Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Nov. 25)

• Ohio State vs Michigan takes place in College Football Week 13 on Saturday, November 25th
• The latest OSU vs Michigan odds price the Wolverines as short home favorites at the Big House
• Read below for Ohio State vs Michigan prediction, odds and player props

It’s a battle of Big 10 unbeatens when Ohio State (11-0) and Michigan (11-0) clash in College Football Week 13 on Saturday. Kickoff is 12 PM ET at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, with FOX providing the broadcast coverage

The Wolverines are a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Michigan vs Ohio State odds, with the over/under offered at 46.5 points. There are also plenty of player props to wager on, such as Marvin Harrison Jr. receiving yards and Blake Corum’s rushing yards.

Let’s into our Ohio State vs Michigan prediction for 2023, plus provide player props to bet along with the odds.

Ohio State vs Michigan Odds

In the Ohio State vs Michigan odds, the Wolverines are -162 moneyline favorites, giving them a 62% implied win probability. The Buckeyes come back as +136 underdogs, giving them 42% implied win probability.

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Odds as of November 25, 2023, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code for November to bet on “The Game”.

Ohio State vs Michigan History & Trends

Over the last 10 years, Ohio State has dominated the rivalry – posting an 8-2 record with eight straight wins from 2012 to 2019, winning by an average margin of 15 points per game. However, Michigan has bounced back to win the last two meetings in 2021 and 2022.

In the last matchup in 2022, Michigan closed as a 7.5-point underdog and won 45-23, covering the spread with ease. The Wolverines dominated the Buckeyes in the trenches, racking up 252 rushing yards, including 216 from Donovan Edwards.

With back-to-back spread covers, the Wolverines are now 6-3 ATS in their past nine games against Ohio State. The “over” has also cashed in five straight games between the Big 10 rivals.

Buckeyes Betting Analysis

The Buckeyes have steamrolled through their schedule so far, winning every game by double digits. Last week, Ohio State easily dispatched Minnesota 37-3 behind RB TreVeyon Henderson’s 146 rushing yards. QB Kyle McCord was efficient, throwing for 212 yards and 2 TDs.

TreVeyon Henderson is having himself a game for @OhioStateFB 💪

⬜️ 146 YDS
⬜️ 15 CAR
⬜️ 2 TDS pic.twitter.com/lZHjwCJDXb

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 18, 2023

OSU WR Marvin Harrison Jr. is a game-changer, ranking top 5 nationally in receiving TDs (11) and yards (914). RB TreVeyon Henderson is heating up at the right time with four 100-plus yard games in his past five contests.

Ohio State’s defense has been dominant all season, ranking 2nd by allowing just 10.7 points per game. Ohio State is 7-3 against the spread this season, while the Under has hit in six of OSU’s games.

Wolverines Betting Analysis

Michigan narrowly survived a scare last week, beating Maryland 31-24. The Wolverines struggled offensively behind QB J.J. McCarthy’s 141 passing yards. RB Blake Corum was contained to just 94 rushing yards.

PICKED OFF

The @TerpsFootball defense comes up with a big-time stop 🛑 pic.twitter.com/rlUZO5tzXK

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 18, 2023

Senior RB Corum powers the offense with 1,349 rushing yards and 17 TDs, while QB J.J. McCarthy makes big plays both through the air and on the ground. The junior pivot has completed 73% of his passes for 2,335 yards and 18 TDs, while rushing for an additional 164 yards and three scores.

Michigan’s defense remains elite, allowing the fewest yards and points per game in the nation. However, the offense will need to be sharper against Ohio State. The Wolverines are 5-5 ATS thus far.

Michigan won’t have head coach Jim Harbaugh on the sidelines due to suspension, but his game plan is expected to be in play.

Ohio State vs Michigan Player Props

Oddsmakers have already released a plethora of Ohio State vs Michigan player props for “The Game” on Saturday. We feel there’s solid value on a couple of these props right now before the money starts to pour in and the lines move.

Marvin Harrison Jr is the x-factor for OSU, but don’t sleep on Emeka Egbuka as WR No. 2 for the Buckeyes. Kyle McCord is becoming more comfortable with the junior receiver, targeting him eight times against Maryland last weekend.

Back to back first downs from @emeka_egbuka 🗣 pic.twitter.com/aObKVUBfQR

— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) November 18, 2023

Egbuka has proven to be a big-time performer, hauling in nine catches for 125 yards against the Wolverines last season, plus going off for 112 yards against Georgia in the Peach Bowl.

With Michigan’s defense allowing an outstanding three yards per carry on the ground, the Buckeyes are likely going to need to air it out Saturday. We project Egbuka goes over his receiving yards prop of 51.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

On the Michigan side, Donovan Edwards’ rushing total is sitting a bit low at 33.5 Yes, Blake Corum is the Wolverines’ go-to back, but we expect Edwards to get his fair share of carries. The junior is a proven performer on the big stage, averaging 173 rushing yards in his three biggest games one season ago.

Edwards has seen a spike in carries over the past few weeks, averaging 10.5 rush attempts in his past two games. Given how often the Wolverines have run the ball against the Buckeyes in the past two meetings, we expect Edwards to get enough carries to cash the over on this prop.

Player Prop Picks:

• Emeka Egbuka Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
• Donovan Edwards Over 33.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction 2023

The last two meetings have played out very similarly,  with Michigan running the ball down Ohio State’s throat and winning the battle in the trenches. There are signs the Buckeyes have improved in those areas, including tough and physical wins over Notre Dame and Penn State.

Ohio State’s defense is being somewhat underrated for just how dominant it’s been this season. It’s reminiscent of the 2019 team, which included notable players like Chase Young and Jeff Okuda.

Ohio State's defense comes in clutch AGAIN. pic.twitter.com/cKhrCJabjX

— Eleven Warriors (@11W) November 18, 2023

We still feel the Wolverines will have success on the ground, with OSU ranking 19th nationally in run defense and allowing 3.32 yards per carry. But the Buckeyes should be able to make some big plays through the air with UM’s secondary allowing 10.6 yards per completion.

There’s not much separating these two teams, and the same could come down to a late field goal. The college football public betting splits are interesting right now, as they show OSU as a potential upset pick with 93% of the ML handle despite only 17% of bets.

For our Ohio State vs Michigan prediction, we’re taking the Buckeyes to cover the spread. The OSU defense won’t give up the same big plays that cost them a season ago, and TreVeyon Henderson, who was injured last year, will be a key difference maker as this game goes down to the wire.

• Pick: Ohio State +3.5 (-112)