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2022 DP World Tour Dubai Desert Classic Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Jan 25, 2022 · 6:46 AM PST

Morikawa catches ball
Collin Morikawa, of the United States, catches a ball at the 6th green during the final round of the Hero World Challenge PGA Tour at the Albany Golf Club, in New Providence, Bahamas, Sunday, Dec. 5, 2021.(AP Photo/Fernando Llano)
  • The Dubai Desert Classic tees off Thursday, January 27th on the DP World Tour
  • Rory McIlroy is the +750 favorite to win the tournament over Viktor Hovland
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

The second tournament of 2022 for the newly named DP World Tour (former European Tour), heads to the United Arab Emirates for the Dubai Desert Classic. Last week, Thomas Pieters took home his second trophy in his last three starts at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and he’s in the field yet again.

There’s plenty of big names competing at Emirates Golf Club, headlined by two-time champion Rory McIlroy, who is the +750 favorite to win for a third time. He’s followed by Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa as top-ten golfers teeing it up. These guys opted to skip the PGA Tour’s Farmers Insurance Open, in which Jon Rahm is the favorite.

Going low is imperative for success, with nine of the last ten champions firing at least 16-under-par to earn the title. Paul Casey is defending champion.

2022 Dubai Desert Classic Odds

Golfers Odds
Rory McIlroy +750
Viktor Hovland +900
Collin Morikawa +1000
Tyrrell Hatton +1600
Thomas Pieters +2200
Sergio Garcia +2200
Shane Lowry +2200
Adam Scott +2500
Paul Casey +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +2500
Bernd Wiesberger +2800
Ian Poulter +3500
Robert MacIntyre +3500
Dean Burmester +4000
Erik van Rooyen +4000
Rafa Cabrera Bello +4500
Lucas Herbert +5000
Sam Horsfield +6000
Adri Arnaus +6000
Lee Westwood +6500

Odds as of January 25th at DraftKings Sportsbook

Sergio Garcia, the 2017 champion of this event – is priced at +2200.

Collin Morikawa Looks to Shake Off Poor Start

Heading into last week’s Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, Collin Morikawa was on a tear. He had posted five straight top ten finishes, including a runner-up, a pair of T-5’s and a T-7 to go along with his triumph at the DP World Tour Championship Dubai. In doing so, he became the first American ever to win the Race to Dubai.

That he ended up in a rather pedestrian T-62nd position last week was certainly shocking, considering he hadn’t played that poorly in nearly half a year. With his tremendous body of work, which includes two major championships, last week likely will be a blip on the radar.

With his recent showing in Dubai leading to a title, expect a bounce back and at +1000 odds, you’re getting him at slightly better value than both Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland.

Last Five Dubai Desert Classic Winners

Year Winner
2021 Paul Casey
2020 Lucas Herbert
2019 Bryson DeChambeau
2018 Haotong Li
2017 Sergio Garcia

2022 Dubai Desert Classic Best Value Picks

  1. Rafa Cabrera Bello (+4500): Rafa Cabrera Bello is a past champion at this track, winning it in 2012. He also was a runner-up here in 2016. Just last week, he nearly won his fifth DP World Tour title, finishing in second place. Just five starts ago, he won the Spanish Open.
  2. Nicolai Hojgaard (+6500): The 20-year-old Danish sensation Nicolai Hojgaard, twin brother of Rasmus, has already won on the DP World Tour, taking the 2021 Italian Open. Before his missed cut last week in Abu Dhabi, he was T-2nd and T-4th in his two previous starts, making his +6500 odds intriguing.
  3. Shubhankar Sharma (+8000): Last weekend, Shubhankar Sharma nearly won his third career DP World Tour title, where he was the runner-up to Thomas Pieters, along with Cabrera Bello. Just three starts before that, he was T-3rd in the Spanish Open, as he’s very much a boom or bust type golfer.
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