Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 14

• KC is giving 9 points at Denver in the Chiefs vs Broncos odds on Sunday in Week 14
• The Chiefs have won each of the past 13 meetings in this divisional rivalry
• All the available Chiefs vs Broncos odds are listed below, along with injury updates and best bets

The first of two matchups over the next four weeks between the Chiefs (9-3, 4-2 away) and Broncos (3-9, 2-3 home) goes down on Sunday in Week 14. This contest was supposed to have the primetime spotlight, but schedule makers rightly flexed out of it for the Dolphins-Chargers tilt.

Online sportsbooks aren’t expecting a close game in the Week 14 NFL odds. Given each team’s record, that seems like a perfectly acceptable stance.

Chiefs vs Broncos Odds

Odds as of December 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on NFL Week 14.

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Kansas City opened up as 8.5-point favorites, but that number has been bet up to -9 or -9.5 depending on where you look. That line isn’t likely to stay stagnant very long, as money is pouring in on the Chiefs. As of Friday afternoon, 80% of the spread wagers and 78% of the ATS handle is backing KC.

The game features a total of 44, a number that sharp money is hitting. 79% of all money wagered on the total is coming from 60% of the over/under tickets, which suggests big-money bettors are on a low-scoring game.

Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 pm ET at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado, with CBS providing the broadcast coverage. The weather looks ideal for December, with sunshine and 59-degree temperatures on deck.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Analysis

The Chiefs, the number two contender in the Super Bowl odds, have beaten the Broncos 13 straight times. Patrick Mahomes has been under center in nine of those matchups, while the NFL’s leading passer is 41-9 all-time in games after Halloween.

Mahomes, the favorite in the NFL MVP odds, is 15-0 in his career on the road against divisional opponents. He’s suffered just three back-to-back losses over the course of 75 regular season starts, and considering KC is fresh off a loss to Cincy, it’s a bad time to be a Broncos fan.

Speaking of that loss, it could have easily been a win if not for an unlikely, yet extremely costly, Travis Kelce fourth-quarter fumble. Kelce has 1,176 receiving yards and 6 TD in his career versus Denver, and there’s probably no better pass-catching option on the Week 14 slate to find the end zone on Sunday.

Patrick Mahomes has NEVER lost to #BroncosCountry.

A win in Week 14 would make him 10-0. #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/2TItzRXso0

— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) December 8, 2022

Kansas City enters play ranked number one in both offensive DVOA and points per game. They’re also first in total offense, but have put up 30 points just once in their last five outings.

Defensively, the Chiefs have been underwhelming as usual. They rank 25th on that side of the ball per DVOA and 16th in points allowed.

On the injury front, wideout Kadarius Toney is questionable, as is starting linebacker Nick Bolton.

Denver Broncos Betting Analysis

Denver’s 3-9 record is by far the most disappointing mark in the NFL. This team was thought to have Super Bowl aspirations, but only the defense has lived up to that hype.

The Broncos are DVOA’s number seven ranked defense, and the number two scoring defense in the NFL. They’re allowing just 17 points per game, and are holding opponents to a league-best 32% red zone TD rate.

If Denver was only able to average 20 points they’d be 8-4, and comfortably inside the AFC playoff picture. However, the offense is a disaster. They rank last in scoring, points per play and touchdowns per game. Russell Wilson has thrown only 8 TD all season, which is four less the number of bathrooms he has in his house.

https://twitter.com/KentWeyrauch/status/1599508641115082752

Wilson has tossed just one touchdown in his last three starts, and Denver has finally smartened up and taken the ball out of his hands. They ran the ball on 54% of their plays last week against Baltimore, which is 12% more than their season average.

Running the ball against the Chiefs makes a ton of sense. It slows the game down, keeps the ball away from Mahomes, and hits KC where they’re vulnerable. Kansas City ranks 26th in both adjusted defensive line yards and stuff rate.

On the injury front, Denver will be without Dakota Allen, Courtland Sutton and Andrew Beck. D.J. Jones and Jonathon Cooper meanwhile, are questionable.

Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction

If you haven’t been paying attention, every Denver game is virtually the same. They shut down the other team, but fail abysmally on offense. 11 of their 12 contests so far have been one-score affairs, with seven of the games resulting in scores for both sides in the teens.

Not surprisingly, the Broncos are a league-high 11-1 to the under. They’re also 4-3 ATS as an underdog, and Mahomes doesn’t exactly have a great track record on the road against the spread as a favorite of 7 or more points.

Chiefs vs Broncos Last 5 Meetings

Mahomes is 7-0 straight up in such contests, but has only covered in one of seven instances. This is a game KC can sleepwalk its way through to victory, much like their Week 12 outing against the decimated Rams. The Chiefs took it easy on LA and failed to cover that day, and I’m betting on a similar outcome versus Denver.

Pick: Broncos +9 (-105), 1 unit

2022 NFL Season Picks Record: 8-7, +0.07 units