Over/Under March Madness Seeds – Will Kansas Be a #5 or Worse?

• The 2021 NCAA men’s basketball tournament is creeping closer and Selection Sunday (Mar. 14) is two weeks awa
• The final week of the regular season, plus conference tournaments, are sure to sway seedings for many teams
• DraftKings has set over/unders on seed-lines for several high-profile teams; three stand out as good bets

The month from which March Madness gets its name is upon us, and if you’re anything like me, you’re already itching to fill out an inevitably-flawed bracket. But you must have patience, because it’s not quite time for that yet.

Selection Sunday is exactly two weeks away (Mar. 14) and oddsmakers have set over/unders on where certain schools will be seeded.

Editor’s note: “over” represents higher numbers, not better seeds. If a team earns a #3 seed, then over 2.5 wagers would be graded winners. Under 2.5 wagers win if the team earns a #1 or #2 seed.  

NCAA Basketball Over/Under Seeding Odds

Odds as of March 1st at DraftKings. 

We’re going to take a look at three of these schools, but first please note that this article will reference bracketology projections from three places: ESPN, USA Today, and CBS Sports.

Kansas: Over/Under 4.5

The #13 Jayhawks (18-8, 12-6 Big 12) are used to being a top seed in the NCAA tournament, and that should be no different this year. Right now, all three bracketology projections have them as either a #3 or #4 seed.

They’re scorching right now, with an overtime loss to #15 Texas serving as their only blemish in the past seven games. Oh, and they just whipped #3 Baylor, 70-58.

Bring on March 👊

• 𝗥𝗲𝗹𝗶𝘃𝗲 🎥 #𝟭𝟳 𝗞𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗮𝘀 𝘃𝘀 #𝟮 𝗕𝗮𝘆𝗹𝗼𝗿 • pic.twitter.com/DzPsBhzMgV

— Kansas Men’s Basketball (@KUHoops) February 28, 2021

Kansas plays once more before entering the conference tournament, where they’ll be well rested and in position to go far. They feel like a logical #4 seed this year, but they could fare even better if they win the Big 12 tournament.

Pick: Under 4.5 (-112) 

Missouri: Over/Under 6.5

This is an excellent line for the Tigers (14-7, 7-7 SEC), who are seen as a #6 seed in two of the projections and a #7 seed in the other one. Looking more closely at their path to the tournament, I think a #7 seed is more likely.

Missouri has two scheduled games remaining: at Florida (30th in KenPom) and vs LSU (28th). Regardless of what happens in those games — and they could easily drop both — the Tigers will likely finish somewhere between seventh and tenth in the SEC entering the conference tournament.

🎥 The Highlights #ToTheFinishLine 🏁🐅 pic.twitter.com/9Q862iOsDR

— Mizzou Hoops (@MizzouHoops) February 20, 2021

That means they’ll see #8 Alabama or #12 Arkansas in the second round, assuming they get there. No thanks. A presumed two-and-out showing (at best) in the conference tournament will not get them a #6 seed.

Pick: Over 6.5 (-106)

Wisconsin: Over/Under 8.5

The #25 Badgers (16-9, 10-8 Big Ten) close with a pair of tough road matchups — #23 Purdue and #5 Iowa — because that’s just how life goes in the Big Ten. It’s a gauntlet.

But those games provide the Badgers with a chance to boost their stock, as does the conference tournament to follow. Wisconsin will probably need to win one of their final two games, and make it into the quarters (if not the semis) of the Big Ten to earn an 8-seed or better. But that’s definitely doable for this veteran-laden squad oozing with tournament experience.

Celebrating our Seniors 💯👏

We've got a behind-the-scenes look at yesterday's Senior Day ceremony pic.twitter.com/WVhyJuruZA

— Wisconsin Basketball (@BadgerMBB) February 28, 2021

Oh, and all the bracketology projections are under, which is nice to see. That adds a little bit of confidence to this pick.

Pick: Under 8.5 (-112)