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Club Brugge vs FC Porto Odds & Prediction – Champions League Group Stage

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Oct 25, 2022 · 9:00 AM PDT

Atletico Madrid vs Club Brugge
BRUGES, BELGIUM - SEPTEMBER 07: Club Brugge celebrates during the Champions League Group stage B match between Club Brugge and Bayer Leverkusen in the Jan Breydel stadium on September 7, 2022 in Bruges, Belgium. (Photo by Photonews/Panoramic/Icon Sportswire)
  • In the UEFA Champions League Group B it’s Club Brugge vs FC Porto on Wednesday, October 26
  • Brugge are already through to the knockout phase but for Porto there is still plenty of work to do
  • We preview the game, look at the Club Brugge vs FC Porto odds, and offer some picks below

It’s Club Brugge vs FC Porto in the Jan Breydel Stadium on Wednesday, October 26, with kick-off at 12:45pm ET.

With a four-point lead at the top of UEFA Champions League Group B, Brugge’s progress to the knockout phase is already assured, but there is work to do for second-placed Porto, With just three points separating the Portuguese side, Atletico Madrid and bottom-placed Bayer Leverkusen, the second qualifying spot is still very much in the melting pot.

We preview Club Brugge vs FC Porto, look at the UEFA Champions League odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

Club Brugge vs FC Porto Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Club Brugge +240
FC Porto +120
Draw +245

Odds as of Oct 25 at BarstoolSportsbook. Use this BarstoolSportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

FC Porto are listed as plus money favorites at +120 with an implied win probability of 45% but at +240 and with an implied probability of 29.41%, Club Brugge are considered well capable of getting the win.  The draw is listed at +245 – an implied probability of 28.99%.

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Over/Under and Spread

Barstool are cautious about this turning into a goal-fest with good reason, with under 2.5 goals listed at -121, although over is also very short at -104.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this in the Champions League and other top competitions.

Club Brugge vs FC Porto Prediction

Club Brugge have been the surprise team in this season’s UCL.  Before the competition began they were regarded as the outsiders in Group B but a staggering run of three wins and a draw, achieved without conceding a single goal, has seen them qualify for the knockout phase with two games to spare.

This will be their first-ever venture into the competition’s round of 16 but was achieved in style thanks to a heroic defensive performance in Madrid, where a 0-0 draw with Atletico was enough to see them through.

Fine Away Win in Porto

But it would be wrong to assume this brilliant run has been borne of just an outstanding defense. En route to the final 16, they have played an attacking brand of soccer and, in particular, their 4-0 win in Porto was the end result of a team playing at the peak of its powers. It was four, but it could have been more.

Whether they’ll be able to maintain that tempo and intensity now they have qualified is unlikely – the hard work has been done – but they would no doubt like to finish the group unbeaten.

Club Brugge vs FC Porto Head-to-Head Stats

Club Brugge
VS
FC Porto
3-1-0 UCL record 2-0-2
7 / 0 Goals for / Goals against 6 / 6
36 / 15 Shots / Shots on target 49 / 14
82.5 Passing accuracy (%) 80
45.8 Possession (%) 45.3
1st Current group position 2nd
W-L-D-W-W-D Form guide (all comps.) D-W-W-W-W-L

Two Crucial Wins Over Leverkusen

Porto have struggled to maintain the high standards they set themselves last season in winning the Primeira Liga. A disappointing home defeat by Benfica at the weekend saw them slip to third in the table and six points behind their conquerors on the day.  It was their second defeat of the season – double the number they suffered in last season’s campaign.

Their Champions League has also been a bit hit-and-miss, but two wins in their last two – both against Bayer Leverkusen – after two opening defeats have at least given them a chance of qualification.

A Win Vital for Porto’s Chances

Their most recent success – a 3-0 win in Germany – was particularly eye-catching, and was the type of form they will need to repeat in Brugge if they are to get the win they so desperately need.

If they can find a win in Belgium, it will likely set up a final-day showdown with Atleti – a repeat of what happened a year ago when a 3-1 win for the Spaniards took them through at Porto’s expense.

Club Brugge vs FC Porto Team Lineups and Injuries

Brugge Projected Lineup: Mignolet. Meijer, Boyata, Mechele, Odoi, Vanaken, Onyedika, Nielsen, Skov Olsen, Jutgla, Lang.

Injuries & absences: Sowah, Larin.

Porto Projected Lineup: Costa, Sanusi, Carmo, Cardoso, Conceicao, Galeno, Eustaquio, Uribe, Otavio, Taremi, Evanilson.

Injuries & absences: Mario, Pepe.

Club Brugge vs FC Porto Picks

While it may appear odd that, given their respective records, the visitors are favorites, the fact that Brugge are already through tilts this one in favor of the Portuguese champions, who are in dire need of a win.

With Porto in plus money, and with a fine victory in Germany last time out in their locker, the value lies with the away win.

Picks: FC Porto to win (+120)  

 

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