Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 3 Predictions, Odds & Player Props (May 10)

• After two upsets on the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves return home as favorites in Game 3 against the Denver Nuggets
• Minnesota is a perfect 6-0 in the playoffs, the only undefeated team remaining
• Below, see the Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions, odds, and player props on May 10

The hottest team in the NBA is back on the court on Friday night as the Minnesota Timberwolves (61-26, 32-11 home, 45-40-2 ATS) host the Denver Nuggets (61-27, 25-18 away, 39-48-1 ATS) in Game 3 of their best-of-seven Western Conference semifinal. After winning both Games 1 and 2 on the road in Denver, Minnesota improved to a perfect 6-0 in the postseason and has won four straight as betting underdogs.

Returning home, Minnesota is back to being favored in the Game 3 Nuggets vs Timberwolves odds, laying four points. Tip-off for Game 3 is scheduled for 8:40 pm CT/10:40 pm ET at Target Center in Minneapolis.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Minnesota’s two road wins in Denver were two of the most-impressive games by any NBA team all season. The T-Wolves held Denver under 100 in both games (106-99 and 106-80), limiting Nikola Jokic to 48 points combined on 16-of-38 shooting from the floor (42.1%). Overall, the Nuggets shot 64-of-158 (40.5%) as a team over the pair of games.

The T-Wolves offense, on the other hand, connected at 50% or better in both Games 1 and 2, led by 70 points from Anthony Edwards (43 in Game 1, 27 in Game 2).

Minnesota’s defense, which had an NBA-best 108.4 D-Rating in the regular season, has been even better in the playoffs, sitting at 105.5 despite playing two prolific offenses in the Suns and Nuggets.

A trio of Nuggets are dealing with injuries ahead of Game 3. Jamal Murray (calf), Reggie Jackson (calf), and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (abdominal) are all listed as questionable. The T-Wolves injury report, on the other hand, is effectively empty. Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert missed Game 2 due to personal reasons but is back in action on Friday.

There is no reason to back off the Timberwolves in Game 3, especially with Gobert back. Their defense is posing all kinds of problems for Jokic, and Murray has looked noticeably slowed by his calf injury.

DEN vs MIN Game 3 pick: Timberwolves -4

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 Odds

Odds as of May 10 at DraftKings. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3.  

The point spread for Game 3 ranges from 3.5 (BetMGM, FanDuel) to 4.5 (ESPN Bet) while most sportsbooks have it at four even. The best moneyline price for the T-Wolves is -160 at Caesars. The longest odds for a Nuggets victory are +145 (almost across the board).

The game total has come down two points compared to Game 2 (from 206.5 to 204.5), though under bettors can still find it at 205.5 at ESPN Bet.

The T-Wolves are now -550 to advance in the NBA playoff bracket, after opening as +165 underdogs against the defending champs. The winner of the Nuggets/T-Wolves series will face the winner of the Mavericks vs Thunder series in the Western Conference final. Dallas and OKC are currently tied at one game apiece.

MIN vs DEN Player Props for Game 3

NBA player props as of May 10 at DraftKings.

Jokic has the highest point total for Game 3 at 29.5, followed by Edwards at 27.5. Murray (20.5) is the only other player above 20 points. Both Jokic and Gobert have rebound totals of 12.5.  Jokic grabbed a game-high 16 rebounds in Game 2, but remember that Gobert was absent for the T-Wolves. Gobert had 13 boards in Game 1 while Jokic collected just 8.

Player prop picks:

• Jokic under 12.5 rebounds (-118)
• Murray under 20.5 points (-108)
• Edwards over 27.5 points (-120)