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Alabama vs Auburn Odds, Spread & Prediction – 2023 Iron Bowl

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Updated Nov 24, 2023 · 11:39 AM PST

Alabama is a 13.5-road favorite at Auburn in the annual Iron Bowl.
Nov 18, 2023; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide running back Justice Haynes (22) celebrates with quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) after scoring a touchdown against the Chattanooga Mocs at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Alabama won 66-10. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports
  • The #8 Alabama Crimson Tide are 13.5-point road favorites over the Auburn Tigers in the annual Iron Bowl game on Saturday, November 25
  • Auburn is 2-1-1 ATS in the past four games against Alabama
  • The Tigers are 3-0 ATS in the last three home games facing the Crimson Tide

Long before arriving at the Iron Bowl to face their arch rivals the Auburn Tigers (6-5, 5-6 ATS), the #8 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1, 8-3 ATS) were ironing out their early-season problems.

Since losing to Texas, Alabama is 9-0 straight up and 7-2 against the spread. Now the Crimson Tide will try to figure out another recent anomaly – their inability to cover against the Tigers, particularly in games played at Auburn.

Alabama is 1-2-1 ATS in the past four meetings with Auburn. On the road, the Crimson Tide are 0-3 ATS against the Tigers.

Alabama is arriving at Auburn as 13.5-point road favorites in the Crimson Tide vs Tigers odds. It’s actually the first time in four games against the Tigers that Alabama isn’t a 20+ point chalk.

Let’s take a deep dive into the Alabama vs Auburn odds and offer you our prediction for this Week 13 clash of SEC rivals.

Alabama vs Auburn Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Alabama Crimson Tide -550 -13.5 (-110) Over 48.5 (-110)
Auburn Tigers +410 +13.5 (-110) Under 48.5 (-110)

In the Alabama vs Auburn odds, the Crimson Tide are -550 moneyline favorites, giving them a 84.62% implied win probability. The total is set at 48.5 points. The winning team has scored at least 40 points in four of the last five games between these two rivals.

 

Odds as of Nov. 23 at DraftKings. Check out our DraftKings Review before betting on Crimson Tide vs Tigers and other college football Week 13 action this week.

 

Last year, Alabama won 49-27 at home over Auburn, creating a push as 22-point home favorites. At home against the Crimson Tide, the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in the last five games.

Kickoff for this game at Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday, November 25 is set for 3:30 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS.

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Betting Trends

The college football public betting splits are leaning toward Alabama, even as a double-digit favorite. The Crimson Tide are drawing 61% of spread handle and 75% of bets. Alabama is 4-2 ATS as the double-digit chalk this season.

Alabama is 4-1 SU in the past five games against Auburn. The Tide are also 3-1 ATS as a road team this season. The Tigers are 3-1 ATS in their last four games. Auburn is 4-2-1 ATS in the last seven games as a double-digit underdog against Alabama.

The over/under is 5-5 in the past 10 Alabama vs Auburn games. When the Tigers are at home against the Crimson Tide, three of the last four games went under.

Alabama is the fifth betting choice in the National Championship odds at +700. The Crimson Tide are given a +165 betting line when it comes to qualifying for the CFP.

Alabama On A Roll

The Roll Tide chant of Alabama fans has certainly been in vogue over the past two months. Since a 34-24 home loss to Texas, not only have the Crimson Tide gone 9-0 SU, they’ve rolled three ranked teams in the process.

Last week’s 66-10 drubbing of FCS squad Chattanooga extended Alabama’s NCAA record of consecutive 10-win seasons to 16 years. The Tide have also won 19 games in a row SU against unranked teams. Nick Saban is 123-4 (.969) against unranked schools as Alabama head coach.

https://twitter.com/VernFunquist/status/1725969867898003556

Alabama QB Jalen Millroe has been explosive over the past three games. Milroe is 43-of-61 (70.5% completion rate) passing for 650 yards and six TDs. At the same time, he’s run the ball 31 times for 190 yards and seven TDs.

Home Cooking Not Tasty For Tigers

There many be no place like home, but don’t try convincing the Tigers of that fact. Auburn was whipped 31-10 at home last week by New Mexico State. Overall this season, the Tigers are 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS over their past four home games.

Auburn relies on its defense and run game. The Tigers lead the SEC in red zone defense (.778). Auburn is also third in the SEC in third-down defense (.309) and fourth in scoring defense (21.5) and pass efficiency defense (127.84). The Tigers are tied with Arkansas for the lead in the SEC in turnovers forced with 17 (11 interceptions, six fumbles recovered).

Offensively, the Tigers rank third in the SEC and are 21st in the nation in rushing offense. Auburn is averaging 194.3 yards per game

Alabama vs Auburn Prediction

Auburn has played Alabama tough at home, going 10-6 SU vs the Tide all-time at Jordan-Hare Stadium. But this is not a good Auburn team.

The Tigers are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against ranked teams. That includes an 0-3 slate this season.

Alabama vs Auburn Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 (-112)

 

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