2023 NFL Draft Odds – Player Draft Position Over/Unders and NFL Draft Projections to Be 1st Player Taken at Each Position

• The First Round of the 2023 NFL Draft takes place on Thursday, April 27th, at 8:00 pm ET
• Bijan Robinson is the most skilled offensive player in the Draft, and is a strong value to be taken before the 14th pick

• See below for NFL Draft odds, predictions, and Draft props to target

Each year the NFL Draft is a must-see event for every football fan. It’s a night full of hope, intrigue and surprise, and this year promises to be no different. The 2023 NFL Draft time is set for Thursday at 8 pm ET from Kansas City, and there’s a variety of ways you can bet on the NFL Draft odds to make the evening more entertaining.

The most popular ways to do so will be by betting the over/under on players’ draft position, as well as wagering on the first running back | wide receiver | offensive lineman | cornerback | linebacker | tight end | and defensive player off the board.

There’s plenty of value to be found in each market when making your NFL Draft projections, so check out the odds for the NFL Draft picks below, plus a prediction in every positional category.

NFL Draft Over/Under Bets

As of Sunday, Alabama star Will Anderson had the lowest over/under draft prop posted at 3.5. There are currently no over/under props for Bryce Young, CJ Stroud, Tyree Wilson or Will Levis, who are all candidates to be top-two picks.

Anderson’s teammate Young is a virtual lock to be the number one selection. It was originally assumed Stroud, the next highest graded QB, would go second, but that notion got flipped on its head last week.

The Texans hold the second pick, and as of right now there’s no telling what they’ll do. Drafting a defensive player like Wilson or Anderson is a strong possibility, but the prospect of selecting Will Levis is also gaining steam. They could also trade the pick, allowing one of the many QB needy teams the chance to move up to take their guy.

All odds as of April 23rd at DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook

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Bijan Robinson a Top-10 Threat

Our betting card will start with Bijan Robinson, who’s the most talented offensive player in the NFL Draft odds. You can poke holes in all the QBs, the offensive line group is deep but not elite, while none of the top wide receivers profile as true number ones.

The only hole you can poke in Robinson’s game is that he’s a running back. The position has been devalued in recent years, yet Robinson is more than just a ball carrier. He’s also a tremendous receiver, able to not only catch balls out the backfield, but also line up in the slot.

Fill in the blank:

Bijan Robinson is the best RB prospect since _________ pic.twitter.com/DLR9fJFE2y

— PlaymakerU (@playmakerU) April 20, 2023

He’s the closest talent to Christian McCaffrey that we’ve seen since CMC came into the league, and with a lack of explosive talent at wideout, there are multiple teams looking for a playmaker that we’ll be targeting Robinson.

The Texas product amassed nearly 1,900 yards and 20 TD in his final season with the Longhorns, and is a threat to not only go before pick number 14, but to slide into the top-10.

Pick: Bijan Robinson Under 13.5 (-132)

Kindcaid Goes Earlier Than Expected

Sticking with the lack of elite wide receiver talent theme, many draft experts believe the pass pure pass catcher in the draft is Utah’s Dalton Kincaid.

Injuries are the reason why the tight end has allegedly falling down draft boards, but multiple teams reportedly don’t view the back injury that forced him to miss physical drills at the combine as an issue.

.@_DaltonKincaid spent his childhood training with his dad….

Now he’s #1 on @BuckyBrooks TE prospects and ready to hear his name called 📞👏

📺: 2023 #NFLDraft — Starts Thursday, April 27 on NFLN/ESPN/ABC
📱: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/otwGPbH5Js

— NFL Network (@nflnetwork) April 21, 2023

Kincaid posted elite touchdown metrics in college, finding the end zone 35 times over the course of four full seasons. He’s more of a receiver than a blocker, and plenty of organizations will covet his skillset.

