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Leafs vs Bruins Odds, Prediction & Best NHL Pick for Thursday (Apr 6)

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey

Updated Apr 5, 2023 · 5:30 PM PDT

Boston Bruins goaltender Linus Ullmark makes a save against the Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 1, 2023; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Boston Bruins goaltender Linus Ullmark (35) makes a save against the Toronto Maple Leafs during the third period at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Bruins are -150 home favorites in Maple Leafs vs Bruins odds Thursday (April 6th) at 7:00pm ET
  • The Bruins are a whopping 23 points ahead of Toronto in the NHL standings
  • Keep reading for the complete Maple Leafs vs Bruins odds, plus best bets – including a same-game parlay

Thursday evening, two teams with Stanley Cup aspirations will meet for the final time in the regular season. The Toronto Maple Leafs, who are second in the Atlantic Division, visit the eventual Presidents Trophy-winning Boston Bruins.

On the campaign, the Leafs are 46-21-10 for 102 points, while the B’s are having an otherworldly season at 60-12-5 for 125 points. Even though Toronto is second in the Atlantic, they’re a whopping 23 points back of their rivals from Boston.

It’s well-documented how the Bruins have the Leafs’ number come postseason time, but it’s not as one-sided in the regular season. Though Boston has won the last two encounters, their rivals in Toronto had won the previous four meetings. Read on for Maple Leafs vs Bruins analysis.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Odds

Game Time (ET) Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Thursday, April 6th Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 (-200) O 6 (-110) +130
7:00 pm Boston Bruins -1.5 (+170) U 6 (-110) -150

Boston is the betting favorite in the Stanley Cup odds at +380, while Toronto is the third choice at +900. The Bruins are -150 favorites in this contest that features a total of six goals.

Puck drop is set for 7:00pm ET at TD Garden in Boston, MA with ESPN+ and NESN showing it in the States and Rogers Sportsnet covering it in Canada.

 

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Odds as of April 5th at DraftKings Sportsbook

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been very consistent towards the end of the regular season – consistently Jekyll and Hyde, as they’ve alternated wins and losses the last nine times they’ve hit the ice. If that holds true to form, they’d be in line to lose this contest. With their first-round matchup already guaranteed to be Tampa Bay, they’ve begun to rest players for load management, like Mitch Marner and veterans Mark Giordano and Jake McCabe two games ago.

They’ll be welcoming back forward Ryan O’Reilly, who has missed 14 games with a broken finger after being acquired before the trade deadline. Be on the lookout for other players who may not play this one, as it’ll affect the lines.

For the campaign, the Leafs are ninth in both goals per game and goals allowed, and they’re second on the power play. Toronto could exploit a B’s squad that has lost their last four games with three or more days rest (their last game was Sunday).

Boston Bruins Betting Analysis

There aren’t enough superlatives to describe just how incredible the Bruins season has been. They have 60 wins with five games to go, as they have their eyes set on eclipsing the NHL record of 62 victories (1996 Red Wings, 2019 Lightning). Like Toronto, the Bruins have been focusing on load management as well, with Patrice Bergeron not lacing them up the last two times out.

Perhaps what is in the back of the Bruins’ heads is the fact the last nine Presidents Trophy winners haven’t won the Cup (including twice themselves). In fact, all but one of them have failed to make it to the Conference Finals.

Boston is a ridiculous 31-4-3 on home ice this season. Interestingly, the under is 8-2-2 in their last twelve games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Total
2/1/2023 TOR 2 – BOS 5 BOS BOS Over
1/14/2023 BOS 4 – TOR 3 BOS TOR Over
11/5/2022 TOR 2 – BOS 1 TOR BOS Under
4/29/2022 TOR 5 – BOS 2 TOR TOR Over
3/29/2022 BOS 4 – TOR 6 TOR TOR Over

Boston has won the last two against Toronto following the Leafs having their number in the last four encounters. In five of the last affairs, the over goal total has hit.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Pick & Prediction

This game should be another classic duel between two bitter rivals. Our model has this Maple Leafs vs Bruins game going the home team’s way by a 3.42-2.90 margin.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Boston Bruins Moneyline -150
Over 6 Goals -110
PARLAY ODDS  +155

Despite Boston not being as strong on three days rest, they’re playing a team they’ve beaten twice in a row who is looking towards the playoffs, and the alternating wins and losses show that. Toronto is all but certain to finish second in the Atlantic.

The over is 5-1 in their last six games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

Recently, these two foes have racked up a lot of goals when they face each other, and that should continue.

Pick: Boston Bruins Moneyline (-150), Over Six Goals (-110)

 

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