Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys Odds, Predictions and Best Bets for Week 16
- The Philadelphia Eagles are 4.5-point road underdogs when they play the Dallas Cowboys in Week 16
- Jalen Hurts (shoulder) has been ruled out, replaced by Gardner Minshew
- See the Eagles vs Cowboys odds ahead of their Week 16 clash, and our pick below
The Philadelphia Eagles (13-1, 7-0 away) can clinch the top seed in the NFC with a win over the Dallas Cowboys (10-4, 7-1 home), but they’re going to have to do it without Jalen Hurts.
Hurts, a top-2 candidate in the 2023 NFL MVP odds, hurt his shoulder in Philly’s Week 15 win over the Bears. He’ll be replaced by Gardner Minshew.
Philadelphia has just one loss in 14 games, and are a perfect 7-0 on the road. And yet, they will play as a betting underdog for the first time all season, at +4.5.
It all gets underway Saturday (Dec 24) at 4:25pm ET from AT&T Stadium, in a game you can see live on FOX.
Eagles vs Cowboys Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | +170 | +4.5 (-110) | Ov 46.5 (-110) |
| Dallas Cowboys | -200 | -4.5 (-110) | Un 46.5 (-110) |
Odds as of December 23 at DraftKings. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on Eagles vs Cowboys.
The public still stands by the Eagles without Hurts. The NFL Betting Trends show 73% of the bets against the spread are going to the visitors. On the moneyline, 57% are also backing Philly.
Dallas’ shot at both a division crown and top seed in the conference essentially went up in smoke with a crushing OT loss to the Jaguars last week.
This will be the final meeting between these teams this season. Philadelphia took the first meeting 26-17 — though it was Dallas who had a backup at pivot in Week 6, with Cooper Rush in for Dak Prescott.
Philadelphia Betting Outlook
Minshew hasn’t appeared in a game for the Eagles since the final game of last year’s regular season.
It would be hard for most running backs to replicate Hurts’ running numbers, let alone a backup QB, as he’s racked up 747 yards and 13 touchdowns through 14 games.
Hurts had three rushing scores in their 25-20 win over the Bears, including a pair of 1-yard plunges. He’s a big reason why the Eagles boast the NFL’s best red zone offense.
There’s only one RB this season that has:
-1,000+ rushing yards
-10+ TDs
-Avg 5+ yards per carry
-0 fumblesHis name is Miles Sanderspic.twitter.com/wEmPAPAHP8
— David Mendelson (@DMendy02) December 12, 2022
Minshew can lean on Miles Sanders, who’s run for 1,100 yards this season. Sanders was limited to just 42 yards on 11 carries against the Bears, but in his previous two starts where he went for sub-50, he’s followed that up with a pair of 140-yard+ rushing performances.
Minshew is also more than his mustache: the dude can spin it. He has thrown 41 career TD tosses to just 12 interceptions, and he’ll have Dallas Goedert back in the lineup from a shoulder injury. Minshew will also be throwing to AJ Brown and Devonta Smith, among the top receiving duos in the NFL.
Dallas Betting Outlook
The Cowboys enter this matchup with the sixth-best 2023 Super Bowl odds. Their path to a ‘chip, however, is almost definitely going the Wild Card route after dropping a 40-34 OT decision in Jacksonville.
Prescott’s second interception of the day was returned 52 yards to the house by Rayshawn Jenkins, putting an end to Dallas’ 4-game win streak. This was a Dallas led 27-10, with five minutes to go in the third quarter.
JAGS PICK-SIX FOR THE WIN! 😱
What a game for Rayshawn Jenkins:
⭐️ 18 tackles
⭐️ 2 interceptions
⭐️ 1 pass breakup
⭐️ 1 walk-off pick-sixpic.twitter.com/ndO3PANYtQ— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) December 18, 2022
Dak’s 10 picks are they most interceptions in the NFL since Week 7, when he returned from a broken thumb. He’s thrown at least two INT’s in three of Dallas’ last four games.
He should have another pass-catching option in the field Saturday, as longtime Colt TY Hilton is expected to make his Dallas debut.
The Cowboys’ defensive front is dinged up for this one, as linebacker Leighton Vander Esch (neck) has already been ruled out. Michah Parsons, who leads the pass rush with 13 sacks, missed multiple practices this week dealing with an illness, and is questionable. Demarcus Lawrence (foot) missed practice but is considered probable.
Eagles vs Cowboys Pick
Dallas’ run game, which puts up 145.1 yards per game (6th), should be a weapon against the Eagles’ run defense, which ranks 19th.
A big chunk of Philly’s run game is lacking from their 4th-best attack, but there should be opportunities to puncture Dallas’ run D, which sits at a lowly 25th.
Establishing that run will be important to keep both defenses honest, as Philly (55) and Dallas (49) rank 1-2 in sacks on the season.
The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their five games against winning teams on the season, but the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings.
This line takes into account the massive loss of Hurts, but maybe underestimates the rest of a very good Eagles roster that ranks second in total yards per game and yards against.
The Pick:
- Eagles +4.5 (-110); 1.5 units to win 1.36 units
- Overall: 9-8 ATS, 1-1 ML; 1-0 O/U, -2.24 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