Pick: Dalton Kincaid Under 24.5 (+100)

NFL Draft Betting Props

As mentioned earlier, one of the more popular ways to bet the Draft is through the position group props. You can wager on who will be the first player off the board for nearly all of the groups. However, as of this writing, the odds for first quarterback drafted have been taken down. As such we’ll begin with the running back position.

Odds to Be First Running Back Drafted

As touched on earlier, Robsinon is a special talent and will no doubt be the first running back who hears his name called off the board on Thursday. There’s little value, but he’s still the bet.

Pick: Bijan Robinson (-10000)

Odds to Be First Wide Receiver Drafted

This group lacks the star power of previous years, as each of the top-three players on the oddsboard are undersized.

Jaxon Smith-Njiba, who owns the shortest odds to be the first wideout taken, is a pure slot receiver. NFL teams don’t usually covet that position with this kind of draft capital, preferring to target size and elite measurables.

With that in mind, it makes since to take the upside of Quentin Johnston. At 6-4, 214 pounds, the TCU star profiles more as a true difference maker. He can win on the outside, and use his large frame to dominate in the red zone. He’s arguably got the highest ceiling of an underwhelming bunch, and is worthy of a bet at +1000.

Pick: Quentin Johnston (+1000)

Odds to Be First Offensive Lineman Drafted

Five offensive linemen boast first round NFL Draft projections, but none are franchise changing players at their position.

Paris Johnson Jr. is the best of the bunch, boasting tons of raw athleticism, to go along with strong pass blocking and run blocking skills. Next after him is Peter Skoronski, before the talent trails off. Skoronski lacks size and is underwhelming in the run game, which is why most teams profile him as a guard.

No one is taking an undersized guard as the first o-lineman off the board, making Johnson Jr, who’ll play left tackle at the next level, the pick.

Pick: Paris Johnson Jr. (-175)

Odds to Be First Cornerback Drafted

Devon Witherspoon is a heavy favorite to be the first corner off the board, but the odds are definitely inflated. Plenty of analysts actually prefer Christian Gonzalez ahead of Witherspoon, thanks to his superior size.

The Lions reportedly love Witherspoon and could take him at number six, but they also have plenty of other areas they need to upgrade. It’s dangerous to pair a player with a specific team, and if Detroit goes in a different direction, Witherspoon and Gonzalez will basically be a coin flip. Lock in the value with the underdog.

Pick: Christian Gonzalez (+170)

Odds to Be First Linebacker Drafted

Linebacker has become a position that is less and less prioritized each year. Drew Sanders is the favorite to be the first one selected this year, but he plays off the ball and has only one solid year of tape.

Jack Campbell on the other hand, is a prototypical middle linebacker. The 6-foot-5, 249 pounder put up impressive combine numbers, and was a tackling machine at Iowa. He’s an elite run stuffer, has shown excellent coverage chops, and is an above average pass rusher.

Campbell will be a leader whoever he goes from Day 1, and is a future captain in the league.

Pick: Jack Campbell (+170)

Odds to Be First Tight End Drafted

Michael Mayer may be the chalk to be the first tight end off the board, but we shouldn’t sleep on Kincaid. The Utah star provides upside Mayer can’t match, and teams seeking pass catching help will gravitate towards Kincaid.

A good metric to measure a tight end’s ability is to compare touchdown catches versus drops. Kincaid had 35 touchdowns in four college seasons, against only four drops.

Pick: Dalton Kincaid (+130)

Odds to Be First Defensive Player Drafted

Tyree Wilson is likely going to be an excellent player at the next level, but Will Anderson is a home run. He’s the best pure edge rusher in the class, and plenty of experts believe he’s the best pure football player in the Draft.

Anderson not only lived up to the outrageous expectations that followed him to Alabama, he exceeded them. He recorded 134 quarterback hurries, 36 quarterback hits and 37 sacks in 41 college games. All against the best offensive linemen in the country.

Pick: Will Anderson (+125)

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