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Grand Canyon vs Alabama Odds, Picks & Predictions for March Madness Second Round

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Updated Mar 23, 2024 · 7:52 PM PDT

Alabama Crimson Tide guard Mark Sears gesturing after a three-pointer
Mar 22, 2024; Spokane, WA, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide guard Mark Sears (1) react after a basket during the second half in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament against the Charleston Cougars at Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
  • The #12 Grand Canyon Antelopes aim for their second upset in three days when they face the #4 Alabama Crimson Tide in Spokane
  • The Lopes handily beat #5 Saint Mary’s as 5.5-point underdogs, while Bama dominated Charleston
  • See the Grand Canyon vs Alabama odds, picks, and predictions for Sunday, March 24

After a decisive 75-66 win over Saint Mary’s on Friday night, the #12 Grand Canyon Antelopes (30-4, 3-0 neutral, 19-14 ATS) face the #4 Alabama Crimson Tide (18-15 ATS) at Spokane Arena in Spokane, WA, on Sunday, March 24.

The second-round NCAA Tournament game between Grand Canyon and Alabama tips off at 4:10 pm PT/7:10 pm ET. The Tide are listed as sizable favorites after blowing out #13 Charleston (109-96) in their opener.

Grand Canyon vs Alabama Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Grand Canyon Antelopes +6 (-110) +190 O 168.5 (-110)
Alabama Crimson Tide  -6 (-110) -240 U 168.5 (-110)

The Grand Canyon vs Alabama odds list the Crimson Tide as six-point favorites, despite the Lopes having a modest geographical advantage. The game total is at 168.5, which is 16 points higher than any total in the college basketball odds for the round of 32.

 

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Odds as of March 23 at Fanatics. Claim a Fanatics Sportsbook promo code before betting on GCU vs BAMA.

Bettors are all over GCU in the college basketball public betting splits. The Antelopes are getting 85% of ATS handle and 90% of moneyline handle so far, though tip-off is still 24 hours away.

Grand Canyon’s Takes Down Saint Mary’s With Big Defensive Effort

Back in the NCAA Tournament for the third time in four years, Bryce Drew’s Antelopes picked up their first March Madness victory since joining DI in the 2013-14 season with a decisive 75-66 win over #5 Saint Mary’s. GCU held the Gaels to just 45.2% (19-of-42) from two and 28% from three (7-of-25), while forcing Saint Mary’s into 13 turnovers.

YouTube video

Tyon Grant-Foster had a game-high 22 points on 6-of-13 shooting from the field. The 6’7 senior averaged 19.8 points, 6.0 rebounds, 1.7 steals, and 1.4 blocks per game while winning WAC Player of the Year.

While GCU didn’t play a daunting schedule, they are now 2-0 against top-20 teams. The Lopes also beat San Diego State (79-73 home) on Dec. 5. They are one of just five teams with 30 wins this season. Their four losses came to South Carolina (75-68 in Glendale), Seattle (89-79 away), Tarleton State (77-74 away), and Abilene Christian (79-73 away).

GCU vs BAMA – H2H Stats

Grand Canyon Stat Alabama
50th Overall Efficiency (KenPom) 15th
56th Offensive Efficiency 3rd
41st Defensive Efficiency 117th
34.2 (163rd) 3P% 37.0 (25th)
 52.4 (93rd) 2P% 57.7 (8th)
51.9 (107th) Eff. FG % 56,7 (9th)
17.7 (222nd) Turnover % 15.9 (96th)
34.1 (32nd) Off. Reb % 34.5 (29th)
70.3 (214th) Def. Reb. % 69.6 (236th)
116th Tempo 7th
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Alabama Puts up 109 Against Charleston

Alabama’s potent offense was on full display on Friday night, dropping 51 points while taking a 17-point lead into halftime (51-34) and outdoing themselves with another 58 in the second half en route to a 109-96 win that wasn’t as close as even the 13-point final margin suggests.

Leading scorer Mark Sears (21.4 PPG, 4.1 APG, 4.0 RPG) had a game-high 30 points and has now scored at least 20 in seven straight.

YouTube video

Latrell Wrightsell added 17 while going 5-of-6 from beyond the arc. As a team, the Tide shot 60% from the field (36-of-60) and 56% from three (13-of-23).

Defensively, the Tide were subpar (yet again), allowing 93 points and giving up 14 offensive rebounds on 38 opportunities. The Tide have now allowed 88 points or more in four straight.

Grand Canyon vs Alabama Prediction

I faded the Tide in the first round and am going to do so again. While their offense is as potent as any, they are playing with fire the way they defend. When their offense is just a little off-kilter, it leads to ugly losses. Of the Tide’s 11 setbacks this season, seven were by double-digits and five were by at least 14 points.

Grand Canyon showed on Friday – and also earlier in the season – it has the talent and coaching to beat top-tier teams, and they will come into Sunday’s matchup full of confidence.

Bettors can get the GCU moneyline as long as +210 at bet365.

GCU vs BAMA pick: Grand Canyon moneyline (+210)

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