Oklahoma vs Baylor Odds, Spread and Predictions
- #8 Oklahoma is a 5.5-point road favorite over #13 Baylor on Saturday (November 13th, Noon ET) at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
- The Sooners and Bears rank first and second in the Big 12 in points and total yards
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
Saturday’s college football slate kicks off with a dandy, as #8 Oklahoma clashes with #13 Baylor. The Sooners (9-0, 6-0 Big 12) are currently riding a 17-game winning streak, the longest active streak in the nation, while the Bears (7-2, 4-3 Big 12) are looking to bounce back from an embarassing defeat.
#8 Oklahoma vs #13 Baylor Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma Sooners | -220 | -5.5 (-110) | O 62.5 (-110) |
| Baylor Bears | +180 | +5.5 (-110) | U 62.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Nov. 9th at DraftKings.
Oklahoma opened up as a 5.5-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 62.5. Kickoff is set for Noon ET at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas, with Fox providing the coverage nationwide.
The latest #CFBPlayoff Top 25 ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/SqSbNL56jU
— ESPN College Football (@ESPNCFB) November 10, 2021
The forecast is currently calling for a sun-cloud mix, with 63 degree temperatures, and 16 mph sustained winds.
Sooners Stomp Red Raiders
Oklahoma enters play on Saturday fresh off its bye week, after sweeping the first nine games of the season. Last time out versus Texas Tech, they put on an offensive clinic en route to a 52-21 victory, washing away the underwhelming effort they showed in Week 8 at Kansas.
Caleb Williams is on track to record the highest grade ever given to a first-year player (94.8)@OU_Football pic.twitter.com/4dffP1ZvDW
— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 1, 2021
Caleb Williams led the way versus the Red Raiders, throwing for 402 yards and six touchdowns. It’s the second most TD passes ever thrown by a Sooners QB, one short of Baker Mayfield’s school record. Stud receiver Marvin Mims hauled in four receptions for 135 yards and two scores, while Mario Williams also had a 100-yard game with a touchdown.
Oklahoma ranks third in the nation in both EPA margin and offensive success rate, and leads the conference in scoring and total yards. They average 477 yards and 42.9 points per game, while only one team in the FBS has a higher net points per drive.
Only team with a top-5 ranked offense in every season since 2015:
Oklahoma Sooners pic.twitter.com/wW0FfEwCap
— PFF College (@PFF_College) August 20, 2020
Defensively, they held Texas Tech to its lowest offensive output of the season, and forced three turnovers. The Sooners defense has been especially stout versus the run, yielding just 3.4 yards per carry this season, which sets up an intriguing matchup on Saturday versus the run heavy Bears.
Baylor looking to Bounce Back
The Bears are the only team in the Big 12 with more rushing yards than passing yards, and average a conference best 231.3 yards on the ground per contest.
Last week, they fell 50 yards short of that mark en route to a 30-28 loss at TCU. The Bears were outgained 562 to 393, losing the time of possession and turnover battle.
Final from Fort Worth.#SicEm | #BUncommon pic.twitter.com/m9YiTJKj5O
— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) November 6, 2021
Despite the ugly showing, Baylor still ranks second in the Big 12 in both points and total yards, averaging 36.3 points per outing.
Abram Smith paced the rushing attack last week with 125 yards, but the game came down to a poor throw by QB Gerry Bohanon.
PICKED OFF 😤
The @TCUFootball defense with a CLUTCH play in the final minute pic.twitter.com/071QsXO0n9
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 6, 2021
With the Bears driving for the game winning field goal, Bohanon threw one of his two interceptions on the day, sealing the upset for the Horned Frogs. TCU was the lowest ranked team Baylor had played since Week 3, and the loss throws a serious wrench into the Bears’ conference championship hopes.
The most surprising thing about the upset, was the ease at which TCU moved the ball. Baylor boasts the conference’s third best scoring defense, but was eviscerated for over 11 yards per play. After seeing the Horned Frogs pick apart the Bears, it’s hard not to imagine this vaunted Sooners offense having similar, if not more success.
Oklahoma vs Baylor Pick
Since Williams replaced Spencer Rattler under center for Oklahoma four games ago, the Sooners offense has been on fire. They’re averaging 48.5 points per outing, eclipsing the 50-point mark three times, while outscoring their opposition by 71 points.
Not surprisingly, over bettors have taken advantage of this offensive explosion, cashing tickets at a solid clip. The over is 4-1 in Oklahoma’s last five games, and 6-3 on the campaign. Dating back to 2018, 62% of the Sooners’ Big 12 contests have eclipsed the total, including four of six this season.
Baylor meanwhile, has been a favorite of over bettors as well. Six of their nine contests have gone over the total, including four of five at home.
Five of the past seven matchups in this rivalry have gone over 62 points, and Saturday’s game profiles as another high scoring affair as well.
Pick: Over 62.5 (-110)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
