Roberto Bautista Agut vs Stan Wawrinka Odds & Prediction – Swiss Indoors Basel Quarterfinals
- Former No. 3 Stan Wawrinka meets Roberto Bautista Agut in Friday’s Basel quarterfinal
- Wawrinka has defeated world No. 3 Casper Ruud and Brandon Nakashima this week
- Bautista Agut is the favorite. Read on as we break down the matchup and make ou Bautista Agut vs Wawrinka picks
Since March, when Stan Wawrinka returned from a year away to give his career one last push at age 37, he has struggled with very tough draws as he has played mostly higher-level tournaments.
Bautista Agut vs Wawrinka Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [6] Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) | -1.5 (-125) | -170 | O 23.5 (+100) |
| [PR] Stan Wawrinka (SUI) | +1.5 (-105) | +130 | U 23.5 (-130) |
Odds as of Oct. 27 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Basel Open.
Wawrinka is listed as the +130 underdog in the odds above against Roberto Bautista Agut.
He’s been competitive in most of his matches, but hasn’t won many.
Wawrinka defeated Frances Tiafoe in three tiebreaks at Queen’s Club in June – then lost quickly to Tommy Paul.
He defeated Daniil Medvedev and Mikael Ymer in back-to-back marathons in Metz last month – but retired after three games in his semifinal against Alexander Bublik.
Now, having beaten Casper Ruud and backed that up with a 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 win over Brandon Nakashima in Basel Thursday, he’ll want to take the next step.
Bautista Agut Steady as a Rock
While Wawrinka has experienced great highs and terrible lows in his career, Roberto Bautista Agut has been a model of overall good health and impressive consistency.
He looks and plays the same as he did in his 20s. That he gets beaten a little more often, with the host of talented youngsters who have begun to litter the ATP planet the last five years, is more evidence of the changing of the landscape. He has just kept doing what he’s been doing all along.
Bautista Agut vs Wawrinka Head-to-Head
| 34 (April 14, 1988) | Age | 37 (March 28, 1985) |
| Castellon de la Plana, Spain | Birthplace | Lausanne, Switzerland |
| 6-0 | Height | 6-0 |
| 11 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 16 |
| No. 9 (Nov. 4, 2019) | Career-Best Ranking | No. 3 (Jan. 27, 2014) |
| No. 22 | Current Ranking | No. 194 |
| $16,500,450 | Career Prize Money | $35,251,430 |
| 38-17 | 2022 Won/Loss Record | 8-12 |
| 1 | Head-to-Head Wins | 1 |
Norman Rejoins Team Wawrinka
Wawrinka’s best years came with solid Swede Magnus Norman by his side on coaching duty.
They split in the fall of 2020, after tennis’s post-COVID restart, after eight years together.
There were a couple of knee surgeries and foot issues in between.
But lookee here – Norman is back to see the final chapter through. They reunited before the Metz tournament last month. And the plan is go into the off-season together and also to Australia.
Tennis: He is the one who knows my game best, the one who has helped me the most in my career – Wawrinka https://t.co/i2qskmjcpS
— Brad Gilbert (@bgtennisnation) October 26, 2022
It can’t hurt; Norman does know what worked best for Wawrinka – but most of that came in his prime, when the Swiss was younger and also healthier.
But Norman knows Wawrinka’s game like no one else and it might well be the little bump he needs, as the comeback road has been, well … bumpy.
Bautista Agut vs Wawrinka Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Doha (QF) | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 6-4 | Bautista Agut |
| 2016 | St. Petersburg (SF) | Indoor Hard | 7-6 (8), 6-2 | Wawrinka |
Given how many years these two have been on tour – at 34, Bautista Agut turned pro in 2005 and at 37, Wawrinka went pro in 2002 – it’s almost shocking they’ve only faced each other twice.
Wawrinka had just won the US Open in 2016 when he headed to St Petersburg for their first meeting a week later. And it was a straight-sets win.
Wawrinka was still ranked No. 66 but on fragile knees when they met in Doha to begin the 2019 season.
It’s not much to base this third meeting on.
Bautista Agut vs Wawrinka Pick
Bautista Agut had a good first round against qualifier Laslo Djere, and took care of business.
He also easily eliminated Andy Murray in straight sets in the second round.
He’s fresh. You know what you’re getting with him.
STAT OF THE DAY❗
🇨🇭 @stanwawrinka recorded the 60th Top 10 win of his career today, taking out No. 3-ranked Casper Ruud in Basel, 6-4, 6-4. 💪
Wawrinka is just the 4th active men's player with 60 or more career Top 10 wins after Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Andy Murray. 💥
— TENNIS (@Tennis) October 25, 2022
For Wawrinka, it feels as though he’s done his bit in beating the world No. 3 Ruud, whose results have been sub-par since his successful hard-court summer. It was emotional – Wawrinka’s first top-10 win on “home turf” in Basel since he beat David Nalbandian there in … 2006, when he was a kid of 21.
And then he backed it up with a tough, grinding victory in the next round.
The odds and props seem to indicate it could be a close match, a long one.
We predict that Wawrinka will just not have the energy and legs to play a third top-level match.
Best Bet: Bautista Agut in Two Sets (+150)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
