Iowa State vs Iowa Odds & Picks (Dec. 8)
- It’s an intrastate clash when Iowa State take on Iowa on Thursday, December 8th
- The Iowa State Cyclones have hit the under in 7 of their 8 games this year
- Check out the Iowa State vs Iowa odds and predictions, below
It’s the battle of Iowa from the Carver-Hawkeye Arena on Thursday, December 8th when the Iowa State Cyclones (7-1, 5-3 ATS) battle their in-state rivals the Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2, 5-3 ATS). Tipoff for this game is set to go at 8:00 pm ET in what should be a very tight and entertaining matchup.
Somewhat surprisingly, the Hawkeyes are 6.5-point favorites in the college basketball odds for this game. The home side have lost two of their last three contests.
We break down this big Thursday night college ball clash below while providing the Iowa State vs Iowa betting odds as well as our prediction for this game.
Iowa State vs Iowa Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | +6.5 (-115) | +205 | O 140.5 (-120) |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | -6.5 (-105) | -255 | U 140.5 (-102) |
Odds as of December 7th at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel promo code to bet on the Iowa State vs Iowa game.
Big wins over big programs have ruled the day for Iowa State so far this year as they’ve already defeated North Carolina, Villanova and St. John’s. In contrast, Iowa is only 2-2 against power conference teams, and the Hawkeyes lost by double digits at home in two of their toughest games, to TCU and Duke.
Iowa State Betting Analysis
Well rested and coming off an impressive 71-60 victory over St. John’s, the Cyclones will be riding high heading into this rivalry matchup. Against the Red Storm, the Cyclones aggressive defense led the way, forcing 20 turnovers and limiting St. John’s to 36% shooting from the field.
Those numbers are even more impressive when you take into consideration that St, John’s was averaging 80.9 points per game on offense coming into that matchup. While the Cyclones rank 41st overall in the KenPom ratings, they’re 13th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency.
That terrific defense is the main reason they’ve gone under the betting total in seven of eight games so far this year. They have suffered one loss this year, a 71-53 beatdown to UConn where they sent the Huskies to the charity stripe 25 times.
Movin' On Up.#Cyclones | #C5C pic.twitter.com/VkwwiiYLN8
— Iowa State Men’s Basketball (@CycloneMBB) December 5, 2022
Staying out of foul trouble and preventing easy points in the process will be key to Iowa State having any success against the Hawkeyes.
Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Analysis
After starting the season 5-0, Iowa has slipped somewhat, losing two of their last three to stiffer competition. In addition, while they’re still 5-3 against the spread so far this year, they are just 1-3 ATS in their last four.
More is expected from Iowa than their intrastate opponents this year and perhaps those expectation along with the fact this is a home game is why they are the chalk in the college basketball odds.
They thrive on offense where their 116.1 adjusted offensive efficiency rating ranks 6th overall in Division I according to KenPom.
Kris Murray dropped a 30/20 game vs. Georgia Tech 😳 @KrisMurray24 | @IowaHoops pic.twitter.com/CZCn64Y6vZ
— ESPN (@espn) November 30, 2022
Leading scorer Kris Murray will look to put his poor performance against Duke in their most recent game behind him. The junior forward, who is averaging 19.4 points per game, had a season low eight points in Iowa’s last outing at the Jimmy V Classic. Murray also lead the Hawkeye’s in rebounds, averaging 10.1 boards per game.
Iowa State vs Iowa Prediction
It’s got to be unsettling for Iowa to look at the AP rankings and see the Cyclones sitting at number 20 in the nation, while the Hawkeyes look in from the outside. A win against Iowa State in this matchup could flip that script around rather quickly.
Iowa State vs Iowa Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2021 | ISU 73 – IOWA 53 | ISU | Under |
| 12/11/2020 | IOWA 105 – ISU 77 | IOWA | Over |
| 12/12/2019 | ISU 68 – IOWA 84 | IOWA | Under |
| 12/06/2018 | IOWA 98 – ISU 84 | IOWA | Over |
| 12/07/2017 | ISU 84 – IOWA 78 | Push | Over |
The home team has won six of the last seven games outright between these teams, so the advantage lies with Iowa there. Iowa State has already proven to be more than competent defensively against top level competition. It’s a reason to consider them a longshot in the odds to win March Madness.
The Cyclones are only giving up 56.8 points per game this year, so even if they lose, this will likely be a tight game. Another trend to note, the underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these two squads. Our best bet in the college basketball odds is to pick Iowa State to keep this one close.
Pick: Iowa State +6.5 (-115)
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George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.
