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NASCAR South Point 400 Race Odds & Picks

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Who is the best bet to win at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway this weekend? Photo by Maverick Helicopters (Wikimedia) CC License.
  • The South Point 400 will take place on Sunday, September 15th at 4:00 pm EST
  • The race will take place at Las Vegas Motor Speedway in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Kevin Harvick is the defending champ at this race, although it was in New Hampshire in 2018

The South Point 400 has been moved from New Hampshire Motor Speedway to Las Vegas Motor Speedway for the 2019 edition. Kevin Harvick won the 2018 race (in New Hampshire) and he’s also coming off a win after capturing the Brickyard 400. Can he keep it going? This week’s race gets underway on Sunday, September 15th at 4:00 pm EST.

Odds to Win 2019 South Point 400

Driver Odds at MyBookie
Kyle Busch +450
Brad Keselowski +500
Kevin Harvick +500
Joey Logano +600
Denny Hamlin +900
Martin Truex Jr. +900
Erik Jones +1200
Kyle Larson +1200
Chase Elliott +2000
Kurt Busch +2000
Ryan Blaney +2200

*Odds taken 09/11/19

Harvick Is Hot

It took a while for Harvick to get going but ever since he heated up, he has been hotter than any other driver in the series. Harvick leads all drivers with three wins in his last seven races heading into the playoffs.

Harvick has done really well on intermediate tracks of late as he has five wins on them since the start of 2017. He also has an average finish of 9.1, which is the fourth-best mark on the series. He’s done well on this track, finishing fourth in his last visit to Las Vegas. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last six here with a win.

Keselowski Can Win It

Keselowski enters this weekend as the defending champion of the South Point 400. Keep in mind that this race was run at New Hampshire last year and was changed to Las Vegas for 2019. He absolutely thrives at this track, finishing in the Top 7 in eight straight starts here while winning the race three times.

Overall, Keselowski hasn’t won a race in almost four months. However, he posted Top 5 finishes in two of his last three starts with a third-place result in Bristol and a fifth-place finish at Darlington. Since the start of 2017, Keselowksi has the best average finish at this track (3.50). He’ s a great bet for a Top 10 or Top 5 prop.

Top 10 for Ryan Blaney

If you’re interested in a flier for a Top 10 – someone who is a bit off the radar – Ryan Blaney is your guy. This is a driver that finished the regular season relatively well, placing seventh last week at The Brickyard. Prior to that, he was 13th and 10th. He actually had five Top 10’s in his final seven races.

In Las Vegas, Blaney has a relatively good history. He placed 22nd there in his last start (in March) but prior to that, finished fifth, fifth, seventh and sixth over his previous four outings. I think he’s worth a shot for Top 10 props this week.

Pass On Truex Jr.

Truex is chasing his second championship in three years with a lot of hype behind him entering the playoffs. However, he is coming off a brutal stretch in which he finished outside of the Top 12 in three straight races. That was capped off by a 27th-place result in last week’s race at The Brickyard.

Truex is tied for the most wins in NASCAR’s top flight this season but he hasn’t actually registered a victory in nearly three months. He’s actually placed in the Top 11 in Las Vegas in six straight starts but until I see him race better, I’m going to pass on him winning outright.

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