Bayern Munich vs Atlético Madrid Odds & Prediction: Champions League Group Stage Oct 21
- On Wednesday, October 21st at 3:00 PM EST, Bayern Munich host Atletico Madrid at the Allianz Arena
- This is the first group stage match for both sides and will be extremely important in terms of who finishes first in the group along with Salzburg and Locomotiv Moscow
- Currently, defending champions Bayern Munich are the heavy favorites, with moneyline odds of -195
On Wednesday, Bayern Munich kicks off their Champions League title defense against a gritty Atletico Madrid side. Bayern Munich are the easy favorites to win this contest with their deadly attack led by Polish forward, Robert Lewandowski. The number nine already has ten goal contributions in all competitions this year and will be a key point in the attack along with Thomas Muller and Serge Gnabry.
Atletico Madrid on the other hand is looking to build on their success in the Champions League from last season with a big point away in Munich. While they have to deal with the loss of midfielder Thomas Partey, Simeone’s side added Luis Suarez who has already bagged three goals for the club in his first four matches. Madrid is known for its stout defense, but the key to this game will be if they can handle Bayern Munich and their attacking prowess.
Bayern Munich vs Atletico Madrid Odds
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | -1 (-118) | -195 | Over 3.5 (+160) |
| Atletico Madrid | +1 (-103) | +480 | Under 3.5 (-200) |
| Draw | N/A | +360 | N/A |
Odds taken on Oct 19 at DraftKings
Expect More of the Same for Atletico Madrid
Diego Simeone is famously known for his strict defensive tactics at Atletico Madrid. With a brick wall in goal also known as Jan Oblak aided by a defense of Kieran Trippier, Renan Lodi, Felipe and Stefan Savic, this team is well-equipped to handle any offensive attack. However, they have not met with this current Bayern Munich side. Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich do have four games of history going down the middle with two wins apiece.
Three out of four of those matches were 1-0 games, showing that despite two gifted offenses, they can hold each other back. Do not expect anything too out of the box for Atletico. It is early in the Champions League group stage and it will not be hard for them to advance, meaning they do not have to go out and chase the ball for 90 minutes. Simeone is going to make Bayern beat him, not the other way around.
Bayern Munich vs Atletico Madrid Statistics
| 2 | Head-to-Head Wins | 2 |
| 2.77 | Goals per game (All Competitions) | 1.71 |
| 19 | Shots per game | 13.8 |
| 62.2% | Possession % | 54.1% |
Bayern Munich’s Goalscoring Is Trending Upwards
Furthermore, this Bayern Munich team has evolved over the years into an unstoppable force. Despite losing Philippe Coutinho and Thiago in the summer, they look quite sharp in the Bundesliga with three consecutive victories. From a trend perspective, the Germans have hit the ‘Over’ on 2.5 total goals seven games in a row and have let the opposition score in five out of six. These are two imperative stats when considering the betting angles for this game.
4 Bundesliga games.
7 goals.@lewy_official picked this season up right where he left off 🔥 pic.twitter.com/V5Ww1jvDmj— B/R Football (@brfootball) October 17, 2020
While their defense is world-class, it is not perfect, as we saw in late September when they conceded four to Hoffenheim. Luis Suarez and Joao Felix are going to pick their chances in front of the net, and if they convert, Atletico will stall and make it hard for Bayern Munich to get consistent possession. They did it to Liverpool in the round of 16 last year and with Suarez as an addition, he will make it even harder for the German champions. The question is, will history repeat itself and give us a 1-0 victory, or will Bayern Munich stomp over Atletico?
Best Bet
The best bet for this match is neither of the aforementioned options. History points to these two sides playing out a close match with a vital goal handing out three points one way. However, recent form points to a lopsided Bayern Munich victory. But what about a sizzling-hot Luis Suarez, he could totally make a difference?
This is why the best bet is something we know is going to be extremely consistent, Robert Lewandowski. The odds for him to score are -165 which seems slightly lopsided. However, the odds for him to be the first goalscorer are +265, which is a great value bet. This game has so many variables at play, but one we do not need to worry about is Lewandowski putting it in the back of the net early.
My Pick: Lewandowski to Score First (+265)
Josh Ricker is a freelance sports journalist, currently attending the University of Southern Maine (Bachelor of Science in Sports Management and Marketing). He has recently interned with the AA Portland Sea Dogs, and his work has been featured on Fansided, as well as now here on SBD.
