Upcoming Match-ups

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Game 4 Player Props to Target & Best SGP

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Updated Jun 8, 2023 · 9:24 PM PDT

Aaron Gordon soars for a dunk
Jun 7, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; Denver Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon (50) dunks against Miami Heat guard Max Strus (31) during the first half in game three of the 2023 NBA Finals at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
  • NBA Finals Game 4 Nuggets vs Heat player props are live ahead of Friday’s matchup (June 9)
  • Aaron Gordon has cleared 21.5 pts+reb+ast in four straight starts
  • Check out the best Nuggets vs Heat player prop targets and same-game parlay picks for Game 4 here

The Nuggets took back home court advantage in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, riding a historic performance from Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray to trounce the Heat.

Denver will now aim to take a 3-1 series stranglehold in Game 4, which tips off Friday in Miami. The Nuggets are once again laying points in the NBA odds, but our focus here will be in the player props and same-game parlay markets.

Nuggets vs Heat Player Props – Game 4

Prop Odds
Aaron Gordon Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast -120
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Under 7.5 Points -120

Our Miami vs Denver player props card starts with over 21.5 pts+reb+ast for Aaron Gordon. Jokic and Murray might be getting all the headlines after becoming the first set of teammates to post a triple-double in an NBA Finals game, but Gordon just might be the team’s unsung hero.

DRAFTKINGS
SPORTSBOOK


Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + a No Sweat NBA SGP Every Day!

LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $200

+ A NO SWEAT NBA SGP

GET PROMO

Odds as of June 8 at Caesars. Claim a Caesars promo code to bet on Nuggets vs Heat Game 4. 

NBA Finals Player Prop #1: Aaron Gordon Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

Not only is Gordon producing in all three major stat categories, he’s also being asked to guard Jimmy Butler every night. The defensive responsibility hasn’t slowed him down in the slightest, as he’s fresh off a double-double.

Gordon has beaten this line in four straight outings, three times with points and rebounds alone. He’s shooting 63% from the field so far in the Finals, while gobbling up eight rebounds and dishing out three assists per outing.

He’s been incredibly reliable from three as well when given the opportunity, and with Jokic and Murray drawing so much defensive attention, expect more open looks for him. He’s 5-of-8 from long range over the last four games, and is shooting 38% from three this postseason.

Pick: Aaron Gordon Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast (-120)

NBA Finals Player Prop #2: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Under 7.5 Points

Our next target is under 7.5 points for Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. KCP is a volume based scorer, and that’s not encouraging given his recent usage.

He’s taken only four shots in each of the past two games, making just a single shot on both occasions. He’s fallen under this total in each of the Finals contests so far, shooting only 31% from the field.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Stats – Last Three Games

MIN FG PTS
28 1-4 6
36 1-4 6
36 3-8 7

That’s a far cry from the West Final, when he was a primary contributor. KCP was averaging 11 shot attempts per game versus the Lakers, including seven threes. Against Miami, he’s being counted on for primarily just his defense, taking only five shots per game.

Pick: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Under 7.5 Points (-120)

Nuggets vs Heat Same-Game Parlay Picks

Moving over to the same-game parlay streets where we’ve coked up a three-leg bet that pays out +230 if it hits. The wager starts with the over on a modified total, and like we referenced ahead of Game 2, if the Heat are going to get back into the series it will be thanks to their offense.

Nuggets vs Heat Same-Game Parlay

Picks Odds
Over 204.5 -230
Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds -175
Jamal Murray Over 6.5 Assists -225
Same-Game Parlay Odds +230

Miami has not shown the ability to slow down Denver, but then again no one has all postseason. The NBA Championship odds favorites lead the playoffs in offensive rating, and have performed even better as visitors this postseason in that category.

Miami is going to need to score north of 100 points to have any chance at victory, and they have shown the ability to bounce back after a defeat. They’ve followed up five of their eight losses so far with a victory, scoring 105 points in all but one instance.

Bam Adebayo has been their leading scorer in the NBA Finals, but it’s his rebounding prowess we’re targeting as the second leg of our SGP. Adebayo has produced double-digit rebounds in four of his last five starts, and outrebounded the rest of the Heat roster in Game 3 (17 vs 16).

Our Nuggets vs Heat same-game parlay concludes with over 6.5 assists for Murray, who would be the sure-fire Finals MVP right now if not for Jokic. Murray has double-digit assist totals in three straight starts, and Miami simply doesn’t have a solution for the two man game he and Jokic are running.

Pick: Same-Game Parlay (+230)

 

Author Image