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Betting Handle in Clemson vs UNC Is at 94% in Favor of the Tigers (-27)

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in College Football

Updated Apr 8, 2020 · 6:47 PM PDT

The Clemson Tigers running out of the tunnel
The Clemson Tigers are a massive 27-point favorite at North Carolina in Week 5. Photo by Jim Ferguson (Wiki Commons) [CC License].
  • The Clemson Tigers have won all of their game by at least 14 points this season
  • North Carolina has lost two straight, including a home loss to Appalachian State last week
  • Clemson opened at -24.5, but the action on them has pushed the line up to -27

The Clemson Tigers are a perfect 4-0 and have yet to win by fewer than 14 points. That’s why it’s no surprise they’re being hammered by the betting public this week in their matchup with a North Carolina team that’s simply not very good.

According to sportsbooks, 94% of the betting handle at the site is on the Tigers, pushing the Clemson vs UNC odds up to Tigers -27. Is the #1 team in the nation still worth a bet at this price?

Clemson vs North Carolina Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Clemson Tigers -27 (-110) -3400 Over 60 (-110)
North Carolina Tar Heels +27 (-110) +1358 Under 60 (-110)

*Odds taken 09/27/19 .

Tigers Have Rolled Even As Lawrence Has Struggled

The Tigers were supposed to be the top team in the ACC this season – arguably the country – and that’s exactly what they’ve been so far. While that’s not surprising, what has been unexpected is how this team has gotten to 4-0.

Quarterback Trevor Lawrence was expected to dominate college football, entering the year as the Heisman Trophy co-favorite; but the Clemson pivot already has five interceptions after throwing just four on 397 attempts last season.

Meanwhile, the Tigers defense, which was supposed to be rebuilding, has been downright terrifying even after losing a ton of talent to the NFL.

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What’s scary to think about with this team is how good would they be if Lawrence was balling out like he was last season? They’re already blowing opponents out and haven’t reached their ceiling.

North Carolina Is Not Very Good

There was a lot of excitement about the Tar Heels after the first two weeks of the season. They upset their rivals from South Carolina in their opener and then beat the Miami Hurricanes. However, when you look up the records at this point, South Carolina is just 1-3 with a win over Charleston, while Miami is 2-2 and nearly lost at home to Central Michigan last week.

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All the optimism around UNC has dissipated the last two weeks. They lost on the road at Wake Forest and then came home and lost to Appalachian State.

If they can’t beat App State, how can they possibly hang with the top team in the country?

Tigers Could Be Sleepy

It’s not often that Clemson shows up to a game sleepy, but this could be one of the spots. The Tigers are probably feeling like they can take it easy in this game and still beat the Tar Heels – especially since Appalachian State just went to Chapel Hill and won. The Tigers also have a bye coming up so they may be looking forward to a week off.

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At the same time, if Clemson shows up focused, North Carolina will never be in this game. This is going to be the toughest defense and offense that the Tar Heels have faced, and they’re barely 2-2 against weaker foes.

A 27-point spread is big, but Clemson – with so-so efforts – already beat Georgia Tech and Syracuse by 35 or more without playing terribly well.

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My best bet in this game is the over. Clemson will do their part and I expect North Carolina to make a game of this for at least a half.

Freshman quarterback Sam Howell is completing 64% of his passes so far this season with at least two touchdowns in every game. He’ll do his part to get us over the number.

Pick: Over 60.0 (-110)

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