Kyler Murray & Josh Rosen 2019 Props: Over/Under for Murray TD Passes Set at 19.5, INTs at 14.5

• Kyler Murray was drafted first overall by the Arizona Cardinals
• Josh Rosen was traded to the Miami Dolphins after Arizona selected their new franchise QB
• Rosen was selected tenth overall last season and finished the year with 11 touchdowns and 14 interceptions
  

  ---

The NFL Draft is in the rear view mirror and now it’s time to start betting on how some of the top picks will fare during the 2019 season.

Kyler Murray went first overall to the Arizona Cardinals and there’s a long list of props available for the talented rookie.

Kyler Murray Props

*All odds taken April 29, 2019

Earmuffs Cardinals fans, you’re not going to like my advice here. I expect Murray to struggle and struggle mightily in year one under center (or in the shotgun) for Arizona.  Here’s the list of reasons why I’d fade the Over on all of these except interceptions.

Josh Rosen was ready to make Kyler Murray the backup in Arizona. 👀 pic.twitter.com/9MtWdo1Tow

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) April 29, 2019

Murray Could Struggle in Rookie Season

Murray will more than likely start right out of the gate for Arizona but that’s really the last reason to like him to finish north of any of the positive projections on this list.

The Cardinals have a below-average offensive line and are missing the weapons needed for a quarterback to flourish and put up points. Only 20 QBs finished with more than 3,200 yards passing last season and I don’t expect Murray to finish that high up the rankings.

QB @TheKylerMurray's first press conference as a member of the @AZCardinals! (via @nflnetwork) pic.twitter.com/HvIsHGbLbJ

— NFL (@NFL) April 26, 2019

For his entire football life Murray has played on elite teams but now he’s on a roster that would be a clear underdog to almost all of the other 31 franchises.

His skills passing the ball won’t be enough to make up the difference. I don’t think he reaches 20 touchdown passes and I also believe he will make enough mistakes throwing the ball and will likely end up over 14.5 interceptions.

The only spot Murray has a chance to win some cash for anyone willing to bet on a positive result would be rushing yards, but even then Over 475 is very ambitious. Lamar Jackson had 695 yards on the ground last year but he stands 6’2 and is built better to take some punishment.

Murray on the other hand, will be the smallest QB in the league and will learn quickly taking hits from NFL caliber defensive players isn’t a wise route to go.

For my money, I’m siding with the negative outcome on all things Murray. Under passing yards, rushing yards and touchdowns and over interceptions.

Odds for More 2019 Starts Murray vs Rosen

Cardinals’ fans can tune back in now that I’m done setting some more realistic expectations for their rookie QB.

It’s not all negative for Murray, as I’m siding with him here. Assuming both Murray and Rosen stay healthy for the whole season I don’t see the avenue where Rosen would start more games.

"Had Josh Rosen came out this year, he probably would've been the 2nd QB off the board behind Kyler Murray. So I love it. … He won't be worse than Tannehill." — @ShannonSharpe pic.twitter.com/vdD1jRmyyK

— UNDISPUTED (@undisputed) April 29, 2019

Murray will almost undoubtedly open as the Cardinals’ starter and with little-to-no expectation they’ll succeed this season, he should keep the job no matter his performance. On the other hand, Rosen has real competition in Miami.

He is the better talent, but the Dolphins did sign Ryan Fitzpatrick to a two-year contract and he could plausibly start games this year. The only reason to bet against Murray here would be if you have a crystal ball telling you about some injury nobody could possibly know about.

Otherwise, pay no mind to the price tag and pay the -300 to side with the Cardinals’ new franchise QB.

Over/Under Games Rosen Starts

The Dolphins got incredible value trading for Rosen and not needing to give up a first round pick. Not a bad use of capital by Miami management, landing the tenth overall pick last year and doing so at a bargain.

While I think Murray is a near lock to start as many games as he’s healthy for, there is some question about Rosen’s status in Miami. That said, 9.5 starts doesn’t seem like a very high bar to clear. Despite competition from a proven NFL’er in Fitzpatrick, I believe Rosen will take the reigns before long.

“I don’t think my chips gotta grow any more, I might tip over.”

New Dolphins QB Josh Rosen addresses the chip on his shoulder following his situation with the Arizona Cardinals. pic.twitter.com/X9YHcLpdlK

— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) April 29, 2019

Much like Arizona, the expectations in Miami are not very high this season and it would make sense for the Dolphins to give as much playing time to their long-term solution at QB.

Rosen put up decent numbers last year behind a woeful offensive line finishing with 2,278 yards, 11 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. While those aren’t the most eye-catching numbers, he has seen enough game action that watching Fitzpatrick from the sidelines isn’t really necessary.

The better step for his growth would be to play early and often, something I expect he will do. Of all the bets on the board here, Rosen hitting over 9.5 starts is the one I’m most comfortable making.