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The Players Championship 4th Round Odds, Picks and Preview

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Mar 16, 2021 · 10:50 AM PDT

Lee Westwood, Third Round, The Players Championship
Lee Westwood, of England, celebrates after making a putt on the 18th hole during the third round of The Players Championship golf tournament Saturday, March 13, 2021, in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
  • Lee Westwood leads by two strokes over Bryson DeChambeau at the Players Championship
  • Ten golfers are within five shots of the lead heading into the final round on Sunday afternoon
  • See the updated odds at TPC Sawgrass below

Just one week after taking the 54-hole lead over Bryson DeChambeau at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Lee Westwood has done it again at The Players Championship. This time the 47-year-old has a two stroke edge over the ‘Mad Scientist’ in his bid to become the second oldest (Fred Funk) winner of this prestigious event.

Despite finishing runner-up at Bay Hill last week to DeChambeau, Westwood was still a +9500 long shot to earn the biggest win of his storied career this week, while Bryson had the second shortest odds to win outright.

There is plenty of firepower on the leaderboard like Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm and Paul Casey should the top two challengers stumble on Sunday.

Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets for Sunday’s final round.

The Players Championship Odds

Golfer Position Score Odds
Lee Westwood 1st -13 +220
Bryson DeChambeau 2nd -11 +250
Justin Thomas T-3rd -10 +500
Jon Rahm T-5th -9 +850
Paul Casey T-5th -9 +1600
Doug Ghim T-3rd -10 +2000
Brian Harman T-5th -9 +2900
Matthew Fitzpatrick T-8th -8 +2900
Sergio Garcia T-8th -8 +3300
Chris Kirk T-8th -8 +5000
Cameron Smith T-11th -7 +6500
Si Woo Kim T-11th -7 +8000

Odds taken March 13th at FanDuel

Lee Westwood The 54-Hole Leader Again

Lee Westwood has a shot at redemption after falling just short of Bryson DeChambeau at last week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational. In his PGA Tour career, he’s just one-for-six in converting 54-hole leads into victories. One of those instances where he didn’t get it done was at this very tournament in 2010, where a final round 74 dropped him into a tie for fourth.

Westwood is first in greens in regulation for the week, like he was at the API. He’s also second in scrambling and sixth in strokes gained putting, and that’s with him missing several makeable birdie attempts on the front nine Saturday.

He’s won 25 times in Europe, but just twice in the States, in 1998 and 2010. The concerning statistic is Westwood off the tee, as he ranks T-96th in driving accuracy through three days. That could rear its ugly head when the pressure mounts Sunday.

DeChambeau is looking to become the first player in 20 years to win The Players after winning the previous week since Tiger Woods in 2001.

This would by far represent the greatest win of Westwood’s painful career that’s resulted in countless runner-ups in big tournaments. It’s hard to envision him holding off DeChambeau, who is playing lights out golf lately and has more pedigree, showing a far better knack for closing out events.

The Players Championship Last Five Winners

Year Winner
2019 Rory McIlroy (-16) one shot win
2018 Webb Simpson (-18) four shot win
2017 Si Woo Kim (-10) three shot win
2016 Jason Day (-15) four shot win
2015 Rickie Fowler (-12) playoff over Sergio Garcia and Kevin Kisner

*The 2020 tournament was not completed due to COVID-19 shutdown

Best Live Value Picks for the Players Championship

  1. Justin Thomas (+500): We were high on Thomas as the week began with him at +2000 odds to win outright, so why change now? He’ll begin the final day three back after shooting a tournament best 8-under, 64 on moving day. T-2nd in putts per green in regulation through three rounds and he’s tied for first in birdies for the tournament. Five of his 13 tour victories have seen him shoot 66 or better in the final round.
  2. Jon Rahm (+850): The 54-hole leader at this championship in 2019, Jon Rahm finds himself with another chance, starting four back. Has hit at least 14 greens in all three rounds. First in strokes gained ball striking in the last four Players Championships. Not afraid to go low Sunday, as he won his last tour event by shooting a closing 64 at the BMW Championship.
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