Heat vs Jazz Odds and Picks
- The Utah Jazz and Miami Heat matchup on Saturday, November, 13th
- Utah is 8-4 on the season, while Miami has dropped to 7-5 after a strong start
- Read below for the latest Heat vs Jazz odds and a betting preview
The Utah Jazz and Miami Heat go head-to-head in Salt Late City on Saturday, November, 13th. It’s the first NBA game of the day, and with both teams holding title aspirations this season, it’s bound to be fiercely competitive. Miami has an 8-4 record against the spread this season, and they are 15-16 ATS as underdogs since the start of 2020-21.
Utah lost to the Pacers on Thursday to make it a 1-3 run for Quin Snyder’s team. They are still a formidable team at home, however, and they own a formidable ATS record as favorites since the start of last season of 52-36-1.
This game won’t define the season, but given the losses both teams have suffered lately, each team must be desperate for a win.
Heat vs Jazz Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total Points |
---|---|---|---|
Miami Heat | +7 (-110) | +245 | OFF |
Utah Jazz | -7 (-110) | -300 | OFF |
Odds as of Nov 12 at FanDuel
Injury News
Jimmy Butler (ankle) and Markieff Morris (neck) missed the Heat’s last game. Morris is still recovering from the incident with Nikola Jokic earlier in the week, while Butler injured his ankle in the loss to the Lakers. Both are listed day-to-day for this one, but given the reporting of a sprained ankle for Butler, it seems like a longshot that he’ll be available.
Tyler Herro moved into the starting five in Butler’s absence on Thursday. The Sixth Man of the Year candidate scored 23 points on 23 shots. Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon and Caleb Martin covered for Morris’ bench minutes.
Jokic and Markieff Morris both got ejected after exchanging fouls during Nuggets-Heat.
Morris was hurt but walked off the floor under his own power. pic.twitter.com/ReXnjRTHzu
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 9, 2021
Rudy Gay remains the only injury concern for the Jazz. Gay is still waiting to make his Utah debut after heel surgery in the offseason. Snyder has everyone else available at the moment, including Mike Conley, who has sat out a couple of back-to-backs already this season. With the Jazz having Friday, Sunday and Monday off, Conley should be available for his usual 30 or so minutes.
Miami Searches For Offense
If Butler is unavailable again, the Miami offense could struggle. Utah ranks seventh in defense, and fifth in opponent shot quality. The Heat have got great production from Herro so far this season, and Duncan Robinson is bound to start hitting shots again soon, but Butler’s absence risks leaving them limited on the offensive end.
Jimmy Butler sustained a sprained right ankle against the Lakers and will not return, the team says.
— Malika Andrews (@malika_andrews) November 11, 2021
Miami is actually marginally better on offense without Butler so far this year. These are still very small samples, though, and as well as Kyle Lowry has played, the former Raptor is yet to find his rhythm as a scorer. He’s shooting under 33% from three, contributing to Miami ranking 19th in three-point percentage.
Hitting outside shots is crucial against the Jazz because of Rudy Gobert’s presence in the paint. Miami will try to drag Gobert from the basket, but they need Robinson, Herro, Lowry and others to knockdown their threes.
“People need to stop acting like they are going to fight on the basketball court when they know security will be there to break it up. It’s cool for the cameras, but people need to stop acting like they are about that life.”
– Rudy Gobert
(Via The Athletic) pic.twitter.com/cVbrTq164a— NBACentral (@TheDunkCentral) November 12, 2021
This is an interesting matchup. Miami doesn’t go to the rim much as it is, and takes a lot of corner threes. The Jazz are one of the best teams at restricting three-point attempts. The Heat’s offense is naturally very different without Butler. Absent of Butler’s mid-range game, Miami will be forced to lean heavily on shots from beyond the arc.
Utah Gets Back To Winning Ways
Don’t be fooled by Utah’s recent losses. This team remains a regular season winning machine, as evidence by their ATS record since the start of 2020-21. Only the Knicks and Suns have covered more frequently.
📹| Donovan: 26p | 5r | 4a | 3s | 3 3pm#TakeNote | @ZionsBank pic.twitter.com/P1NbF045oR
— Utah Jazz (@utahjazz) November 12, 2021
Utah ranks number one in the league in adjusted shot quality. Like Miami, they have been ice-cold from three to start the year, ranking 25th in three-point percentage. This offense is still ranked third in the Association, and they are still taking over 40 threes per game.
With no Butler, Miami’s defense suddenly looks vulnerable given how often Herro and Robinson share the floor. These are the games where the Heat desperately need their MVP candidate.
Of course, we might not know about his availability until minutes before tip-off. If we’re working on the assumption that Butler can’t play, this should be another comfortable Jazz win. Take them to cover anywhere up to seven or eight.
Pick: Jazz -7 (-110)