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Texas vs Washington Opening Odds for CFP Semifinal Sugar Bowl

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated Dec 5, 2023 · 6:26 PM PST

Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers reacts with the WWE Big 12 championship belt
Dec 2, 2023; Arlington, TX, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers (3) reacts with the WWE Big 12 championship belt after the win against the Oklahoma State Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
  • Texas meets Washington in the CFP Semifinal at the Sugar Bowl
  • The opening Texas vs Washington odds were released following Selection Sunday
  • Read below for the Texas vs Washington betting line, plus the expected point spread movement

The #2 Washington Huskies and #3 Texas Longhorns are set to clash in the CFP Semifinal Sugar Bowl on Monday, January 1st, 2024. Opening Texas vs Washington odds were released after the matchup was revealed by the CFP selection committee on Sunday.

The early betting line is firmly in favor of the Longhorns, pricing Quinn Ewers and company as 4.5-point favorites over the Huskies. The over/under is listed at 63.5, indicating oddsmakers are expecting plenty of points.

Let’s explore the Texas vs Washington odds, and predict the betting line movement.

Texas vs Washington Odds – Sugar Bowl

Team Spread Moneyline Total
#3 Texas -4.5 (-110) -185 O 63.5 (-110)
#2 Washington +4.5 (-110) +154 U 63.5 (-110)

In the opening Texas vs Washington odds, the Longhorns are -165 moneyline favorites despite being the lower seed. This means UT has 65% implied win probability.

 

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Odds as of December 3, 2023, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to make an early bet on Texas vs Washington.

Huskies Claim Pac-12 Championship

In an exciting back-and-forth battle, the #3 Washington Huskies emerged victorious over the #5 Oregon Ducks by a score of 34-31 to win the 2023 Pac-12 Championship game on Friday night. The Huskies were a 9.5-point underdog in the game and easily covered the spread.

Washington jumped out to an early 20-3 lead in the first half, led by two rushing touchdowns from running back Dylan Johnson. Oregon stormed back in the second half, scoring 24 unanswered points to take a 27-20 lead early in the fourth quarter. The Huskies, however, came though with some clutch plays down the stretch to come out on top.

The win completed a perfect 13-0 season for the Huskies and punched their ticket to the CFP. The team is led by Heisman odds contender Michael Penix Jr., while his top wide receiver targets Rome Odunze and Ja’Lynn Polk are NFL-caliber level.

Longhorns Earn Big 12 Title

The Texas Longhorns put on an offensive clinic to beat the Oklahoma State Cowboys 49-21 and win their first Big 12 championship since 2009 on Saturday.

Led by quarterback Quinn Ewers, the Longhorns scored touchdowns on their first four drives to jump out to a commanding 28-7 lead in the second quarter. Ewers was nearly perfect, completing his first 12 passes and finishing with a career-high 452 passing yards and 4 touchdowns.

Defensively, Texas held Oklahoma State’s star running back Ollie Gordon to just 60 rushing yards after he entered the game leading the nation. The Longhorns came up with a key interception in the second half to halt the Cowboys’ momentum.

With the win, Texas made a strong case to earn a spot in the College Football Playoff. The 12-1 Longhorns were watching closely as the final CFP rankings were announced on Sunday. Their big win paid off, as UT earned a CFP spot ahead of undefeated FSU.

Texas vs Washington Projected Point Spread Movement

Considering the Huskies were significant underdogs against Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship despite beating them in the regular season, it’s clear oddsmakers aren’t too bullish on UW. While the Huskies are proving naysayers wrong, don’t expect Vegas to swing this spread significantly in their direction.

These two teams played just once in the past decade, with Washington winning 27-20 over Texas in the 2022 Alamo Bowl. Both team’s current quarterbacks played in the game, with Texas’ Ewers having a strong showing (369 pass yds).

We expect the public money to be on Texas in this game, as they had the more impressive conference title victory. They’ve been more dominant down the stretch, while UW has been in several one-score games. Look for some line movement towards Steve Sarkisian’s team leading up to January 1st.

 

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