Yankees vs Marlins Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers (Aug. 11)

• The New York Yankees visit the Miami Marlins to kick off a three-game set Friday night
• The Yankees have lost seven of 11, while Miami is looking for a three-game win streak
• Don’t miss the latest Yankees vs Marlins picks and starting pitchers below

Two teams in the midst of playoff chases in their respective conferences kick off a 3-game set, when the New York Yankees (59-56, 24-28 away) visit the Miami Marlins (60-56, 34-24 home).

Miami currently sits in the third and final Wild Card berth in the National League, but they’re trying to hold off both the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, who are both just 0.5 games back.

New York, meanwhile, has lost three of four, and sit five back of the Toronto Blue Jays who hold the third Wild Card spot in the American League. There’s traffic between them, though, with the Mariners and Red Sox in pursuit and ahead of the Yanks.

Action gets underway Friday (Aug 11) at 6:40pm ET from loanDepot park in Miami, FL. You can watch the game live on MLB Network.

Yankees vs Marlins Odds

The MLB odds have the host Marlins as -142 favorites on the moneyline, an implied win probability of 58.68%. The game features a total of 8.5 runs.

After dropping seven of eight, Miami has now won two straight, and will be looking for their first 3-game win streak post all-star break.

At 24-28, the Yankees hold the 4th-worst road record in the American League.

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Odds as of Aug 10 at DraftKings. Be sure to claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Yankees vs Marlins Friday. 

Probable Pitchers

New York has been reluctant to name a starter in place of the injured Carlos Rodon, who’ll miss his turn with a hamstring injury, but it’s expected right-hander Randy Vasquez will get the call from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

He’s coming off some impressive showings in the minors, including an 11-strikeout gem on Aug 2.

The 24-year-old Vasquez last pitched for the Yankees on July 5, getting a no-decision in a 6-3 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. He went five innings, giving up just three hits and no earned runs, walking three and striking out one.

11 strikeouts for Randy Vasquez tonight for Triple-A @swbrailriders! DOMINANT! #RepBX pic.twitter.com/67jpsRbtyI

— Yankee Source (@yankee_source) August 3, 2023

Vasquez’s lone win was a June 8 start in a 3-0 win over the White Sox. He went 5.2 innings, giving up two hits and no earned runs, with a walk and three strikeouts.

This will be his first career start vs the Marlins.

Vasquez vs Luzardo Stats

Miami counters with 25-year-old lefty Jesus Luzardo.

He hasn’t had a win since July 9, earning three no-decisions and taking the L last time out in a 6-2 loss to the Texas Rangers.

Luzardo was chased after 5.1 innings, surrendering six hits and four earned runs, including three home runs against. He walked a pair and struck out eight.

Just two Yankees have ever faced Luzardo, with Isiah Kiner-Falefa hitting .286 against him in seven trips, though he does have a home run and RBI.

Luzardo has faced the Yankees once previously while a member of the A’s. He was tagged for three runs on one hit in 0.1 of an inning, taking the L in a 7-5 New York win in 2021.

Yankees vs Marlins Betting Prediction

New York had an off day Thursday, licking their wounds after a 9-2 loss to the White Sox. The Yankees have now lost seven of their last 11, and they’ve generated just 2.71 runs in those losses.

Miami is coming off a 5-4 win over the Reds, and they were powered by newly acquired Josh Bell, who became the first Marlin in franchise history to homer on from both sides of the plate in the same game.

SHALL WE TIE THIS BALLGAME?

YES, BELL SHALL. #MakeItMiami pic.twitter.com/YXxLGYIODd

— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) August 9, 2023

Bell has hit safely in all eight games, batting .323  with three home runs, seven RBIs and five runs scored.

These teams haven’t met since 2021, and the Yankees have won four of the last five head-to-head matchups, but the teams have gone under in four straight meetings.

That’s where we should target the wager: the under has hit in 64.8% of New York games following a loss, the second-highest under success rate in the Bigs.

Miami has hit the under in 56.1% of their games following a win, a top-8 success rate.

Pick: UNDER 8.5 runs (-115)