White Sox vs Cubs Odds and Picks (August 7)

• The Chicago White Sox are -200 road favorites to defeat the Chicago Cubs in inter-league play on Saturday afternoon at Wrigley Field
• Chicago’s American League team has won five of its last seven games played at Chicago’s National League park
• Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction

The friendly confines of Wrigley Field continue to prove both welcoming and accommodating to the Chicago White Sox. They beat the Chicago Cubs there again on Friday.

An 8-6 10-inning victory was the fifth for the ChiSox in their last seven visits to Wrigley. And the South Siders are favored to do it again on Saturday.

The visiting White Sox are -200 favorites to beat the Cubs in an afternoon game at Wrigley. The ChiSox are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.

White Sox vs Cubs Odds

Odds as of August 6th at DraftKings.

Saturday’s first pitch is slated for 2:20 pm ET. Cloudy skies are in the forecast along with 1 mph winds and a temperature of 84 degrees.

Rodon vs Alzolay

White Sox lefty Carlos Rodon has seen his velocity dip over the course of his last two starts and it shows. He’s worked a season-low four innings in each start, taking the loss both times.

Rodon has given up 12 hits and eight runs, six earned. He’s served up four home runs. In his previous seven starts he’d given up one long ball.

#MicahNotes (7/29)

• Carlos Rodón has failed to qualify for a win over his last 2 starts after today’s 4.0 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 4 K performance (20% whiff, 23% CSW)

His 4SFB averaged just 95.9 mph, down about ~1.5 mph from his season average

Fatigue could be starting to settle in

— Fantasy Central (@FantasyCentral1) July 30, 2021

Since opening the season 5-0, including a no-hitter against Cleveland, Rodon is 3-5. He’s 5-2 on the road this season with a 2.41 ERA. Rodon’s ERA in day games is 3.51, compared to 1.84 in night games.

Rodon is among the top 5% in strikeout percentage (35.2), the top 6% in MLB in xERA (2.65) and xWOBA (.252), the top 7% in xBA (.185), and the top 9% in WOBA (.253).

As much as Rodon is struggling, Cubs right-hander Adbert Alzolay’s season has gone completely off the rails. He’s winless since June 7.

Alzolay is 0-7 over his last nine starts. His ERA has jumped from 3.62 to 4.85 over the course of those nine starts. The righty has allowed four runs on five occasions and three runs three other times during those last nine starts.

Adbert Alzolay, Dirty 85mph Changeup. 👌 pic.twitter.com/nwEgt3lc8U

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 1, 2021

He’s also served up five homers in his last three starts. Alzolay has proven to be better at home (3-4, 4.50 ERA) than on the road (1-7, 5.06 ERA). He’s also better during the day (2-2, 4.08 ERA) than at night (2-9, 5.29 ERA).

Alzolay will be facing the White Sox for the first time.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

White Sox outfielder Adam Engel is 1-for-2 when facing Alzolay. That one hit was a solo homer. Second baseman Cesar Hernandez is only batting .200 (1-for-5) against Alzolay. However, that one hit was a homer. Hernandez has driven in two runs.

Brian Goodwin comes up clutch! pic.twitter.com/6d5e8fqWZr

— MLB (@MLB) August 6, 2021

Outfielder Brian Goodwin, whose two-run homer in the 10th was the decisive blow in Friday’s win, is batting 1.000 (1-for-1) when facing Alzolay.

Cubs catcher Wilson Contreras is 2-for-5 (.400) against Rodon, with a homer and three RBI. Infielders Andrew Romine, David Bote and Matt Duffy are all 1-for-3 (.333). Catcher Robinson Chirinos is 1-for-2 (.500) with three RBI.

White Sox vs Cubs Pick

The Cubs dealt away four of their top five hitters at the MLB trade deadline. Then they lost their #2 hitter among the remaining players when they placed outfielder Jason Heyward (inflammation in his left index finger) on the 10-day injured list.

Facing a White Sox pitching staff that’s seventh in the majors with a 3.66 ERA, that’s not a combination that adds up to success for the Cubbies.

Pick: Chicago White Sox (-200).