NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Colts vs Vikings Week 15

• Minnesota is being backed at an 84% clip in the Colts vs Vikings public betting splits ahead of their Saturday showdown
• 55% of all money wagered on the total is backing over 47.5
• A comprehensive breakdown of the Colts vs Vikings public betting splits can be found below

What if I told you that a team with a negative point differential has already reached 10 wins this season and is only one victory away from clinching a divisional title. Seems unrealistic right? Well, let me introduce you to the Minnesota Vikings.

The Vikings enter play on Saturday versus the Colts with a 10-3 record, but a minus-1 point differential. That’s a worse point differential than eight other teams in the NFL who boast the same record or worse.

At this point, it’s fair to call Minnesota’s record fraudulent, but that isn’t stopping bettors from backing them in the NFL public betting trends.

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Colts vs Vikings ATS Betting Splits

As of Friday afternoon, 84% of spread wagers are on the Vikings as 3.5-point favorites over Indianapolis. However, despite all the ATS love, the line has actually moved towards the Colts.

Minnesota opened as the 4-point chalk, reaching as high as -4.5 at one point. The line dropped to 3.5 on Friday, and with the vast majority of spread tickets on the Vikings, that’s a pretty good indication that sharp bettors are backing the Colts.

The Indy love isn’t hard to figure out. The Colts are fresh off a bye, while Minnesota just lost in Detroit and is now on a short week. Since 2005, Indy is 13-3-1 against the spread after a week of rest.

When we last saw Indianapolis, they were getting blown out 54-19 by Dallas. It marked the Colts’ third 20+ point loss of the season, but in each of the previous two instances, they’ve bounced back by pulling off an outright upset the following week.

The most-bet NFL team this weekend?

The Vikings -4 against the Colts tomorrow 👀 pic.twitter.com/Y0e8iTqK1Z

— BetMGM 🦁 (@BetMGM) December 16, 2022

Underdogs who are fresh off 20+ point losses are 11-4-1 ATS in their next game this season. Each of the Vikings’ last nine wins have been by one score, with four of those victories coming by 4 points or less.

If you’re looking for a reason to back Minnesota they have been excellent ATS as favorites. They’re 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five games as the chalk, as noted in the Colts vs Vikings picks.

Indianapolis vs Minnesota Total Betting Splits

The total for this contest opened at 47, and has been bet up to 47.5 and even 48 at some online sportsbooks. The over has been a popular play in Minnesota games this season, and Saturday’s matchup is no exception.

Over 47.5 is currently drawing 55% of all money wagered on the total. That handle is coming from just 35% of the over/under tickets, which means big-money bettors are banking on a high-scoring affair.

Per the Colts vs Vikings injury report, neither team is dealing with injuries to key offensive players. In fact, Minnesota’s starting left tackle Christian Darrisaw is set to return, which is great news for Kirk Cousins.

Cousins has a passing grade that is 15 points higher when kept clean versus under duress, and Darrisaw should help keep the pressure off. That means Cousins can look for his favorite target Justin Jefferson, who leads the NFL in receiving yards.

NFL Receiving Yards Leaders

Jefferson is fresh off a 223-yard performance against the Lions, and has a feature role in the Colts vs Vikings player props.

Minnesota games are 8-5 to the over this season, while three of Indianapolis’ past four outings have cleared the total as well. Betting the over has been especially profitable when the Vikings are the home team, cashing in five of seven contests.

Colts vs Vikings Moneyline Splits

As far as the moneyline market goes, the action is completely one-sided. Minnesota is drawing 90% of the moneyline wagers and 92% of the handle.

That’s understandable given the discrepancy in records between the two teams. The public isn’t likely to back a Colts squad that’s lost six of their last seven games.

The Vikings’ love is also likely tied up in parlay money as well. Moneyline parlays will be extremely popular on Saturday, with Minnesota being a common first leg.

Vikings playoff picture tweet:

The 49ers are now 10-4. They've won seven in a row. They finish with Commanders, Raiders & Cardinals.

The Vikings are 10-3 with Colts, Giants, Packers & Bears remaining.

The battle for the No. 2 seed is on.

— Alec Lewis (@alec_lewis) December 16, 2022

If you’re looking to play the Vikings on the moneyline, consider parlaying that bet with the over. Each of the Vikings’ last five home victories have also eclipsed the total. A Minnesota moneyline-over parlay is currently +195 to cash.