Colts vs Saints Monday Night Football Props: Brissett Set to Struggle at the Superdome

• New Orleans Saints host Indianapolis on Monday Night Football as 8.5-point favorites
• Saints have claimed victory by more than three points just twice in seven home dates this season
• Colts quarterback Jacoby Brissett has failed to connect on more than 20 pass attempts in six of his past eight appearances

The spotlight shifts to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome for Monday Night Football in Week 15 as the New Orleans Saints host the Indianapolis Colts as 8.5-point favorites.

Both these squads are coming off narrow defeats in high scoring contests last weekend. The Saints will now be aiming for a win to remain in contention for the NFC’s top seed, while the Colts aim to turn around the hard luck that has contributed to a 1-5 SU run that has pushed them to the brink of elimination from playoff contention.

Here’s a look at four props bets to consider on Monday night.

Prop #1 – Margin of Victory

All odds taken December 16th

The Colts have seen four of their recent five defeats come by four or fewer points after carrying leads into the fourth quarter in each of those contests, capped by last weekend’s 38-35 loss in Tampa Bay.

#Colts blow double digit 2nd half lead for second straight week. Winston throws for career-high 456 YDS.

Most importantly — AFC Wildcard chances take a huge hit. 3 straight losses & 5 of 6 overall.

Postgame next @WISH_TV pic.twitter.com/Dh1wotNIlI

— Charlie Clifford (@char_cliff) December 8, 2019

Indy’s inability to hold a lead is a massive concern, especially against an opponent like the Saints, but the Colts have consistently kept things close on the road. While taking the Colts to win outright may be tempting considering the attractive +340 odds, the more reasonable expectation is that they will keep pace against the Saints, who have been far from dominant at home this season, posting just two wins by more than three points while going 5-2 SU on the year.

Pick: Saints 1-13 points (+129)

Prop #2 – Jacoby Brissett Completions

Jacoby Brissett has become somewhat of a polarizing figure during his first season as the starting quarterback in Indianapolis. One stat that critics point to is the underwhelming number of completed passes he has thrown, particularly during the team’s current swoon.

Jacoby Brissett Past 10 Starts

Injuries to the Colts receiving corps have certainly had their impact, and were complicated by the loss of Parris Campbell to a broken foot in last week’s defeat by the Buccaneers. TY Hilton is reportedly a game-time decision to return to action on Monday night, but even with the veteran back in the lineup, Brissett is likely to struggle to top 20 completions for just the second time in seven outings.

Pick: Brissett UNDER 21.5 pass completions (-113)

Prop #3 – Colts Made Field Goals

Never has the value of Adam Vinatieri to the Colts been more apparent. While the veteran kicker had struggled throughout the early part of the campaign, things have not gotten any better since the 42-year-old saw his season ended by a knee injury. Rookie Chase McLaughlin has taken over in place of Vinatieri, making an appearance with his third NFL team of the season in his debut last week against Tampa Bay.

Chase McLaughlin’s 47-yard attempt bangs off the right upright. No good.

Tampa Bay takes over, trailing 35-31 with 8:13 left in the fourth quarter.

— Andrew Walker (@AWalkerColts) December 8, 2019

McLaughlin still has plenty of work to do to establish himself as legitimate NFL kicker, compiling a middling 75% field goal percentage this season, and just 7-for-12 on the year from beyond 40 yards, the distance from which the Colts have made half their attempts this season.

Pick: UNDER 1.5 (-138)

Prop #4 – Michael Thomas Receiving Yards

Saints receiver Michael; Thomas continued to make a strong case for NFL MVP consideration last weekend, making 11 catches for 134 yards and one score in New Orleans’ loss to the 49ers. Thomas has now topped the century mark on eight occasions while racking up a league-leading 1424 receiving yards, with six of those performances coming on home turf.

Michael Thomas shattered the PFF Era record for reception percentage for qualifying WRs (75+ targets) in a regular season in 2018 (85.6%).

He is leading all WRs this season again this season with an incredible 84.6% reception rate (121/143).

Auto. Matic.#Saints #WhoDat pic.twitter.com/lAPqCVErgT

— PFF NO Saints (@PFF_Saints) December 10, 2019

While the Colts have limited opposing passers to under 200 yards in the air in five of their past seven contests, they are likely to struggle at times to contain the Saints passing game led by Drew Brees, which has racked up 649 total yards in the team’s past two home dates, and 12 passing TDs in their past four overall.

Pick: OVER 118 yards (+129)