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Get +500 Odds on the Cowboys Defense Scoring More Touchdowns Than Dolphins Offense

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated May 14, 2020 · 3:51 PM PDT

Jaylen Smith, Demarcus Lawrence and Leighton Vander Esch
Can the Cowboys defense outscore the Miami offense on Sunday? Oddsmakers are giving you +500 odds they can. Photo by @dfwticket (Twitter).
  • Dolphins’ offense has thrown two interceptions returned for TDs this season
  • Cowboys have no interceptions, two fumble recoveries on D this year
  • What’s the best bet to make?

There’s bad, there’s comically bad, and then there are the Miami Dolphins.

On Sunday, the Dolphins will hit the road for the first time this season after an historically awful two games to open the year at home.

How bad? The Fins are a 23-point underdog in Dallas against the upstart Cowboys.

As the result is almost already a foregone conclusion, there’s a scoring prop that might be hard to pass up.

Who Will Score More Touchdowns in Week 3?

Unit Odds
Cowboys defense +500
Dolphins offense -900

*Odds from 19/09/19

Let’s see if it’s worth for a unit that won’t even touch the ball unless the opposition surrenders it to them. Of course, this is a Miami team in major flux, lacking professional talent all over the roster, and in the conversation for going winless this season.

Dolphins Taking Tanking to the Max

It’s been well documented about the exodus of NFL-caliber players from this roster, veteran stalwarts like defensive end Cameron Wake, running back Frank Gore, tackle Laremy Tunsil receivers Danny Amendola and Kenny Stills and quarterback Ryan Tannehill to the most recent to escapee, defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick – traded to the Steelers for a first round pick.

They brought in Ryan Fitzpatrick to play QB with Josh Rosen backing him up. Together, with nary a reliable professional along the offensive line, and a rag tag group of skill players, the Dolphins simply cannot move the football, scoring a total of 10 points in two games. The math adds up to an ugodly -92 point differential.

They were blown out 59-10 in Week 1 by Baltimore, then decimated by the Patriots 43-0.  In that game, the Patriots intercepted two passes for TD scores.

Currently, the opposing defenses lead Miami’s offense in touchdowns on the season, 2-1.

Unit Comparison

Dolphins Offense
VS
Cowboys Defense
1 Touchdowns For 0
2 Touchdowns Against 5
7 Turnovers 1
6 Interceptions 0
1 Fumbles 1

 

Can Cowboys’ Defense Get on the Board?

There’s no doubt the Cowboys’ offense is going to roll – they’ve averaged 33 points a game in two contests this season.

Though widely considered one of the best units in the NFL, the defense has yet come up with a score. In fact, they’ve only recovered two fumbles, and are one of seven teams yet to record an INT after two weeks.

Both Dallas wins this season have followed a similar script: the opposition scores first, and the offense mounts a big scoring run to build a big lead, leaving the defense a cushion to hold up the rest of the way. Not much to see here, folks.

Defensive scores are such a bonus in the NFL because they are impossible to predict, and because even the best units can find themselves struggling to net turnovers, let alone converting them into points themselves.

Last year, the Cowboys had nine interceptions and no touchdowns, with a Jaylen Smith fumble recovery and score as their lone defensive TD of the season. In 2017, Dallas had 10 interceptions, and just one, a Byron Jones pick, was taken back to the house – their only defensive major of that season.

What’s the Best Bet to Make?

Betting for the defense to outscore the offense is the only bet of value on these odds, but the Cowboys defense has scored just two TDs in the the last 34 regular season games.

Then again, the Patriots had two defensive touchdowns all of last year and a total of zero defensive touchdowns in 2017, and their defense found paydirt twice in less than two minutes of the fourth quarter in Miami.

I’d suggest proceeding with caution, but a wager on the Cowboys defense would be about the only thing making this game worth watching.

The pick: Cowboys (+500)

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