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Are the 6-5 Seahawks Worth a Wager to Win Super Bowl 53?

Matt McEwan

by Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 1:39 PM PDT

Russell Wilson Seahawks
Russell Wilson has thrown for 564 yards and four touchdowns, with no interceptions, in the Seahawks' last two games. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License]
  • The Seattle Seahawks have won two straight, bringing their record to 6-5
  • Seattle’s average odds to win Super Bowl 53 were +11800 just two weeks ago
  • See how much their odds have changed after their little winning streak

If the playoffs started right now, the Seattle Seahawks would find themselves clearing out their lockers for the offseason.

But the playoffs don’t start now. We still have five weeks of football ahead of us. And looking at those remaining five games on the Seahawks’ schedule has plenty of pundits believing they are in a great spot to make a playoff push.

Online sports betting sites see this, too, and have shortened the Seahawks’ odds to win Super Bowl 53 significantly after each of the last two weeks – wins over the Packers and Panthers.

Super Bowl 53 Odds

Team Odds to win Super Bowl 53
New Orleans Saints +300
Los Angeles Rams +320
Kansas City Chiefs +600
New England Patriots +600
Pittsburgh Steelers +1000
Seattle Seahawks +4000

*Follow the link in the table to see all Super Bowl 53 odds

After losing to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 10, dropping their record to 4-5, the Seahawks saw their Super Bowl 53 odds balloon all the way to +11800.

But after two straight victories, the most recent a 30-27 win over the Panthers in Week 12, Seattle’s average odds are just +4000.

These are the sixth-shortest odds in the NFC, trailing only the Saints, Rams, Bears, Vikings, and Cowboys.

Seahawks Remaining Schedule is Favorable

Looking to Seattle’s five remaining games, two come against the 2-9 San Francisco 49ers and one is against the 2-9 Arizona Cardinals.

The other two are a little tougher as they host the Vikings and Chiefs.

The Seahawks only play one more game on the road in 2018

But to go with three very winnable games, the Seahawks also only have to leave CenturyLink Field once: Week 15 vs San Francisco.

Since 2012, when Russell Wilson became the starting quarterback, the Seahawks are 45-12 straight up at home, which is second-best in the NFL over that time.

Not to suggest the Vikings have been overly impressive this year, but hosting Minnesota is much different than playing in Minnesota. And maybe the 12th Man can help out in slowing down Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense.

Plus, the Seahawks don’t have to run the table to get into the playoffs anyways.

Redskins Should Vacate Their Playoff Spot

One team who does currently hold a spot in the playoffs is the Washington Redskins.

But with Alex Smith’s season over, it’s reasonable to assume the Redskins’ season will suffer a similar (hopefully less gruesome) fate.

Are the Seahawks Legitimate Super Bowl 53 Contenders?

I’m not buying.

The Seahawks may have the luxury of playing at home in four of their five next games, but there will only be eight games played at C-Link this season.

They’re not catching the Rams for the NFC West and there are too many great teams in the NFC to see a 5v6 matchup in the NFC Championship.

The Seahawks are 2-3 on the road in the playoffs under Russell Wilson, and are a Blair Walsh blunder away from being 1-4.

Seattle has held it together much better than most expected this season, but a win in the Wild Card game is basically the ceiling for this team. They allow a league-high 5.3 yards per carry and Wilson has had to be far too heroic in too many of their wins already.

Where is the Value in Super Bowl Betting?

It’s really hard to bet against the Rams or Saints right now. But if you don’t already have wagers on them, now is not the time to lay your money.

If you want to keep your money in the NFC, the Bears possess quite a bit of value at average odds of +1500. They may possess the only defense in the league capable of slowing those high-powered offenses, and Matt Nagy has proven he’s creative enough to consistently get the ball in his play-makers hands in space.

However, I continue to say the Patriots – average odds of +620 – present the best value in the NFL right now.

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