Upcoming Match-ups

Bucks vs Cavaliers Picks and Odds

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Updated Dec 8, 2022 · 10:22 AM PST

Cleveland Cavaliers celebration
Jan 24, 2022; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers forward Kevin Love (0) celebrates with teammates in the third quarter against the New York Knicks at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports
  • Milwaukee is a 4-point favorite over Cleveland on Wednesday at 7 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable after sitting out last game due to right knee soreness
  • Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction

A pair of Eastern Conference contenders clash on Wednesday (January 26th), as Milwaukee visits Cleveland.

The Bucks enter play riding a three-game winning streak, while the Cavs have won back-to-back games, and seven of their past eight outings. Despite the Cavs winning streak, public money is heavily concentrated on the Bucks.

Bucks vs Cavaliers Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Milwaukee Bucks -174 -4 (-110) O 217 (-110)
Cleveland Cavaliers +146 +4 (-110) U 217 (-110)

Odds as of Jan 25th at BetMGM. Ohio sportsbooks launch on January 1, 2023. Be sure to claim one of the following Ohio sports betting promos:

Milwaukee opened up as a 4-point favorite, in a contest that features a total of 217. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 pm ET, at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio, and each team is expected to be without key contributors.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Analysis

The biggest injury to monitor heading into Wednesday’s contest is the status of Giannis Antetokounmpo. The former MVP — and current closest contender to Steph Curry in the 2022 NBA MVP odds — sat out Saturday’s victory over Sacramento with right knee soreness, but is considered probable for this matchup.

Antetokounmpo’s absence on Saturday didn’t affect Milwaukee against the Kings, as the Bucks put up one of their best offensive performances of the season. They took down Sacramento 133-127, led by 34 points from Khris Middleton, and 26 points from Jrue Holiday.

Donte DiVincenzo also added 20 points, while the Bucks shot a blistering 50% from beyond the arc. They made 21 three’s in total, a night after shooting only 19% from long range.

In addition to being without Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee was also missing Grayson Allen, while Wes Matthews left the game with a knee injury. Matthews has already been ruled out for Wednesday, and Allen will be out as well serving a one-game suspension for a flagrant foul he committed on Friday versus Chicago.

The lack of healthy bodies opened up more playing time for George Hill and Pat Connaughton, and the duo responded. They contributed eight three’s and combined for 32 points against the Kings.

The Bucks check in ranked top-seven in both offensive and defensive rating, and are 5-5 this season without Antetokounmpo.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Analysis

Cleveland meanwhile, is dealing with injuries to a pair of big men. Starting center Jarrett Allen and small forward Lauri Markkanen both sat out Monday’s victory over New York, and their availability looks doubtful for Wednesday.

Allen sat out with an illness and hasn’t returned to practice yet. Markkanen missed the contest with ankle injury, and will be sidelined again on Wednesday.

Without two of their towers, the Cavs barely squeaked out a 95-93 victory over the Knicks. Kevin Love led the way with 20 points, including three straight three’s over a 90 second stretch in the third quarter.

Darius Garland added 13 points and 12 assists, while prized rookie Evan Mobley — the current betting favorite in the 2022 NBA Rookie of the Year odds — also contributed 15 points and 12 boards.

The victory improved Cleveland to 29-19, which is seven more wins than they had in the entire 2020-21 season. They’re now 10 games above .500 for the first time since 2018, when LeBron James was still in town.

The Cavs enter play ranked third in defensive rating, and second in scoring defense, but 18th in offensive rating.

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Bucks vs Cavaliers Pick

Cleveland’s strong defense and underwhelming offense has led to under tickets cashing at a strong rate in Cavs contests. Seven of their past 10 outings have failed to eclipse the total, including each of their last four home games.

The under is 15-7-1 in their contests at home, while despite all of its offensive talent, Milwaukee has been a strong under bet this season as well.

Six of the Bucks’ last nine outings have fallen short of the total, while the under is 21-13 in their conference games. With Milwaukee sporting a top-seven defense of their own, and Giannis likely not playing at 100%, I lean under in this matchup as well.

Pick: Under 217 (-110)

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