Georgia vs Mississippi State Odds, Lines, Prediction & Best Bets
- The top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs are 17-point road favorites at Mississippi State
- Both teams rank inside the top 10 in passing yards per game this season
- See below for odds, analysis and our betting prediction
After claiming no. 1 in the polls after dumping Tennessee, the Georgia Bulldogs (9-0. 6-0 SEC) are on schedule for the SEC Championship Game — which would be their fifth appearance in the last six seasons.
Their opponent Saturday (November 12), the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-3, 3-3 SEC), will try to throw a wrench in those plans.
It all gets underway at 7pm ET from Davis Wade stadium, in a game you can see live on ESPN.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [1] Georgia Bulldogs | -17 (-107) | -835 | Ov 53.5 (-113) |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | +17 (-114) | +550 | Un 53.5 (-108) |
Odds as of Nov 10 from Barstool Sporstbook. And don’t forget to check out the Barstool Sportsbook promo code
Georgia enters as a 17-point road favorite, with a total featuring 53.5.
They’re one of four teams at the top of the rankings still undefeated at 9-0, along with Ohio State, Michigan and TCU.
They’ll be taking on a Bulldogs squad that’s 5-0 at home this season, having scored no less than 39 points in any of those wins.
Georgia Betting Outlook
Nothing like a showdown win to show you’re still the team to beat.
The Bulldogs took down the Tennessee Volunteers 27-13 in Week 10, in one of the biggest games of the season to date.
Georgia’s defense rose to the occasion on this one, limiting the Volunteers to their season low in points. This was a team that was averaging 49.4 points during their 8-0 start, not scoring fewer than 34 points in any contest.
Heisman Trophy hopeful Hendon Hooker was held to a season-low 159 yards passing and an interception, and got sacked six times. The Vols’ run game could muster only 94 yards on 42 carries.
Ladd McConkey WIDE OPEN for a Georgia TD 🐶
(via @CBSSports)pic.twitter.com/Hch4DHtiWy
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) November 5, 2022
Offensively, Georgia was led by QB Stenson Bennett, who was 17-for-25 for 257 yards and two scores, as Georgia built a 24-6 hafltime lead and never looked back. Bennett connected with Ladd McConkey five times for 94 yards and a touchdown.
On the season, the ‘Dawgs are putting up 320.2 passing yards per game, which is 10th in the nation. Mississippi State sits a respectable 38th in pass yards allowed at 210.2 yards per game. We’ll see how they hold up Saturday.
UGA is one of 11 schools in FBS to average 40 points or more per game (40.1). They’re also second in the nation in points allowed (10.8). They are one of only two teams to hold the opposition to 10 points.
Mississippi State Betting Outlook
After back-to-back road losses to Kentucky (then-22nd) and Alabama (then-6th), Mississippi State got back to their friendly confines and defeated Auburn 39-33 in Week 10.
Bulldogs’ QB Will Rogers had himself a game, going 42-for-59 for 357 yards and three TD’s, against one interception.
It was a diversified passing attack, as 10 players caught a pass against the Tigers. Seven receivers caught at least four passes, with Rara Thomas leading the way with six grabs for 84 yards and a touchdown.
RECORD
BOOKSWill Rogers has now thrown the most TD passes in Mississippi State history 🔥 pic.twitter.com/roCNcmU1RH
— SEC Network (@SECNetwork) November 6, 2022
Mississippi State loves to chuck it, as they’ve attempted the most passes in the NCAA this year at 448 — 25 pass attempts clear of the next closest school. They rank eighth in the nation pumping out 325 yards per game.
For their part, the Georgia is a stout 15th against the pass, surrendering just 179.1 yards per game, and they’re tied with Illinois for the fewest passing touchdowns allowed this season, with five.
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Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction
The key number in this game is the passing yards total. Mississippi State is a perfect 6-0 this season when they cross 300 yards passing and 0-3 when they don’t. On the year, Georgia hasn’t allowed any quarterback to toss for more than 275.
Georgia has dominated this battle of the Bulldogs in recent years, piling up a 7-1 mark straight up in the last eight, but they are just 4-4 against the spread.
In fact, on the year, the Bulldogs haven’t been a bettors delight, going just 5-4 ATS in nine games on the season. Hey, massive lines will do that to you — seven of Georgia’s nine wins this year have come by at least 17 points.
I do think it will be a tough start for UGA after such a big win last week, and Mississippi State has played well at home.
Still, look for the best team in the nation to find their bearings and roll.
The Pick:
- Georgia -17 (-107); 1 unit to win 0.93 units
- Week 10 NCAAF Record: 0-2: Overall: 4-6 ATS, 1-0 ML, 1-2 o/u; -2.45 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
