Mariners vs Astros Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 31)
- The Astros are -136 home favorites over the Mariners on Sunday
- Rookie George Kirby (2-3, 3.50) will start for Seattle against Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25)
- A look at the matchups and odds can be found below with a pick
The visiting Seattle Mariners will try to gain a split of a four-game series with the Houston Astros when the teams meet at 2:10 p.m. ET Sunday at Minute Maid Park.
The Mariners (55-47/28-24 road) rallied for a 5-4 victory on Saturday night after losing the first two games of the series and have won four of their last six games overall. The Astros (66-36/32-15 home) have dropped four of their last six.
Mariners vs Astros Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners | +117 | +1.5 (-195) | Over 8.5 (-103) |
Houston Astros | -136 | -1.5 (+155) | Under 8.5 (-117) |
Odds as of July 30th at Barstool Sportsbook.
The Astros are -136 home favorites, giving them a 57.63% implied win probability. Houston has +475 World Series odds and the Mariners are listed at +5000.
Mariners vs Astros Probable Pitchers
Rookie George Kirby (2-3, 3.50) is expected to pitch for the Mariners against Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25). Kirby, who has +6500 AL Cy Young Award odds, will be working on four days of rest and Odorizzi on five.
Kirby vs Odorizzi
2-3 | Record | 4-3 |
3.50 | ERA | 4.25 |
3.79 | xERA | 4.15 |
1.20 | WHIP | 1.23 |
6.60 | SO/W | 2.53 |
Kirby returned to the Mariners on Tuesday and pitched five scoreless innings against the Texas Rangers at home in a no-decision. He spent the previous 17 days at Triple-A Tacoma to help manage his innings.
Kirby allowed just two hits. He struck out four and walked one.
George Kirby's new two-seam fastball has wowed his rotation mates.
Here's Robbie Ray on this K last night: "A left-handed hitter can't swing at that pitch because it's like, 'That ball is going to hit me.' And then all of a sudden, it's on the plate." pic.twitter.com/ZZVQ6r6RZE
— Daniel Kramer (@DKramer_) July 27, 2022
This will be Kirby’s first career appearance against the Astros. He is 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts on the road this season and has no decisions and a 1.42 ERA in the daytime in three starts.
The Mariners are 8-5 when Kirby starts.
Odorizzi had his four-game winning streak, which covered seven starts, snapped Monday night with a loss to the Athletics at Oakland. He was torched for six runs and seven hits in five innings with two strikeouts and a walk.
In 15 career starts against the Mariners, Odorizzi has a 4-6 record and 3.99 ERA.
He can field his position.
Jake Odorizzi going through some fielding practice pic.twitter.com/QFZFMhDz0T
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) June 17, 2022
Odorizzi is 2-1 at home in five starts this season with a 4.57 ERA. He is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA in four starts in the day. The Astros are 6-5 when he takes the mound.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Mariners Batters | Batting Average vs Jake Odorizzi |
---|---|
Julio Rodriguez | .667 |
Ty France | .357 |
Adam Frazier | .333 |
Luis Torrens | .250 |
Abraham Toro | .200 |
Jesse Winker | .200 |
J.P. Crawford | .188 |
Carlos Santana | .177 |
Eugenio Suarez | .000 |
Dylan Moore | .000 |
Cal Raleigh | .000 |
The Mariners’ Ty France is 5 for 14 (.357) against Odorizzi, though all the hits have been singles. Eugenio Suarez is hitless in nine at-bats.
Mariners vs Astros Betting Outlook
Pinch hitter Abraham Toro hit a two-run single with two outs in the top of the ninth inning to rally the Mariners past the Astros on Saturday night.
BACK. IN. FRONT. pic.twitter.com/OhDGup7utw
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) July 31, 2022
Adam Frazier had two hits for the Mariners.
Toro pinch hit for rookie center fielder Julio Rodriguez, who was hit on the back of the hand by a pitch in the eighth inning. Rodriguez was scheduled to undergo X-rays and is questionable for Sunday.
Left fielder Dylan Moore is also questionable after leaving the game with back spasms.
Left-handed reliever Tommy Milone was placed on the injured list before the game with a cervical muscle strain. Lefty Brennan Bernardino was called up from Triple-A Tacoma.
The Astros’ Aledmys Diaz went 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBIs. Martin Maldonado added two hits.
Aledmys gets one back. pic.twitter.com/F0meRraaVO
— Houston Astros (@astros) July 31, 2022
The Astros lead the season series 12-6, including going 6-3 at home. Since 2015, Houston is 93-49 against the Mariners.
Mariners vs Astros Last 10 Games
Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
7/30/22 | Astros | Mariners | SEA, 5-4 |
7/29/22 | Astros | Mariners | HOU, 11-1 |
7/28/22 | Astros | Mariners | HOU, 4-2 |
7/24/22 | Mariners | Astros | HOU, 8-5 |
7/23/22 | Mariners | Astro | HOU, 3-1 |
7/22/22 | Mariners | Astros | HOU, 5-2 |
6/8/22 | Astros | Mariners | SEA, 6-3 |
6/7/22 | Astros/td> | Mariners | HOU, 4-1 |
6/6/22 | Astros | Mariners | SEA, 7-4 |
5/29/22 | Mariners | Astros | HOU, 2-1 |
Mariners vs Astros Prediction
The Astros have had their way against the Mariners in recent years. However, Kirby has never faced Houston and the talented youngster could prove to be a tough matchup and a good underdog choice.
Pick: Mariners +117 ML
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