Upcoming Match-ups

Bills vs Chiefs Prop Bets – Best Team and Player Props to Bet

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in NFL Football

Updated Mar 16, 2023 · 1:06 PM PDT

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen runs with the ball
Oct 9, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs with the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second half at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
  • Player props are available for the Bills vs Chiefs contest on Sunday (Oct. 16, 4:25pm ET) in Week 6
  • Get the odds for Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Travis Kelce, Stefon Diggs and more players in the Bills vs Chiefs prop bets
  • Bills vs Chiefs player prop bets can be found below, along with analysis and predictions

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills head to Arrowhead Stadium for a highly anticipated duel against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Both teams have started the campaign with identical 4-and-1 records. Player props are available for a Bills vs Chiefs matchup that features the two highest-scoring teams in the National Football League.

This contest carries a 54-point total, the highest in the Week 6 slate. It has all the makings of another instant classic, much like the Bills and Chiefs had in last season’s AFC divisional round. Kickoff is set for 4:25 ET. It’s expected to be beautifully sunny all game. Winds will gust around 20 miles per hour consistently.

Let’s dive into top player prop picks for Bills vs Chiefs in NFL Week 6.

Bills vs Chiefs Props

Quarterbacks Completions Passing Yards Passing TD
Josh Allen (BUF) 26.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 298.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -175)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 27.5 (Ov -115 | Un -120) 297.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +135 | Un -180)
Running Backs Attempts Rush Yards Rush + Rec Yards
Devin Singletary (BUF) N/A 40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 36.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 59.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Jerick McKinnon (KC) N/A 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 32.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 7.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 87.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Gabriel Davis (BUF) 3.5 (Ov -175 | Un +130) 56.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) 3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 35.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dawson Knox (BUF) 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 31.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 15.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Travis Kelce (KC) 6.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 78.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) 4.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 50.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) 3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) 46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Mecole Hardman (KC) 2.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 26.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Skyy Moore (KC) 1.5 (Ov -185 | Un +135) 19.5 (Ov +110 | Un -155) 13.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Odds as of Oct. 15 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code

Buffalo is tops in the league in yards per game, while the Chiefs are sixth. It’s little surprise that these two behemoths are the top-two Super Bowl odds choices. Josh Allen has the highest passing yards per game average (330.2), while Patrick Mahomes is sixth (279.6)

Pick #1: Gabriel Davis Over 56.5 Yards

After a solid Week 1 that saw Gabriel Davis catch four passes for 88 yards and a TD, he missed a game, then had two so-so contests to follow that. He more than made up for it last weekend, however, exploding for three receptions for 171 yards and two touchdowns.

Who could forget Davis’ otherworldly performance against the Chiefs in their divisional-round playoff matchup? He went off to the tune of eight catches for 201 yards and a whopping four TD’s. He has the NFL’s best QB in terms of passing yards, so another big game is well within his reach as the Chiefs try to blanket #1 target Stefon Diggs.

Pick:

  • Gabriel Davis Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-120), 1 unit

BUF vs KC Scoring Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Anytime TD
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +750 -115
Travis Kelce (KC) +750 -130
Josh Allen (BUF) +900 +120
Devin Singletary (BUF) +900 +115
Gabriel Davis (BUF) +900 +110
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) +1000 +115
Dawson Knox (BUF) +1400 +220
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) +1400 +180
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) +1600 +225
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) +1700 +220
Quintin Morris (BUF) +2200 +320
Mecole Hardman (KC) +2200 +330
Khalil Shakir (BUF) +2500 +390
Jerick McKinnon (KC) +2500 +360
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +2800 +390
James Cook (BUF) +3000 +475
Bills D/ST +3000 +475
Isiah Pacheco (KC) +3000 +425
Jody Forston (KC) +3000 +475
Chiefs D/ST +3500 +550

Travis Kelce has the best odds of any player to score a TD in Sunday’s game at -130. Unsurprisingly, Stefon Diggs has the second shortest odds at -115.

Pick #2: Kelce Strikes First

Even though Travis Kelce just celebrated his 33rd birthday, he hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down. He leads the NFL with seven TD catches, on the heels of his career-best four-touchdown game last week against the Raiders.

Dating back to last season (including playoffs), Kelce has found the end zone in ten of his last eleven contests.

As for an anytime TD scorer, why not pair up our previous wager of over 56.5 yards for Gabriel Davis with an anytime touchdown as well? After all, he put up a pair of TD’s last week and a grand total of four in his last meeting against the Chiefs.

Picks:

  • Travis Kelce First TD (+750), 1 unit
  • Gabriel Davis Anytime TD (+110), 1 unit
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