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Navy vs Notre Dame Odds, Pick & Prediction for Week 0

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Updated Aug 25, 2023 · 12:05 PM PDT

Notre Dame Fighting Irish players celebrating a TD against the Navy Midshipmen
Nov 12, 2022; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Notre Dame Fighting Irish wide receiver Braden Lenzy (0) celebrates with teammates after scoring a first half touchdown against the Navy Midshipmen at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
  • The #13-ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 20.5-point favorites over the Navy Midshipmen in their college football Week 0 game on Saturday, August 26
  • This game is taking place in Dublin, Ireland, where the Irish are 2-0 straight up and against the spread against the Midshipmen
  • Read below for Navy vs Notre Dame odds, pick and prediction for college football week 0

As the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Navy Midshipmen clash in Dublin, Ireland in their college football Week 0 game, it’s certain that Irish eyes will be smiling.

So, too, according to the oddsmakers, will Fighting Irish eyes. They’ve set Notre Dame as a large 20.5-point favorite over Navy, with the over/under listed at 49.

Let’s dive into the Navy vs Notre Dame odds and offer you our prediction for this college football week 0 showdown.

Navy vs Notre Dame Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Navy Midshipmen +950 +20.5 (-110) Over 49 (-110)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -1700 -20.5 (-110) Under 49 (-110)

In the Navy vs Notre Dame odds, the Fighting Irish are -1700 moneyline favorites, giving them a 91.67% implied win probability.

Odds as of August 23 at Caesars. Be sure to claim a Caesars promo code to bet on Fighting Irish vs Midshipmen and other college football Week 0 action this week.

 

While these two schools are meeting for the 94th time since 1927, this is still a first. They’ve never opened the college football season playing each other. Notre Dame holds a 79-13-1 all-time straight-up edge over Navy.

Kickoff for this game at Aviva Stadium on Saturday, August 26 is set for 2:30pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by NBC.

Midshipmen vs Fighting Irish Betting Splits

In the public betting splits, the money is now on the underdog. Navy as +20.5 is garnering 56% of handle and 40% of bets in the spread split. The Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last six games, however. Moneyline bets are trending toward Irish green. There’s 56% of handle and 90% of bets on Notre Dame at -1700. The Fighting Irish are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games against the Midshipmen.

The total is set at 49 points.  The over has hit in eight of the last 10 games between Notre Dame and Navy and that play is drawing 61% of handle and 64% of bets.

Notre Dame is the co-13th betting choice in the National Championship odds at +3000.  Finishing 4-8 last season, Navy’s 2023 NCAA win total odds are set at 6.5. Over is worth +120, while under grabs the favored betting line of -150.

Hartman To Make Notre Dame Debut

Arguably the biggest transfer move of the 2023 football season is QB Sam Hartman’s decision to leave Wake Forest for Notre Dame. He threw for 77 touchdowns and almost 8,000 yards over the past two seasons.

When he’s not looking downfield, Hartman can hand off to RB Audric Estime. He led the Irish with 920 yards and 11 TDs on the ground, while grinding out 5.9 yards per carry.

Defensively, the strength of the Irish unit is their linebackers, led by JD Bertrand and his team-high 82 tackles. That’s vital, because they’ll need to be making the reads to shut down the vaunted Navy option.

New Coach In Charge Of Navy

Brian Newberry has been elevated from defensive coordinator to head coach following the departure of Ken Niumatalolo from Navy. However, don’t expect the option run game to stop being the bread and butter of the Midshipmen.

Look for Navy to alternate Blake Horvath and Tai Lavatai at QB. Horvath is the better passer, but has yet to take a snap in NCAA football. Lavatai’s 2022 season was cut short by a knee injury. His ability to run keys their option attack. Top rusher Daba Fofana (769 yards, six TDs) returns to the backfield.

Defensively, Navy was effective at stopping the run last season. The Middies limited opponents to 3.0 yards per carry on the ground.

Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction

This will be the third Notre Dame vs Navy game to take place on the Emerald Isle. In 2012, it finished 50-10 Irish. The 1996 contest went 54-27 in favor of Notre Dame.

Notre Dame rates #9 in the Football Power Index College Football rankings, with a projected per game margin of victory of 18.4 points. At #108 on this chart, Navy is projecting per-game losses by a 9.3-point margin.

Over the past four games against Navy, Notre Dame is scoring an average of 41 points per game. the Irish were among four teams to score 35+ points vs the Midshipmen last season.

Navy vs Notre Dame Pick: Notre Dame -20.5 (-110)

 

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