Alabama vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Props for Final Four (April 6)

• The Alabama Crimson Tide and UConn Huskies battle in the Final Four on Saturday
• The latest March Madness odds price the Tide as double-digit underdogs against the Huskies
• Read below for Alabama vs UConn prediction, odds and player props for Saturday March Madness

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Connecticut Huskies are set to clash in the March Madness Final Four on Saturday, April 6, 2024 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:49 PM ET and the game will be televised on TBS.

The Huskies enter as sizable 11.5-point favorites with the over/under total set at 160.5 points. Will Dan Hurley’s team be able to cover the spread, or do the Crimson Tide offer underdog value?

Let’s delve into our Alabama vs UConn prediction, as we analyze the odds and provide expert picks for Saturday’s March Madness game.

Alabama vs UConn Odds

In the Alabama vs UConn odds, the Huskies are massive -800 favorites to win the game outright, giving them 89% implied win probability.

The latest 2024 March Madness odds show Connecticut as the -205 repeat favorite, while Alabama is a +1729 longshot.

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Odds as of April 6, 2024, at ESPN Sportsbook. Claim the ESPN Bet promo code to bet on Alabama vs UConn Frozen Four.

Alabama Betting Analysis

Alabama (25-11) has been one of the most exciting teams to watch in this year’s NCAA Tournament. The Crimson Tide’s up-tempo, high-scoring offense has propelled them to their first Final Four appearance in program history.

Led by senior guard Mark Sears, who is averaging 21.5 points and 4.0 assists per game, Alabama has put up at least 89 points in three of their four tournament wins. Sears has been on fire from beyond the arc, draining 17 three-pointers at a 41% clip so far in the Big Dance.

Mark Sears hits from 👌#MarchMadness @AlabamaMBB pic.twitter.com/BmWOzk7Kfz

— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) March 31, 2024

The Tide also get major contributions from senior guard Aaron Estrada (13.3 ppg) and senior forward Grant Nelson. Alabama’s perimeter shooting has been their calling card – they’ve knocked down 48 total threes in the tournament on 41% shooting as a team.

In the Elite Eight against Clemson, the Tide rallied from a double-digit deficit thanks to a barrage of 10 second-half triples. However, Alabama will face their toughest test yet against a UConn team that has looked absolutely dominant.

The potential return of Alabama guard Latrell Wrightsell Jr. could provide a big boost. The sharp-shooting senior missed the regional games due to a head injury but says he is 100% and hopes to be cleared to play. Wrightsell leads the Tide in three-point percentage (43%) and has made all 27 of his free throws on the season.

Uconn Betting Analysis

The Huskies (35-3) are aiming to become the first repeat national champions since Florida in 2006-07. UConn has won all four of their tournament games by at least 17 points, with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points.

The Huskies are led by a trio of All-Big East performers in graduate guards Tristen Newton (15.0 ppg) and Cam Spencer (14.4 ppg), along with sophomore center Donovan Clingan. The 7-foot-2 Clingan has been a force in the middle, nearly averaging a double-double with 15.8 points, 10.0 rebounds, and 3.5 blocks per game in the tourney.

DONOVAN CLINGAN BLOCK AND SLAM 💥

Huskies are on fire. pic.twitter.com/mcwV60ijmg

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) March 30, 2024

In their Elite Eight demolition of Illinois, UConn put together one of the most impressive runs in NCAA Tournament history. After a sluggish first half offensively, the Huskies came out of the locker room on fire, going on a 30-0 blitz that spanned both halves and turned a close game into a slaughter.

Defensively, UConn has been a brick wall. In the last two tournaments, the Huskies have not allowed a single opponent to score more than 65 points. Their length, athleticism and discipline make them extremely difficult to score against. Connecticut ranks in the top 25 nationally in defensive efficiency.

Bama vs UConn Player Props

March Madness player props are now available for the Alabama vs UConn game, with oddsmakers setting Mark Sears with the highest point total at 19.5.

CBB Player Props odds as of Apr. 6th, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Register with the DraftKings promo code to bet on these player props. 

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Alabama vs UConn Prediction

For Alabama to pull off a huge upset, they need to play their game and not get bogged down by UConn’s preferred slower tempo (315th in the nation). The Tide want to run and gun and launch threes in transition. Getting out to a fast start and building an early lead would be huge for their confidence.

However, even if the Tide are clicking offensively, their defense will need to raise its level for a full 40 minutes. Alabama ranks in the bottom third of the country in forcing turnovers and allowing offensive rebounds, two areas that UConn could exploit.

Here are some key betting trends to note before making an Alabama vs UConn prediction:

• Alabama is 11-6 ATS in non-conference games this season
• The total has gone OVER in 13 of Alabama’s last 15 games
• UConn is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games

If Sears and Alabama’s shooters get hot and stay hot, they are more than capable of pulling off the upset. But the Huskies have been so dominant on both ends that it’s hard to pick against them.

Our best bet for the game is the Tide’s first-half spread of +6.5. Xavier, St. John’s, Marquette, San Diego State, and Illinois have all kept it close in the first half against UConn, and the Tide has the talent to do the same. The Huskies should eventually pull away, but their extensive travel could lead to a sluggish start.

Bama vs UConn Pick:

• Alabama 1H +6.5 (-110)