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76ers vs Mavericks Odds, Spread and Picks

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Updated Apr 12, 2021 · 4:11 AM PDT

Ben Simmons in warmup
PHILADELPHIA, PA - MAY 05: Philadelphia 76ers Guard Ben Simmons (25) looks on during warmups before the Eastern Conference Semifinal Game between the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers on May 05, 2018 at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Kyle Ross/Icon Sportswire)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers are 3-point favorites over the Dallas Mavericks on Monday (April 12th, 7:30 pm ET)
  • Nine of Philadelphia’s last 11 games have gone under the total, in large part thanks to the 76ers excellent play at the defensive end
  • See below for analysis, odds and a betting prediction

The Philadelphia 76ers have been consistently inconsistent over the last couple weeks. Philly has alternated wins and losses over its last four outings, and has dropped four of eight overall. Despite the up and down play, the 76ers visit Dallas on Monday (April 12th, 7:30 pm ET) with a share of first place in the East.

The Mavs meanwhile, are in a tight battle for playoff seeding in the West, and will seek their seventh win in the last nine games.

76ers vs Mavericks Odds

Team Spread Moneyline at DraftKings Total
Philadelphia 76ers -3 (-110) -148 O 225 (-108)
Dallas Mavericks +3 (-110) +125 U 225 (-113)

Odds as of April 12th.

Philadelphia opened up as a 3-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 225. The 76ers followed up an ugly loss Friday in New Orleans with a victory in Oklahoma City on Saturday, routing the Thunder by 24.

[promoted-sportsbook]

Sixers Smack Thunder Around

Joel Embiid led the way against OKC pouring in 27 points and grabbing 9 boards. The performance was a solid bounce back from the night before, when he managed only 14 points versus the Pelicans.

Furkan Korkmaz added a season-high 20 points and a career-high 5 steals, while four other Sixers reached double-figures. Defensively, Philly didn’t clamp down as hard on OKC shooters as they normally do, allowing the Thunder to shot 50% from the field, but the Sixers more than made up for it by forcing 23 turnovers.

Only two teams force more turnovers per game than Philadelphia this season, while the Sixers stingy defense ranks seventh in points against, fourth in opponent field-goal percentage, and first in blocks.

Mavs Stunned by Spurs

Dallas meanwhile, suffered a gut-wrenching defeat to San Antonio on Sunday, losing on a Demar DeRozan jumper with less than a second remaining.

Kristaps Porzingis paced the offense with 31 points and 15 boards, while Luka Doncic chipped in 29 points and 7 assists. The Mavs shot 47.9% from the field, but were uncharacteristically generous in their own end. Dallas allowed San Antonio shooters to knock down 54.2% of their attempts and surrendered more points to the Spurs than they had versus any of their previous 11 opponents.

The Mavericks have been one of the better defensive teams all year, ranking eighth in points against and fifth in opponent field-goal percentage, but were victimized by San Antonio’s best shooting percentage since a March 15th win over Detroit.

Expect a Low-Scoring Affair

Thanks to elite defensive play, under tickets have been cashing at a high rate in Philly’s recent contests. The under has hit in four straight Sixers games and nine of their past 11 outings, while Philly has held four straight opponents to 100 points or less

Not to be outdone, six of the past seven Maverick contests have stayed below the total, and seven of their past eight opponents have failed to exceed 109 points.

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The last time these two teams met, the game fell 20 points short of the total, and given the strong defensive play of both teams this season (Sunday notwithstanding for Dallas), this game sets up to be low scoring as well.

Also working in favor of the under is the status of Kristaps Porzingis. Dallas routinely sits Porzingis in the second half of back-to-backs (he’s played in just three all season) and should he sit again, it will be safe to lower the Mavs’ offensive expectations.

Pick: Under 225 (-113)

 


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