odds.

The game might be delayed at some point as there is a 50% chance of thunderstorms. The high is forecast for 89 degrees with mostly cloudy skies and wind from the south at 5-9 mph.



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Twins vs Orioles Probable Pitchers

Sonny Gray (4-2, 2.67) is scheduled to start for the Twins against left-hander Cole Irvin (1-3, 7.18). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.

Gray vs Irvin

Sonny Gray
Cole Irvin
4-2 Record 1-3
2.67 ERA 7.18
3.85 xERA 8.04
1.29 WHIP 1.67
2.70 SO/W 2.70

Gray has gone 10 starts without a win and has an 0-2 record and 3.93 ERA during that span. He lost to the Braves on Monday in Atlanta when he gave up three runs and seven hits in 6.2 innings while striking out five and walking one.

Gray, whose AL Cy Young odds are +4000, is 6-5 with a 4.60 ERA in 12 career starts versus the Orioles.

On the road this season, Gray is 1-1 with a 3.19 ERA in seven starts. He is 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA in six starts during the day. Gray has six quality starts in 16 outings and the Twins are 8-8 when he pitches.

Irvin pitched just three innings in a no-decision against the Orioles on Monday because of a rain delay in Baltimore. He allowed one run on three hits with three strikeouts and no walks.

In his lone career appearance against the Twins in 2021, Irvin had a no-decision despite yielding only one run in 6.2 innings.

Irvin is 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA in four starts at Camden Yards this season and 1-2 with an 8.20 ERA in six games (four starts) during the day. The Orioles have split Irvin’s six starts but he has not pitched more than 5.1 innings.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Twins Batters Batting Average vs Cole Irvin
Christian Vazquez .600
Carlos Correa .300
Michael A. Taylor .143
Willi Castro .000
Joey Gallo .000
Max Kepler .000
Donovan Solano .000
Orioles Batters Batting Average vs Sonny Gray
Austin Hays .400
Ryan O’Hearn .200
Anthony Santander .200
Adam Frazier .125
Aaron Hicks .000
Cedric Mullins .000
Jorge Mateo

Twins catcher Christian Vazquez has given Irvin problems by going 6 for 10 but center fielder Willi Castro is 0 for 5. Orioles left fielder Austin Hays is 2 for 5 with three strikeouts against Gray and right fielder Aaron Hicks is hitless in 11 at-bats.

Twins vs Orioles Betting Outlook

The Twins’ Joey Gallo accounted for the game’s lone run Saturday with a home run.

Max Kepler had two hits for the Twins. The Orioles were shut out on three hits.

Twins third baseman Royce Lewis left the game with a left oblique strain and is expected to be placed on the injured list.

The Orioles shuffled relievers before the game, calling up right-hander Chris Vallimont from Triple-A Norfolk and optioning left-hander Bruce Zimmermann to the same club.

Twins vs Orioles Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/1/23 Orioles Twins MIN, 1-0
6/30/23 Orioles Twins MIN, 8-1
7/3/22 Twins Orioles BAL, 3-1
7/2/22 Twins Orioles MIN, 4-3
7/1/22 Twins Orioles MIN, 3-2
5/5/22 Orioles Twins BAL, 5-3
5/4/22 Orioles Twins BAL, 9-4
5/3/22 Orioles Twins MIN, 7-2
5/2/22 Orioles Twins MIN, 2-1
6/2/21 Orioles Twins BAL, 6-3

The Twins have dominated the series in recent years, going 35-13 against the Orioles since 2015.

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

Everything points in the Twins’ direction in this matchup – except for Gray being winless since April 30. That makes the Orioles an enticing home dog.

Pick: Orioles +100 ML

Season Record: 33-12 (+18.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 2-2 (+3.6) player props; 38-17 (+22.3 units) overall.


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