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2022 Big 12 Title Odds, Picks and Conference Preview – Oklahoma Slight Favorites Over Texas

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in College Football

Updated Aug 9, 2022 · 8:53 AM PDT

Dillon Gabriel rolling out
OU quarterback Dillon Gabriel scrambles during the Sooners' spring game on April 23 at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman. jump
  • The Oklahoma Sooners are the betting favorite to win the Big 12 Conference Title in 2022
  • Baylor won the title last year, and sit fourth on the betting table this season
  • Read below for 2022 Big 12 odds, analysis, and betting prediction

Perhaps it’s fitting that the two teams that likely detonated the Big 12 as we know it — and perhaps, soon enough from existence — would be the ones competing for the conference crown this year.

Yet that’s where we are, as the Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns, en route to the SEC by the summer of 2025, sit head and shoulders above the rest of the field in the Big 12 Conference Championship odds.

2022 Big 12 Championship Odds

Team Odds
Oklahoma Sooners +200
Texas Longhorns +280
Oklahoma State Cowboys +550
Baylor Bears +650
TCU Horned Frogs +1200
Kansas State Wildcats +1200
Iowa State Cyclones +1600
West Virginia Mountaineers +3000
Texas Tech Red Raiders +4500
Kansas Jayhawks +25000

Odds from DraftKings on Aug. 8

Whether they’re the best bet is debatable, as the field of contenders includes the always-tough Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Baylor Bears, the defending Big 12 champs.

There’s also a legit dark horse looming, which could be worthy of a wager. Let’s dive into these odds, and find you the best bet.

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Sooners and Longhorns Not Sure Bets

Oklahoma is the only Big 12 squad in the top 15 of the National Championship odds, and their biggest changes are in the coaching ranks, where Brent Venables takes over for Lincoln Riley.

One of the Sooners’ other high-profile additions is offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby, who comes via Ole Miss and will be tasked with bringing the best out of transfer-QB Dillon Gabriel, who had his best season at UCF with Lebby calling in plays in 2019.

That year, Gabriel completed 59.3% of his passes for a career-best 3,653 yards, tossing 29 TDs to just seven interceptions.

You have to wonder about that defense though: they surrendered 5.93 yards per snap in conference games a year ago and that’s before losing key cogs in Nik Bonitto, Perrion Winfrey and Isaiah Thomas.

OU’s biggest threat on paper are the Longhorns, who have consistently stumbled through “this is the year ” hype.

Last year was much of the same for Texas, a 5-7 finish on the year, and 3-6 in conference play, good for seventh in the 10-team league, which included a trio of losses to Baylor, OU and OSU where they held double-digit leads after halftime.

Optimism abounds, though, with an offensive attack dotted with big-play ability all over the field, starting with the addition of QB Quinn Ewers. He should eventually push Hudson Card out of the starter spot, while superstar Bijan Robinson has things covered at running back. Robinson and Ewers are both top-10 in the latest Heisman Trophy odds.

Receiver Isaiah Nayor and tight end Jahleel Billingsley are both transfers that will add to a unit of pass catchers already sound with Xavier Worthy, Jordan Whittington’s and Ja’Tavion Sanders.

Don’t Sleep on KState

Oklahoma State and Baylor — two finalists in last year’s conference championship tilt — both feature solid squads, though their rosters have seen a lot of turnover.

The Cowboys were an impressive 12-2 in 2021, powered by a defense that returns Brock Martin and Collin Oliver, a duo that racked up 19.5 sacks a year ago. Their secondary is a concern, though, stripped of four starters while tackling machine Malcolm Rodriguez has also moved on to the NFL.

Even the most ardent Baylor fan is hard pressed to think their squad can go back-to-back after they ended OU’s six-year title run a year ago. Like OSU, the Bears were powered by defense, surrendering just 18.3 points a game and there’s still plenty to like, with nose tackle Siaki Ika and LB Dillon Doyle starring. They also feature an offensive line that should protect Blake Shapen and open up holes for whoever replaces Abram Smith.

The schedule doesn’t do them any favors, however, as they’ll have to travel to Oklahoma and Texas for their head-to-heads this season.

Looking for a long shot? The Kansas State Wildcats might be worth a wager as they bring back a lot of the pieces to a defense that surrendered 21 points a game, with Felix Anudike-Uzomah and Eli Huggins powering a sturdy front seven.

KState was one of only four Big 12 teams to surrender 275 points or less last year, but they were the only one of those squads to not score more than 400 points (358).

They’re hoping Nebraska transfer QB Adrian Martinez breathes some life and tempo onto the offensive side and help open up more space for all-purpose back Deuce Vaughan.

At +1200, they’re a good bet, but look for OU to get back on top of the Big 12 mountain.

The pick: Oklahoma (+200)

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