Stars vs Golden Knights Game 5 Odds, Pick & Prediction (May 27)
- The Golden Knights are -150 home favorites in Game 5 of their Western Conference Finals series against the Stars Saturday (May 27th) at 8:00pm ET
- Dallas survived a sweep with a 3-2 overtime victory in Game 4 on Thursday
- Keep reading for the complete Stars vs Golden Knights odds, plus best bets
The Dallas Stars managed to stave off elimination in Game 4 on Thursday, overcoming a pair of deficits to defeat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in overtime. Vegas had raced out to a 3-0 series lead before dropping their first game of the Western Conference Final. Apart from a 4-0 Knights victory in Game 3, the other three affairs have been decided past regulation.
Vegas began this series as -135 favorites to make their second Stanley Cup Final in six seasons of existence. They’re now -1000 to advance to the Finals, with the Stars +650 underdogs. Read on for Stars vs Golden Knights analysis.
Stars vs Golden Knights Game 5 Odds
| Game Time (ET) | Team | Puck Line | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday, May 27th | Dallas Stars | +1.5 (-240) | O 5.5 (-115) | +120 |
| 8:00 pm | Vegas Golden Knights | -1.5 (+195) | U 5.5 (-115) | -150 |
Vegas is the top choice in the Stanley Cup odds at -110, while Dallas is the last selection at +1500. The Knights are the -150 favorites in this contest that features a total of 5.5 goals.
Puck drop is set for 8:00pm ET at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada with ABC and ESPN+ broadcasting the game in the States and Rogers Sportsnet and CBC covering it in Canada.
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Dallas Stars Betting Analysis
Dallas has had some bad luck in this series, with the first two games being decided in Vegas’ favor in overtime. However, the Knights dominated early in Game 3, then the Stars captain Jamie Benn was suspended a pair of games for cross-checking Mark Stone. The Stars were able to weather the storm in Game 4, on the strength of the ageless Joe Pavelski’s overtime heroics.
⭐️ JOE PAVELSKI SAID WE'RE GOING TO FIVE ⭐️#StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/oTfRN3CL24
— NHL (@NHL) May 26, 2023
Jason Robertson, who led the squad with 109 points in the regular season, hadn’t exactly been firing on all cylinders in the post-season. However, he’s sniped four times in the series against Vegas, including twice in Game 4. If Robertson continues to be dangerous, the series definitely changes.
After an absolutely brutal Game 3 that saw him surrender three goals on five shots, Jake Oettinger had a strong effort, stopping 37 of 39 pucks. Going against Dallas is the fact that they’ve lost four of five following a victory, and they’ve dropped four of five on the road.
Vegas Golden Knights Betting Analysis
Vegas found themselves in unfamiliar territory by losing Game 4, which was just their fourth defeat in 15 postseason battles. Unlike the other three, which they dropped by at least three goals each time, they lost in overtime.
The Golden Knights haven’t failed in two straight since March, and are 5-0 in their last five when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game.
https://twitter.com/PR_NHL/status/1662058499679961089
Adin Hill has been very capable starting games for Vegas since Laurent Brossoit went down with injury. He has a 2.07 GAA and .938 save percentage. The Golden Knights have won their last four games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Dallas vs Vegas Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Moneyline | Puck Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/25/2023 | DAL 3 – VGK 2 (OT) | DAL | VGK | Under |
| 5/23/2023 | DAL 0 – VGK 4 | VGK | VGK | Under |
| 5/21/2023 | VGK 3 – DAL 2 (OT) | VGK | DAL | Under |
| 5/19/2023 | VGK 4 – DAL 3 (OT) | VGK | DAL | Over |
| 4/8/2023 | DAL 2 – VGK 1 (SO) | DAL | VGK | Under |
Dallas won all three meetings in the regular season but Vegas has the upper hand in the Western Conference Finals, taking three of four.
Stars vs Golden Knights Pick & Prediction
Bettors believe that Vegas will close out this series, with 61% of moneyline bets placed on them thus far. That’s an implied win probability of 57.7%. Our model has this Stars vs Golden Knights game going Dallas’ way, 3.41-3.17.
Eight of the last eleven duels between these two teams have resulted in a game going past regulation. Eleven of 13 have been one-goal battles, so selecting either club on the puck line is dicey. The under is 9-1-2 in the Stars’ last twelve Conference Finals games. For Vegas, the under is 9-1-1 in their eleven Conference Finals tangos.
This one is up in the air, but Vegas has been outstanding at finding a way to not lose consecutive games. If that’s the case, they’ll make their second Stanley Cup Final in six seasons.
Pick: Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline (-150)
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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
