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Heisman Odds After Week 6: Dillon Gabriel Enters Top Five

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated Oct 8, 2023 · 6:00 AM PDT

Oct 7, 2023; Dallas, Texas, USA; Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Dillon Gabriel (8) celebrates with the golden hat after the win against the Texas Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
  • OU quarterback Dillon Gabriel is now a top-five favorite in the Heisman odds
  • Caleb Williams remains the MVP favorite, although his lead in the race is shrinking
  • Read below for the updated Heisman odds after Week 6 of the college football season

Oklahoma quarterback Dillon Gabriel is now a top-five favorite in the Heisman odds. The senior pivot saw his college football MVP chances skyrocket after putting on a show in the Red River Showdown against Texas in Week 6.

USC quarterback Caleb Williams remains the Heisman favorite after the sixth week of the NCAAF season, although a few of his fellow Pac-12 quarterbacks are hot on his heels. Meanwhile, one ACC quarterback is re-entering the MVP conversation.

Let’s take a look at the updated Heisman odds after Week 6, plus break down the movement.

Heisman Odds

Player Odds
Caleb Williams (QB, USC) +180
Michael Penix Jr. (QB, Washington) +200
Bo Nix (QB, Oregon) +600
Dillon Gabriel (QB, Oklahoma) +1200
Jordan Travis (QB, Florida State) +1700
Drake Maye (QB, North Carolina) +1700
J.J. McCarthy (QB, Michigan) +3000
Jayden Daniels (QB, LSU) +3000
Tyler Van Duke (QB, Miami) +3000
Shadeur Sanders (QB, Colorado) +2800
Brock Bowers (TE, Georgia) +4000
Blake Corum (RB, Michigan) +5000
Quinn Ewers (QB, Texas) +5000
Drew Allar (QB, Penn State) +6000
Sam Hartman (QB, Notre Dame) +6000
Joe Milton (QB, Tennessee) +5500
DJ Uiagalelei (QB, Oregon State) +6000
Cameron Ward (QB, Washington State) +6000
Marvin Harrison Jr (WR, Ohio State) +8000
Carson Beck (QB, Georgia) +8000
Kyle McCord (QB, Ohio State) +8000

In the Heisman odds after Week 6, USC quarterback Caleb Williams is the +180 favorite, giving him a 36% implied probability of winning the trophy.

 

Odds as of Oct.8 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Use this FanDuel promo code to bet on the Heisman. 

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Dillon Gabriel Heisman Odds

Oklahoma quarterback Dillon Gabriel has entered the top five in the Heisman odds after putting on a show against Texas in the 2023 Red River Showdown. FanDuel dropped Gabriel’s MVP odds from +1600 to +1200 following OU’s wild 34-30 victory.

Gabriel passed for 285 yards and one touchdown, plus rushed for 113 yards and an additional score to propel his team to victory. Gabriel didn’t play in last season’s Red River Showdown due to a concussion, but he showed what the team was missing Saturday.

Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers, meanwhile, saw his Heisman odds move in the opposite direction following the game. FanDuel lengthened Ewers’ Heisman odds from +900 to +4000 after the Longhorns’ pivot threw two interceptions in his first loss of the year.

Caleb Williams Heisman Odds

USC quarterback Caleb Williams remains the Heisman favorite after Week 6 of the NCAAF season, although his lead is shrinking. Williams saw his Heisman odds lengthen from +170 to +180 after narrowly escaping Arizona with a 43-41 triple-overtime victory.

Williams accounted for four touchdowns in the victory, but it’s clear that oddsmakers are starting to worry about Williams and the Trojans. Even though Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. and Oregon’s Bo Nix enjoyed a bye week, both players experienced a bump in their Heisman odds.

As Williams and USC struggled with low Arizona, FanDuel shortened Penix Jr. Heisman odds from +380 to +200 and adjusted Nix’s price from +900 to +600. These two Pac-12 quarterbacks are preparing for a huge Week 7 showdown which will certainly impact the Heisman race.

Other Movement in Heisman Odds

It was an eventful week for the Heisman race, with odds movement occurring up and down the board. The other big riser was UNC quarterback Drake Maye, who saw his Heisman odds skyrocket from +4000 to +1700 after accounting for nearly 500 yards of total offense and four TDs in a win over Syracuse.

Florida State quarterback Jordan Travis, meanwhile, faded from +1700 to +3000 after tossing for just 170 yards in a win over Virginia Tech. Oddsmakers also weren’t impressed by Miami quarterback Tyler Van Dyke in an upset loss to Georgia Tech.

Van Dyke, who entered the day with the seventh-best Heisman odds at FanDuel (+3000), concluded the night outside the top-30 contenders with massive +25000 longshot odds. You simply don’t see a drop like that too often.

 

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