Penn State vs Indiana Prediction, Odds, Spread & Best Bets
- Checking the #16 Penn State vs Indiana odds, it’s the Nittany Lions who are 14-point road favorites over the Hoosiers in their Big Ten game on Saturday, November 5
- Indiana is 0-5 straight up over the past five games
- Penn State is 1-2 SU in the past three games after opening the season 5-0
As they prepare to play host to the Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2, 5-3 ATS), the big news for the Indiana Hoosiers (3-5, 3-5 ATS) is that they didn’t lose last week.
Of course, the fact that Indiana didn’t play last week was holding a major role in that outcome. The previous five weeks saw the Hoosiers dropping five games in a row following a 3-0 start to the season.
Penn State has also hit a bit of a speed bump on the campaign. The 16th-ranked Nittany Lions have gone 1-2 over the past three games after opening the season 5-0. The losses came against #4 Michigan and #2 Ohio State.
Indiana is always a great opponent to heal what’s ailing a team. Oddsmakers are seeing that happening. Penn State is set as 14-point road favorites over the Hoosiers. Indiana is 2-1 ATS over the last three games.
Penn State vs Indiana Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Nittany Lions | -14 (-110) | O 50.5 (-110) | -600 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | +14 (-110) | U 50.5 (-110) | +430 |
Odds as of November 3 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.
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Indiana is 1-13 SU over the last 14 Big Ten games. The total has gone over in four of the past six games between the Nittany Lions and Hoosiers.
The kickoff for this game at Memorial Stadium is set for 3:30 pm ET on Saturday, November 5. The weather forecast is calling for rain, 10 mph wind and a temperature of 46 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on ABC.
Nittany Lions vs Hoosiers Betting Trends
At moneyline odds of -600, the Nittany Lions are offering an implied probability of victory of 85.71% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Penn State would return a payout of just $11.70.
next up ⏭️ pic.twitter.com/Cof7cmOYjE
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) November 2, 2022
In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the public is in lock step with the favored Nittany Lions in both moneyline and spread betting splits. On the spread, Penn State is getting the backing of 70% of handle and 82% of bets. The public moneyline splits are showing 93% of handle and 98% of bets backing the Nittany Lions. When it comes to the total of 50.5 points, there’s 73% of the handle on the under and 65% of bets supporting the over.
In the CFB odds, NCAA future book wagering is showing #16 Penn State at a betting line of +50000 to win the Big Ten Conference title.
Penn State Looking To Rebound
Penn State is gaining a reputation for finishing chances and making big plays. The Nittany Lions are tied for #13 in the nation in red zone offense, scoring on 92.8% of opportunities. Of those scores, 78.57% have been touchdowns.
Still Hungry. pic.twitter.com/CQA2KMKdbj
— INCRDBL11 (@1NCRDB1) October 31, 2022
Defensively, Penn State is ranking 20th in the NCAA in tackles for loss. The Nittany Lions are averaging six TFL per game. Penn State is 23-2 SU against Indiana.
Hoosiers Struggling On Both Sides Of Ball
The Hoosiers are tied for 93rd in the nation in scoring offense (24.5 points per game). That doesn’t bode well, because Indiana is also 100th in the NCAA in scoring defense (30.6 PPG). Freshman RB Jaylin Lucas is leading the nation with 30.9 yards per kick return. He’s brought one to the house this season.
Turn on the turbos. 💨@jaylinlucas1 | #IUFB pic.twitter.com/j3rEJk97nR
— Indiana Football (@IndianaFootball) October 28, 2022
Indiana is 100th in the nation in kick return defense, allowing 22.59 yards per return and 101st in the nation in punt return defense (10.39 YPR). Clearly there are special teams issues for the Hoosiers as well.
Penn State vs Indiana Prediction
Overall, Penn State is 9-2 SU in 11 games played at Indiana. In the last meeting there in 2020, the Hoosiers scored a 36-35 overtime victory.
Indiana is just 3-7 ATS over the school’s past 10 home games. The Hoosiers have lost five in a row straight up and are 4-14 ATS in the past 18 games. Against ranked opponents, Indiana is 1-6 ATS over the past seven games. The Hoosiers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
It’s official. ⏰📺 pic.twitter.com/qClnRNyoqE
— Indiana Football (@IndianaFootball) October 30, 2022
Penn State is 8-22-1 ATS following a SU loss under head coach James Franklin. That’s the worst average of any FBS school over the past nine seasons.
While PSU hasn’t been great at responding after losses, they should break that trend against an Indiana squad that hasn’t been able to keep it close against superior competition,
Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions -14 (-110).
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
