Oregon vs Stanford Picks & Odds – Cardinal Have Covered 5 of 7 as Home Dog of 10.5-14 Points

• The Stanford Cardinal have beaten the Oregon Ducks three straight times
• The Ducks are 8-4 ATS and 11-1 SU in their last 12 as a road favorite of 10.5-14 points
• The over is 9-1 the last 10 times Stanford has been an underdog

The Oregon Ducks (2-0, 0-0 Pac-12) will square off with the Stanford Cardinal (1-2, 0-1 Pac-12) in a game between two teams that entered the season in the top 25 but have since fallen. Stanford has tumbled completely out thanks to getting blown out in back-to-back weeks. Is a third lopsided loss to be expected or can they fly with the Ducks on the Farm?

Oregon vs Stanford Odds

*Odds taken 09/19/19 .

Stanford Hasn’t Looked Good This Season

The Cardinal started the year with a very narrow 17-7 win over Northwestern, but things have gone south since. They were blown out 45-20 by a mediocre USC team in Week 2, and then were run over 45-27 at Central Florida last Saturday.

The final score actually flattered the Cardinal, who were in an insurmountable 38-7 hole at the break.

The Cardinal have shown absolutely nothing on offense this season; they’re 88th in rushing and 87th in total offense.

Typically, David Shaw’s teams are sluggish on offense but are at least competent on defense. That’s been far from the case this year, with Stanford surrendering 492 yards of offense to USC and 545 to UCF.

Injuries Have Hampered The Cardinal

One of the main reasons why Stanford is struggling is injuries. K.J. Costello missed the game against USC and, while he returned against UCF, he didn’t look like himself. He was just 21-of-44 for 199 yards, a touchdown and a pick.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fwDCOVBtLt8

Of course, it doesn’t help him that the team has lost left tackle Walker Little for the season, a projected top-10 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. They also played without starting right tackle Foster Sarell last week, although he’s expected back. With injuries at linebacker as well, this team has been sapped of talent.

Ducks Have Been Forgotten

The Ducks played an awesome first half in their Week 1 opener versus Auburn, but as Bo Nix and company came back and won the game late, Justin Herbert and Oregon were essentially brushed aside as a national contender.

However, they at least competed and nearly beat a good Auburn team; that’s more than Stanford can say.

Herbert was crisp in the opener, hitting 76% of his passes with a touchdown, and he’s now up to 73%, 868 yards, 11 touchdowns and no picks through three games. On top of that, this is a bit of a revenge game. Remember, Oregon was up 24-7 on Stanford last season before blowing the lead in heartbreaking fashion and losing 38-31.

Tied 31-31, Oregon had a first down at the Stanford 40 with about a minute to go before fumbling the game away. That loss will be fresh on the Ducks’ collective mind as they want to make sure they don’t let the Cardinal up off the mat this time.

What’s The Best Bet?

Stanford actually plays well in this series, winning three in a row. K.J. Costello has been solid, too; he had 327 passing yards and three touchdowns last season.

The issue here is that Stanford just isn’t very good right now and/or this year. They’ll get up for this game (emotionally) but Oregon will get up early (on the scoreboard) and won’t look back.

We’ve seen the line climb as the Oregon vs Stanford odds opened at -8 but are now at -10.5. I think that’s the right move. The Ducks have the healthier offensive line, the better quarterback, and the far superior team overall. That’ll mitigate the Stanford’s advantage of being at home on the Farm. Lay the points.