Ohio State vs San Diego State Picks & Odds (Nov. 21)
- #17 San Diego State is laying 4.5 points to Ohio State on Monday in the Ohio State vs San Diego State odds
- Both teams are off to 3-0 starts, although the Aztecs have played the much tougher schedule
- The Ohio State vs San Diego State odds can be found below, along with analysis and a bet to target
The Maui Invitational tips off on Monday with back-to-back-to-back-to-back games. The third contest on the schedule pits Ohio State (3-0) versus #17 San Diego State, with both teams entering play without a blemish on their record.
Online sportsbooks are slightly more bullish on the Aztecs than the Buckeyes, opening up San Diego State as a small favorite in the college basketball odds.
Ohio State vs #17 San Diego State Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes | +4.5 (-110) | +168 | O 143 (-110) |
| San Diego State Aztecs | -4.5 (-110) | -205 | U 143 (-110) |
Odds as of November 20 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Ohio State vs San Diego State game.
The Aztecs are currently 4.5-point favorites in a contest that features a total of 143. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 pm ET at Lahaina Civic Center in Lahaina, Hawaii, with ESPN2 providing the broadcast coverage.
San Diego State Betting Analysis
San Diego State enters play fresh off a 74-62 statement win at Stanford. The Aztecs knocked off the Cardinal for the first time in five career meetings, showcasing the depth and tenacious defense that earned them Mountain West preseason favorite status in the college basketball conference championship odds.
Leading scorer Jaedon Lee led the offense with 14 points, while Lamont Butler and Keshad Johnson each added 11 points. Six San Diego State players currently average at least 7 points per outing, while five rotational players shoot at least 54.5% from the field.
Trees chopped ✅#TheTimeIsNow pic.twitter.com/EEfutcMzo5
— San Diego State Men's Basketball (@Aztec_MBB) November 16, 2022
Defensively, this program profiles as one of the best in the country in their own end. The Aztecs rank eighth in adjusted defensive efficiency, and sixth in steal percentage. They’ve held their opponents to 64 points per game and under 9 assists.
They turned 17 Stanford turnovers into 21 points, and shot 51% from the field overall. After a gimme victory in their season opener against Cal-State Fullerton, they’ve now beaten BYU and the Cardinal, two top-63 teams in the nation.
Ohio State Betting Analysis
The Buckeyes road to 3-0 has been a lot softer. They’ve yet to be pushed, as none of the opening three opponents rank inside the top-275 in the nation.
Last time out, they pounded Eastern Illinois 65-43, a program that ranks 354th in the country. Freshman Brice Sensabaugh led the offense with a career-high 20 points, marking his third straight 14+ point performance.
Senior guard Tanner Holden chipped in 8 points, while junior forward Zed Key added his third straight double-double with 10 points and 14 boards.
The Sensa Sensation 🙌@bricepsensa | #Team124 pic.twitter.com/Z6TA96KE6F
— Ohio State Hoops 🌰 (@OhioStateHoops) November 17, 2022
If there’s an area Ohio State can dominate San Diego State in on Monday it’s on the glass. The Buckeyes held a 52-37 advantage on the glass in their previous outing and rank fourth in the nation in total rebounding.
Ohio State ranks eighth in average score margin (+28.7), but that can largely be attributed to their soft schedule. The same could be said of their defense, except the Buckeyes were strong at that end of the floor last season as well.
They’re allowing just 50.7 points per game so far, the fourth lowest mark in the country. Opponents are averaging just 6 assists, while no team in college hoops has yielded a lower opponent shooting efficiency mark.
Ohio State vs San Diego State Prediction
In a matchup of two sound defenses, we should look to target the under here. The Aztecs relentless defense is going to give the Buckeyes fits, while San Diego State is likely to suffer some serious regression from the field against the toughest set of defenders they’ve faced to date.
Ohio State’s 2022-23 Results
| Date | Away | Home | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2022 | Robert Morris | Ohio State | OSU, 91-53 |
| 11/10/2022 | Charleston Southern | Ohio State | OSU, 82-56 |
| 11/16/2022 | Eastern Illinois | Ohio State | OSU, 65-43 |
Pace is also working in favor of the under, as these two defenses make their opponents work harder than nearly anyone else. San Diego State’s defense forces an average possession length of 18.6 seconds, which is a full second and a half longer than the national average.
Ohio State doesn’t make enemy shooters work for quite so long, but it’s close. They force an average opponent possession length of 18.1 seconds, which is still a top-65 mark in all of college hoops.
Pick: Under 143 (-110)
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
