Upcoming Match-ups

Buccaneers vs Chiefs Odds, Lines, Spread, and Pick for Super Bowl 55

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Feb 5, 2021 · 6:08 AM PST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) throws a pass against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first half of an NFL football game in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Mark LoMoglio, File)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-point favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55
  • Season record 11-9, +0.95 units
  • Kansas City is seeking to become the ninth team to win back-to-back Super Bowls

The Kansas City Chiefs are looking to do what only eight teams have accomplished by winning back-to-back Super Bowls. Meanwhile, playing at home the Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to tread upon ground never before walked by a Super Bowl champion.

The Chiefs and Buccaneers are clashing for all the marbles in Super Bowl 55 on Sunday, Feb. 7 at Tampa Bay’s Raymond James Stadium. It will be the first time in the history of the game that a team will contest the Super Bowl at their home stadium.

KC posted a 27-24 victory at Tampa Bay on Nov. 29. The Chiefs are 8-0 straight up on the road this season. That perhaps best explains why Kansas City is a 3-point away favorite in this game.

The opening line was Kansas City -3.5,  so there’s been some action on Tampa Bay since then.

Chiefs vs Buccaneers Super Bowl 55 Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Kansas City Chiefs -159 -3 (-113) O 56.0 (-109)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +140 +3 (-108) U 56.0 (-112)

Odds taken Feb. 5th at DraftKings

Kickoff for Super Bowl 55 is slated for 6:30 PM EST. Clouds, 12 mph wind, and a temperature of 69 degrees are in the forecast.

Brady vs Mahomes

This showdown between Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady and Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes marks the first time the last two QBs to win the Super Bowl are squaring off in a Super Bowl game. Mahomes won last year. Brady led the New England Patriots to victory in Super Bowl 53. Both have won NFL and Super Bowl MVP honors.

Brady will be just the fourth QB to start a Super Bowl game for two different franchises. His three predecessors – Craig Morton (Denver), Kurt Warner (Arizona), and Peyton Manning (Denver) – all lost their Super Bowl debut for their second team.

Mahomes is looking to become the ninth QB to win his first two Super Bowl starts, following Bart Starr (Green Bay), Terry Bradshaw (Pittsburgh), Joe Montana (San Francisco), Jim Plunkett (Raiders), Troy Aikman (Dallas), Brady (Patriots), Eli Manning (Giants), and Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh).

Statistically, there was little to choose from this season between Brady and Mahomes. Brady threw for 40 touchdowns, averaged 289.6 yards per game, and is showing a completion percentage of 65.7. Mahomes tossed for 38 TDs and 316 yards per game. His completion percentage was 66.3.

The only glaring difference is in interceptions. Brady was picked off twice as often as Mahomes (12-6).

They Come to Pass

For the first time in Super Bowl history, the top two passing attacks in the NFL will clash in the big game. The Chiefs led the league with 4,854 yards passing, with the Bucs (4,626) following in second spot.

Kansas City’s Tyreek Hill led all AFC receivers with 15 TD receptions. Travis Kelce set NFL records in receptions (105) and yardage (1,416) for a tight end.

Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans pulled in 13 TD receptions, while Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski accounted for seven apiece.

Injury Report

Both of Kansas City’s starting tackles – Mitchell Schwartz (back) and Eric Fisher (Achilles) – are out. Wideout Sammy Watkins (calf) is questionable.

For Tampa Bay, linebackers Jason Pierre-Paul (knee) and Lavonte David (hamstring) and safeties Antoine Winfield Jr (ankle) and Jordan Whitehead (shoulder) are questionable.

Trendspotting

The Bucs look to be the sixth team to win their first two Super Bowl appearances. Brady is 1-0 both SU and against the spread as a Super Bowl underdog.

AFL/AFC teams hold a commanding 11-4 edge over the NFL/NFC in Super Bowl games played in Florida. That includes a 2-1 advantage when the game is held in Tampa.

Pick: Tampa Bay +3 (-108), 1 unit

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