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Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Odds and Picks – Prediction for 2022 Egg Bowl

Nick Holz

by Nick Holz in College Football

Updated Nov 22, 2022 · 6:00 AM PST

Mississippi State Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers makes a pass
Oct 1, 2022; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers (2) makes a pass against the Texas A&M Aggies during the fourth quarter at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports
  • Mississippi State visits Ole Miss for the 119th Egg Bowl on Thursday, November 24th
  • The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six Mississippi State vs Ole Miss meetings
  • Explore all the odds for this exhilarating Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Egg Bowl below

This year’s Egg Bowl is sure to be a thrilling affair. After your backyard game of pigskin, grab a turkey leg and head to the couch to watch Mississippi State vs Ole Miss.

Mississippi State (7-4) handily dispatched East Tennessee State in a 56-7 rout on Saturday.

While Ole Miss (8-3) suffered a surprising 42-27 loss to Arkansas last week.

The 119th edition of the Egg Bowl kicks off on Thursday night at 7pm over on ESPN. Until then, check out all the odds and our best bets for Mississippi State vs Ole Miss below.

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Egg Bowl Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Mississippi State +2.5 (-110) +115 Over 59 (-110)
Ole Miss -2.5 (-115) -141 Under 59 (-110)

Odds as of November 21st at BetMGM.

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Ole Miss enters this year’s Egg Bowl as 2.5-point favorites over their in-state rivals. While the total for Mississippi State vs Ole Miss sits at 59. Presently, 55% of bets placed are on the Rebels to cover the spread.

Mississippi State Betting Trends

Mike Leach enters this year’s Egg Bowl desperate for a victory after having lost each of the past two match-ups.

Quarterback Will Rogers arrives brimming with confidence after throwing for 301 yards and five touchdowns in the Bulldogs’ victory over East Tennessee State last week. Predictably, Rogers has racked up the numbers in Leach’s Air Raid offense. The junior pivot has thrown for nearly 3,500 yards with 32 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions.

Even more impressively, Mississippi State has put up 33.5 points per game and nearly 400 yards of offense on the back of Rogers arm.

On the other side of the football, the Bulldogs are vulnerable against the run. However, Mississippi State has been fantastic at forcing opponents into mistakes. The Bulldogs defensive unit has come up with turnovers at opportune times all season, forcing 21 so far. If the Bulldogs can ramp up the pressure on Jaxson Dart, and create chaos, they’ll have a shot at a Thanksgiving upset.

Wins over Auburn and East Tennessee State don’t exactly inspire confidence. A win over Ole Miss, on the other hand, would help the Bulldogs secure a more favorable bowl game in the post-season. However, Mississippi State is 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 SEC games.

Ole Miss Betting Trends

After an unbelievable start to the season, Ole Miss’ campaign has fallen off the rails over the past few weeks.

A blistering 7-0 beginning had Rebels fans thinking College Football Playoff. Regrettably, losses to LSU and Alabama curtailed that expectation quickly. Despite that, Ole Miss remains a dangerous football team, with plenty to build on for next season.

Lane Kiffin has reeled in his pass-happy roots to unleash a devastating rushing attack.

The Rebels have averaged an impressive 505 yards of total offense and 278 rushing yards per game. Led by freshman running back Quinshon Judkins the Ole Miss rushing attack has been a sight to behold.

One of the most impressive prospects in the nation, Judkins and veteran Zach Evans have wreaked havoc on opponents’ game plans all year long. Judkins has averaged nearly 6 yards per carry while racking up 1385 yards and 16 touchdowns. To have a chance of pulling off the upset, the Bulldogs must slow down this backfield.

Ole Miss is in a bad spot here, as the underdog has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 meetings between Mississipi and Mississippi State.

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction

While the spread is appealing, the real value in betting on this year’s Egg Bowl lies in the total. The trends are impossible to ignore. Since the turn of the century, the under has hit in 16 of 21 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss games. Moreover, the under has hit in 8 of the last 10 Egg Bowls.

Pick: Mississippi State vs Ole Miss UNDER 59 (-110)

 

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