Upcoming Match-ups

2020 European Tour BMW PGA Championship Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Oct 5, 2020 · 6:10 AM PDT

Tommy Fleetwood swinging
Tommy Fleetwood looks to win one of the European Tour's marquee events this week. (Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire)
  • The prestigious BMW PGA Championship tees off Thursday October 8th in Surrey, England
  • Tommy Fleetwood and Patrick Reed are co-favorites to win the title
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

A strong field has been assembled at the European Tour’s flagship event for the BMW PGA Championship in Surrey, England. While some of the big names who played last year like Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have opted out of competing, there are still some world class players teeing it up at the famed Wentworth Club.

Danny Willett returns to defend his title which he won by three strokes over Rahm last year. This course has hosted this prestigious championship every year since 1984.

Betting co-favorite Tommy Fleetwood came oh-so-close to winning last week, losing in a playoff to Aaron Rai, and Patrick Reed returns to competition coming off his disappointing weekend showing at Winged Foot.

2020 BMW PGA Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Tommy Fleetwood +1100
Patrick Reed +1100
Tyrrell Hatton +1600
Justin Rose +1800
Matthew Fitzpatrick +1800
Erik van Rooyen +2200
Shane Lowry +2700
Bernd Wiesberger +2900
Rasmus Hojgaard +2900
Lee Westwood +3100
Thomas Pieters +3100
Matt Wallace +3100
Aaron Rai +3400
Lucas Herbert +3400
Sam Horsfield +3400
Ian Poulter +3400
Robert Macintyre +3400
Martin Kaymer +4100
Haotong Li +4100
Andy Sullivan +4100

Odds taken October 5th from FanDuel

Tommy Fleetwood Coming off Crushing Playoff Loss

At last week’s Aberdeen Investments Scottish Open, Fleetwood let a golden opportunity to win his sixth European Tour title slip through his fingers when he missed a short par putt on the first playoff hole, losing to Aaron Rai.

He’s been trending up, having also posted a T-3rd finish in his previous tournament in Europe at the Portugal Masters.

That has resulted in the Englishman seeing him as the co-favorite to win outright alongside Patrick Reed. Fleetwood, however, doesn’t have an overly strong track record at Wentworth.

He’s competed at this tournament every year since 2012, and has just one top-ten finish to show for it (T-6 in 2015). Fleetwood has also missed two cuts at this track in that span.

Sandwiched in between his pair of top-three finishes on the European Tour was a missed cut at the US Open, and in his six prior events, he posted nothing better than a T-29 showing.

With his lukewarm track record around this venue, I’d he hesitant to go all-in on him this week despite his recent hot play.

Last Five BMW PGA Championship Winners

Year Winner
2019 Danny Willett (-20)
2018 Francesco Molinari (-17)
2017 Alex Noren (-11)
2016 Chris Wood (-9)
2015 Byeong Hun-An (-21)

BMW PGA Championship Best Value Picks

  1. Lucas Herbert (+3400): The 24-year-old Australian held the 36-hole lead at last week’s Scottish Open after rounds of 66-65. A brutal round of 79 on Saturday saw him tumble down the board but he rebounded with a 65 to finish T-4th. Herbert was T-7th in his previous event before that as well. Ninth in strokes gained: putting this season.
  2. Robert Rock (+5500): The man with perhaps the most beautiful head of hair in golf has discovered a career resurgence, where he missed out on a playoff last week by just a single stroke. Also placed T-4th at the Betfred British Masters in a stretch of seven made cuts in his last nine events.
  3. Andrew ‘Beef’ Johnston (+6500): Has had three really strong showings at the BMW PGA in the last four years, where he was T-7th in 2016, T-9th last year and T-21st in 2017. Beef was T-3rd at the Celtic Classic just three starts ago.
Author Image