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Latest NFL MVP Odds for 2021 Season – Mahomes Favored, Rodgers Listed Second

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Updated Sep 7, 2021 · 6:27 AM PDT

Pat Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) in action against the Minnesota Vikings during an NFL preseason football game Friday, Aug. 27, 2021, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)
  • Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes it the favorite to be 2021 NFL MVP with the season kicking off on Thursday night
  • Packers QB Aaron Rodgers, last season’s MVP, is the second choice
  • Odds for all the top MVP contenders can be found below with requisite analysis

Patrick Mahomes was the NFL MVP in his first season as the Kansas City Chiefs’ starting quarterback in 2018. Three years later, he is favored to win the award again.

While Mahomes is the favorite in NFL MVP odds, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is the second choice. Rodgers was the MVP last season, the third time he garnered the award.

That duo is followed by two more QBs – the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Tom Brady and Buffalo Bills’ Josh Allen.

2021 NFL MVP Odds

Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) +500
Aaron Rodgers (Packers) +1000
Tom Brady (Buccaneers) +1200
Josh Allen (Bills) +1300
Dak Prescott (Cowboys) +1700
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) +1700
Matthew Stafford (Rams) +1700
Russell Wilson (Seahawks) +2000
Justin Herbert (Chargers) +2000
Kyler Murray (Cardinals) +2300
Baker Mayfield (Browns) +2600
Ryan Tannehill (Titans) +3200
Matt Ryan (Falcons) +4000
Carson Wentz (Colts) +4000
Kirk Cousins (Vikings) +4500
Deshaun Watson (Texans) +5000
Jalen Hurts (Eagles) +5000
Derrick Henry (Titans) +5000
Christian McCaffrey (Panthers) +5000
Jameis Winston (Saints) +5000
Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) +6000
Joe Burrow (Bengals) +6000
Derek Carr (Raiders) +6000
Mac Jones (Patriots) +7500
Teddy Bridgewater (Broncos) +7500
Dalvin Cook (Vikings) +7500
Trey Lance (49ers) +7500
Jimmy Garoppolo (49ers) +7500
Sam Darnold (Panthers) +9000
Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) +9000
Daniel Jones (Giants) +9000
Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers) +9000

Odds as of September 7th at FanDuel

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Mahomes is a +500 favorite with the start of the season just two days away. The Chiefs open Sunday by hosting the Cleveland Browns.

New Line for Mahomes

Though the Chiefs lost to the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl to end the 2020 season in February, Mahomes opened as the 2021 MVP favorite the following day. His odds were -500 then and have held steady for seven months.

Mahomes led the Chiefs to a second straight AFC title last season. He topped the NFL with an average of 316.0 yards passing a game in the regular season and his 1.0 interception percentage was also the best in the league.

Mahomes has quite the track record for a 25-year-old.

In all, Mahomes completed 66.3% of his passes in 2020 for 4,740 yards and 38 touchdowns. He was picked off just six times in 588 attempts.

The Chiefs had the best record in the regular season a year ago when they went 14-2. However, Mahomes was harassed by the Buccaneers from start to finish in the Super Bowl, prompting the Chiefs to overhaul their offensive line in the offseason.

Left tackle Orlando Brown Jr. was acquired from the Baltimore Ravens and left guard Joe Thuney was signed as a free agent. The other three guys up front have never started a regular-season NFL game.

https://twitter.com/chadp71/status/1432854460016078854

Mahomes has two premier playmakers to work with in wide receiver Tyreek Hill and tight end Travis Kelce. However, the Chiefs could be a little thin at receiver and running back.

Rodgers Reigning MVP

Rodgers’ opening odds were +800 in February and have gone up slightly to +1000 with the Packers poised to open their season Sunday against the Hurricane Ida-displaced New Orleans Saints in Jacksonville.

The Packers reached the NFC Championship Game last season where it lost at home to the Buccaneers. The defeat dropped Rodgers’ record in NFC title games to 1-4.

However, Rodgers had an outstanding regular season as the Packers posted a 13-3 record. He led the NFL in touchdown passes (48), quarterback rating (121.6), completion percentage (70.7) and average yards per attempt (9.6).

Rodgers totaled 4,299 yards in the air and threw just five interceptions in 526 attempts. The Packers led the league in scoring with 31.8 points a game.

Rodgers has a deep wide receiver corps to work with, headed by Davante Adams, who became the first player in NFL history in 2020 to have at least 100 receptions and 18 touchdowns in the same season.

Top running back Aaron Jones was re-signed in free agency. Backup A.J. Dillon is poised to blossom in his second season.

Though not to the extent of the Chiefs, the Packers will also have a new look up front.

All-Pro center Corey Linsley left for the Los Angeles Chargers as a free agent in the offseason. All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari will miss at the least the first six games as he begins the season on the physically unable to perform list following reconstructive knee surgery.

The Best Bet

There is a lot of drama surrounding Rodgers, including whether this will be the last of his 17 seasons with the Packers. Rodgers skipped OTAs and minicamp this year as part of a dispute with management over what he feels is a lack of input the decision-making process.

Mahomes, on the other hand, doesn’t have any real distractions going into the season. He is the safer bet even as the chalk.

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