Josh Jacobs’ NFL OROY Odds Listed as Short as +350 and Long as +750 After Week 5
- Josh Jacobs had a career-high 123 rushing yards and two touchdowns in Week 5
- Jacobs is now sixth in the NFL in rushing yards
- Both Daniel Jones and Kyler Murray have cooled off after hot starts
The NFL’s Offensive Rookie of the Year odds have been all over the place. We’ve seen a slew of different players be favored since the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds opened up and we continue to see varying opinions.
Oakland Raiders running back Josh Jacobs is anywhere from +350 to +750 on the board.
Is he worth a look?
Josh Jacobs’ Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds
Odds To Win at Sportsbook 1 | Odds To Win at Sportsbook 2 |
---|---|
+750 | +350 |
Odds taken 10/09/19.
Jacobs Coming off His Best Game
Jacobs entered Week 5 with odds of +1500 on average, which was a steadfast decline from the +500 we saw him at after Week 2. He had a total of just 123 rushing yards in Weeks 3 and 4 with no touchdowns.
However, Jacobs had his best game of the year in Week 5, which is what’s given his odds a shot in the arm.
Jacobs helped the Raiders upset the Chicago Bears in London as the running back compiled 123 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns in the 24-21 win. When you take a look at the rushing leaders, Jacobs is now sixth on the year with four touchdowns.
The questions for Jacobs will be if he can keep up this pace. As of now, he’s on pace for 1376 yards and 13 touchdowns.
He’s also on pace to add another 246 receiving yards on top of that. If he, in fact, holds to those numbers, it will be very hard to turn him away for the award.
Jones, Murray Have Cooled Off
Daniel Jones burst onto the scene for the New York Giants, going 23-of-36 for 336 passing yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, he’s since cooled off with just 407 passing yards in total over his last two games with two touchdowns and three interceptions.
Kyler Murray has also had a similar showing as he started well but has faded. He had 308 passing yards, two touchdowns and a pick in the team’s opening game. He’s thrown just two touchdowns and three picks since.
Neither of these guys are on pace to throw for more touchdowns than interceptions and neither of these teams are playing very well. Unless they can pick their games up – and it’s possible as they’re merely rookies – than I wouldn’t expect either to win the award.
Value With Minshew Mania
I have Gardner Minshew and Jacobs as the two favorites to win this award right now and I don’t think either are bad bets. I slightly lean towards Minshew simply because he’s had a really big impact on the Jacksonville Jaguars. They were written off when Nick Foles was hurt but he’s essentially saved their season.
Taking a look at his numbers, he has nine touchdowns, one interception and is 15th in QBR. He’s completing 66.7% of his passes and is coming off a 374-yard game against the Carolina Panthers. Since he’s started, the Jags have been in every game and have had a shot to win.
I also like that he’s making the rest of the team around him better as Leonard Fournette has come to life with 333 rushing yards in the last two games and D.J. Chark Jr., who was mostly viewed as nothing special last season, is now fifth in the NFL in receiving yards (485) and is second in the league in average yards per catch for receivers with 20+ catches.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HWpziiUkj6c
The lone caveat with Minshew is that Nick Foles is expected back this season. Would the Jaguars turn back to him? If you believe that, then Jacobs is worth a play at +750. I don’t expect that as I look for Minshew II to keep this up. He’s my bet at +325.