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Copenhagen vs Manchester City Odds & Prediction – Champions League Matchday 4

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Oct 10, 2022 · 9:00 AM PDT

Erling Haaland runs with the ball. Real Madrid vs Man City
Manchester City forward Erling Haaland (9) runs the ball during the exhibition match against FC Bayern Munich on Saturday, July 23, 2022, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Gpg Bayern Man City Match 7232022 0014
  • It’s Copenhagen vs Manchester City in Week 4 of the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, October 11
  • City needs just a win to secure their place in the knockout phase, but Copenhagen is currently bottom
  • We preview the game, look at the Copenhagen vs Manchester City odds, and offer some picks below

On Tuesday, October 11 it’s Copenhagen vs Manchester City in Week 4 of the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off in the Parken Stadium is scheduled for 12:45 pm ET.

A win for City in Copenhagen will guarantee their place in the tournament’s knockout phase with two games to spare, while the Danish champions are bottom of the group after collecting just one point so far.

We preview Copenhagen vs Manchester City, take a look at the odds, and offer some analysis, the team news, and a pick for this  UCL Group G clash.

Copenhagen vs Manchester City Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Copenhagen +1900
Manchester City -800
Draw +900

Odds as of October 10 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this Draftkings Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

Man City are huge odds-on favorites for the win in Copenhagen, with DraftKings pitching them at -800, an implied win probability of 89%. On the flip side, Copenhagen are listed at a massive +1900 for the win – an implied probability of just 5%.

The draw is also very generously priced at +900, with an implied probability of 10%.

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Over/Under and Spread

Draftkings are expecting City to continue their scoring streak, and with over 4.5 goals at 2/1, there’s potential to make money if that run continues. Under 4.5 is odds-on at -255.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to learn about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers some useful guidance.

Copenhagen vs Manchester City Prediction

Copenhagen will still be bruised from their experience at the Etihad last week when, in the reverse fixture, they were hammered 5-0. Three goals before halftime effectively won the game for City and despite coasting in the second period they still added two more.

It left Jacob Neestrup’s team bottom of the group with just a single point to their name, which they earned on Matchday 2 in a goalless home draw with Sevilla. They opened their UCL campaign a week earlier with a disappointing 3-0 defeat in Dortmund.

Domestic Struggles for Danish Champions

Despite being bottom of the group, Copenhagen are level on points with Sevilla and so are still in with a realistic chance of third place and a place in the Europa League. To achieve this they will need the minimum of a draw and a win but may have to wait until their final two games.

Domestically, things haven’t gone particularly well for Copenhagen and the current Danish Superliga champions are currently in seventh place after 12 rounds of matches. At the weekend they drew 1-1 with top-of-the-table Nordsjaelland.

Copenhagen vs Manchester City Head-to-Head Stats

Copenhagen
VS
Manchester City
0-1-2 UCL 2022-23 record 3-0-0
0 / 8 Goals for / against 11 / 1
4th Position in group 1st
16 / 4 Goal attempts / on target 66 / 28
79.3 Passing accuracy (%) 91.3
35.3 Possession (%) 65.7
L-D-L-W-L-D Form guide (all competitions) W-W-W-W-W-W

Man City on a Roll

Pep Guardiola’s men are flying and appear capable of not just beating but thrashing every opponent put before them. At the weekend, they hammered Southampton 4-0 at the Etihad, meaning in their last three games they have scored 15 and conceded zero. Ominously, their big summer signing, Erling Haaland, has so far scored 20 goals from 13 games.

A win in Copenhagen will confirm City’s place in the knockout phase of the UCL. They opened with a 4-0 win in Sevilla before having to work a bit harder to beat Borussia Dortmund 2-1 at the Etihad on Matchday 2. Their complete dominance was confirmed with the 5-0 win over Copenhagen in Manchester last Wednesday.

Haaland the Missing Piece of the Jigsaw

The stats above tell the story of a giants vs minnows clash, with City leading the way in every metric. In the EPL too, they are again the team to beat and, despite Arsenal currently being a point ahead of them, the Gunners’ lead isn’t expected to last very long.

The one piece of silverware missing from the Man City trophy cabinet is the Champions League trophy, and the arrival of Haaland looks to have edged that dream a bit closer to reality. City’s owner, Sheikh Mansour has long seen the UCL as football’s holy grail and this could be the season.

Copenhagen vs Manchester City Team Lineups and Injuries

FC Copenhagen Projected Lineup: Grabara, Diks, Vavro, Khocholava, Kristiansen, Stamenic, Lerager, Claesson, Johannesson, Karamoko, Daramy.

Injuries & absences: Amoo, Zeca, Cornelius.

Manchester City Projected Lineup: Ederson, Cancelo, Dias, Stones, Gomez, Rodri, Gundogan, De Bruyne, Mahrez, Haaland, Foden.

Injuries & absences: Walker, Phillips.

Copenhagen vs Manchester City Pick

It’s hard to see anyone beating City right now. While Copenhagen will almost certainly put up a better show than they did a week ago at the Etihad, the win looks beyond them and the draw also looks a massive ask.

With a City victory at such an incredibly short price, there’s no value whatsoever in betting on the away win but there is in wagering on the size of City’s win. The 3-0 away victory at 6/1 looks to be the value.

Pick: Manchester City to win  3-0 (+600)

 

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