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Yankees vs Mets Odds, Predictions & Picks (June 14)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 13, 2023 · 8:51 PM PDT

Brandon Nimmo home run trot
Jun 13, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets center fielder Brandon Nimmo (9) celebrates with infield & third base coach Joey Cora (56) after hitting a solo home run during the first inning against the New York Yankees at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mets are -115 moneyline favorite in the Yankees vs Mets odds on Wednesday
  • Gerrit Cole (7-1, 2.84 ERA) takes the ball for the Yankees, while the Mets will counter with Justin Verlander (2-3, 4.85 ERA)
  • Keep reading for the latest Yankees vs Mets odds, picks and predictions below

Game 2 of the Subway Series goes down on Wednesday in Queens, and you have to believe it won’t resemble the high-scoring affair that Game 1 was.

The Yankees (38-29, 17-12 away) and Mets (31-35, 15-12 home) needed only 4 innings to reach double digit runs on Tuesday, but offensive should be much tougher to come by for both teams on Wednesday.

The game opened with a low total of just 7 in the MLB odds, with online sportsbooks siding with the Mets by the thinnest of margins.

Yankees vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -105 +1.5 (-215) O 7 (-120)
New York Mets -115 -1.5 (+185) U 7 (+100)

The Mets are currently -115 moneyline favorites, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 pm ET at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The forecast is currently calling for a 70% chance of rain, and cool, 66 degree game-time temperatures.

 

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Odds as of June 13 at Bet365. Claim a Bet365 bonus code to bet on Wednesday’s MLB action.

NYY vs NYM Probable Pitchers

The main reason for Wednesday’s extremely low total, is the pitching matchup. The Mets will send  three-time Cy Young odds champion Justin Verlander to the mound, while the Yankees will counter with Gerrit Cole, who boasts the second shortest Cy Young odds in the AL.

While Cole is living up to his massive $300+ million contract for the Yanks, Verlander has not earned the giant pay day he received for joining the Mets.

He’s on pace for the highest ERA and WHIP of his career, a year after he was virtually unhittable for the Astros. Verlander’s yielding a .257/.313/.454 slash line, and is fresh off surrendering seven hits and five runs to the Braves in a no decision.

That marked the third time in seven starts he’s been tagged for at least that many runs, but in the other four outings he’s held the opposition to two runs or less.

The 40-year-old has an excellent track record versus the Yankee regulars in the MLB starting lineups, holding them to a .229 average over 144 at-bats. He faced the Bronx Bombers just once last season, limiting them to four hits and one run in 7 innings of work.

Cole vs Verlander Stats

Gerrit Cole
VS
Justin Verlander
7-1 Record 2-3
2.84 ERA 4.85
1.14 WHIP 1.33
.220 OBA .257
3.1 SO/W Ratio 3.6

Cole on the other hand, is fresh off back-to-back quality starts. He limited the Red Sox to seven hits and two runs last time out, which followed up a 6 inning, four hit, one run performance versus the mighty Dodgers.

The 32-year-old has yielded two runs or less in 10 of 13 starts, shutting out four opponents during that stretch. He’s got quite a bit of history against this version of the Mets lineup, and has found plenty of success.

Cole has limited Mets bats to a .206 average over 102 at-bats, racking up 37 strikeouts, while allowing just six extra-base hits.

Yankees vs Mets Predictions

Another reason to be down on offense in this matchup, is the key injuries to both teams. The biggest star on each club is on the injured list, with Aaron Judge nursing a toe injury, and Pete Alonso dealing with a wrist issue.

Alonso currently leads MLB in home runs with 22, and is sixth in RBI. Judge meanwhile, is right behind Alonso with 19 dingers, and ranks first in baseball in OPS. He’s a top-two AL MVP odds contender, and the lack of production behind him is staggering.

Entering play on Tuesday, Judge carried a 1.078 OPS, while the rest of his teammates combined for a .686 mark. They did get to Max Scherzer in the series opener, chasing him after only 3 innings, but prior to that they were averaging only three runs per game without Judge.

Oddly, the Mets have been hitting much better since Alonso went down. They were averaging over a run more than their season long mark during their past seven games, and jumped all over Luis Severino in the series opener. They rocked him for seven hits and six runs, but the Yankees righty had been struggling badly prior to his start.

That won’t be the case with Cole, as he’s been rock solid away from home. He’s yielded two runs or less in all but one of his road outings, allowing only one run in his last two starts as a visitor, versus the Dodgers and Blue Jays, two of the league’s top lineups.

Pick: New York Yankees first 5 innings +0.5 (-152)

 

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